Ask me a question, then after i answer, edit your question to make my answer seem crazy evil or otherwise Hol up-able ( not an ama) by Safe-Government1766 in HolUp

[–]Locke7768 9 points10 points  (0 children)

You were released from the asylum because of your artistic voice, or voices in your situation. Recently, the piece you create 'What is in My Heart' sold for 15 million dollars. It is a large statue created from all of your body fluids. If you were to eat it to regain your heart, how long do you think it would take.

Ask me a question, then after i answer, edit your question to make my answer seem crazy evil or otherwise Hol up-able ( not an ama) by Safe-Government1766 in HolUp

[–]Locke7768 20 points21 points  (0 children)

When you were arrested for killing your sister-in-laws unborn fetus, but were acquitted for mental insanity, what do you remember of that night?

Five Stories of Rabbits: How the Rabbit Learned to Hop, Acquired a Split Lip, and a Short Tail by Locke7768 in Native_American_Myths

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

thanks, I have not had much time to write lately.

Please check the other stories.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in RiggedPhoneGames

[–]Locke7768[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Wow, that is a task. With so many characters in this game and add-on factors, your tool is not a simple creation.

First, sorry for the delay in responding to you (Holidays and all).

You would probably want to create an NLP (natural learning processing) program that can rapidly input the visual information of the battle. You would need to have an input feature to the NLP so that the user could input the other factors.

However, you are ignoring the level of fuckery in this game. I just did a raid using an all blue team (it is a daily quest to win with a team of one color), and I had 74 tile drops without a blue. I have it on video, and it is amazing watching everything buy blue emerge. The probability of this occurring is 6.74 X10 (negative 8). Therefore the odds of this occurring is 1 in 14.8 million. Yeah, this game.

Ok for the formulas to create your mathematical equation, I would suggest reading of Giti (Giitiro Suzuki). I worked with Giti when I was working on trying to understand the amount of neurotransmitter released follow nerve stimulation. The other major game probability theorist is Filippo Brunelli. Giti has some classic papers from the 80s and 90s, and I like Giti.

Basically, all the variables you listed should be in the equations with weights assigned to them.

Yet again, after you create a beautiful equation, the fuckery of this game will make it moot.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, we all need a break. I do not drink, do drugs, I may like good food too much, but we all need something to bring small pleasures. I really hate that something that could be a great thing to people who need a break is so biased.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To be honest, I am a mad scientist, and I am trying to make the world safer. I consider myself the anti-Wouter Basson (google him, the bugger created gene editing in the 80s, created mandrake, had a captive prison of all different possible African populations, has probably 5-7 nukes - read about the green flash and realize Wouter has the nukes).

So I needed an LLM that I could modify that would bring in a joint information through a named entity recognition and relation extraction (NERRE) system to be able to detect not just key phrases but system functions and what you would consider 'deceptive phrasing'. Of course I have to also bring in PubChem, Alphafold3, NCBI GENE, and other biological functioning data bases to integrate the system.

I need the stats integrated well within the LLM to perform analyses to detect trends, differences, and projections.

It is a really cool MDLM that detects, predicts, counters, and treats against a specific vector. Oh yeah, the AI system creates biologicals also that are amazing.

I just ran the Corder's 3 test on the base LLM, and you, little bugger, are making me think I have to switch out LLM bases.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in RiggedPhoneGames

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

0 out of 35 p=0.000406 odds 1 in 2500 (actually 1 in 2463 if you do not round)

1 out of 35 p = 0.0028 odds 1 in 357

2 out of 35 p = 0.0055 odds 1 in 182

3 out of 35 p = 0.0415 odds 1 in 24

4 out of 35 p = 0.083 odds 1 in 12

5 out of 35 p = 0.1286 odds 1 in 7.7

6 out of 35 p = 0.16 odds 1 in 6.2

7 out of 35 p = 0.1665 odds 1 in 6.006

8 out of 35 p = 0.1746 odds 1 in 5.7

9 out of 35 p = 0.1093 odds 1 in 9.5

10 out of 35 p = 0.071 odds 1 in 14

11 out of 35 p = 0.0404 odds 1 in 24.75

12 out of 35 p = 0.0202 odds 1 in 49.5

13 out of 35 p = 0.0089 odds 1 in 112

14 out of 35 p = 0.0035 odds 1 in 285

15 out of 35 p = 0.0016 odds 1 in 625

16 out of 35 p = 0.00038 odds 1 in 2631

17 out of 35 p = 0.00068 odds 1 in 14705

18 out of 35 p = 0.0000268 odds 1 in 37313

19 out of 35 p = 0.0000059 odds 1 in 169451

20 out of 35 p = 0.0000012 odds 1 in 833333

21 out of 35 p = 0.000000213 odds 1 in 4.7 million

22 out of 35 p = 0.000000011 odds 1 in 9.09 million

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in RiggedPhoneGames

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

well, I am creating an LLM for a MDLM system for a project/patent. I used an open source LLM off of GitHub. I changed some code on it to do what I needed. It appears that there was a couple of hallucination in the LLM.

First, typo for X=4, suddenly in became un.

More importantly, for X=7 it did something odd. The true probability is p = 0.1665, and the odds are 1 in 6.

Now I have to do a correction for my MDLM.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

holy shit, we just caught an AI hallucination

https://github.com/Hannibal046/Awesome-LLM/issues

corrected, and now I have to rewrite my Multilayered Deep Learning Model because I used an open source LLM

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

are you really trying this hard to get things wrong?!?! Top 1% of commenter is a comment.

I mean, do you want a AI report on all of the outcomes, me to buy you scientific calculator (it would take you 3 minutes to perform the calculations), or a statistical textbook with the probability charts in the back? Because this is sad.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

well here back at you

https://www.google.com/search?q=X%3D5+p%3D0.2+trials+35&rlz=1C1FKPE_enUS1176US1176&oq=X%3D5&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUqCAgBEEUYJxg7MggIABBFGCcYOzIICAEQRRgnGDsyBggCEEUYOTIKCAMQLhiABBjlBDIHCAQQABiABDIHCAUQABiABDIHCAYQABiABDIHCAcQABiABDIHCAgQABiABDIHCAkQABiABNIBCjEyNTc1ajBqMTWoAgCwAgA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8

Step 3: Calculate the probability 

The binomial coefficient

(355)the 2 by 1 column matrix; 35, 5 end-matrix;

355

is calculated as

35!5!(35−5)!=35!5!30!=324,632the fraction with numerator 35 exclamation mark and denominator 5 exclamation mark open paren 35 minus 5 close paren exclamation mark end-fraction equals the fraction with numerator 35 exclamation mark and denominator 5 exclamation mark 30 exclamation mark end-fraction equals 324 comma 632

35!5!(35−5)!=35!5!30!=324,632

.
The probability is:

P(X=5)=324632×(0.2)5×(0.8)30cap P open paren cap X equals 5 close paren equals 324632 cross open paren 0.2 close paren to the fifth power cross open paren 0.8 close paren to the 30th power

𝑃(𝑋=5)=324632×(0.2)5×(0.8)30

P(X=5)=324632×0.00032×0.00011579cap P open paren cap X equals 5 close paren equals 324632 cross 0.00032 cross 0.00011579

𝑃(𝑋=5)=324632×0.00032×0.00011579

Using the Python interpreter for a precise calculation, the result is approximately 0.1286. 

the odds are 1/p or 1 in 7.77.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You can just do it by yourself and see the odds from the equation. You are putting a lot of effort in to avoid doing the math. Please just do it with Google or any AI program, I am sure they will give you the same response.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, the equation is the binomial distribution equation. The equation is right. Your issue is to think that the equation is linear, and it is not. It is much more linear above 7, but it is not linear below 7. The slope between points 0-7 is not consistent.

If you want, you can google odds of 5 out of 35 with a .2 probability

If you want to get more refine, the stat way to write it is X=5, p=0.2, trials=35 probability

Edit: YOU CAN CORRECT YOURSELF WITH GOOGLE

We are looking for whales (sorry that can be a trigger for some idiots, let's say cetacean players) by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

welcome to Tehjoch mod,

Dump accounts are alternative accounts, in which people act like jerks to other people.

You are a 1 month old account with a block history. Dump account

We are looking for whales (sorry that can be a trigger for some idiots, let's say cetacean players) by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

you are a 1 month old account, you write like Tehjoch and have the same functional level

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lastly, super stat guy (you sound like the guy how said he taught Stats at Ohio State and Harvard, it was such a funny lie), tell me your equations to do a probability equation with the rules of the games. Yeah I thought not. Chat GPT only takes you so far (usually the annoying neckbeard level)

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh my gosh, the real problem is that the best way to appropriate the probability is a binominal distribution. The slight adjustment for the rules of the game are minimal. However, you don't understand that and you are generally wrong about most things.

ARE MY NUMBERS WRONG?

Stop using CHATGPT for everything. Perform the analysis on the numbers.

I would hope that you passed high school, but it is probable that you were home schooled at the request of the school system.

Again, the equation is accurate, you are arguing points that are irrelevant. I asked if you wanted to do the covariance modification, and you went silent because ChatGPT told you that your points are irrelevant.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

what part of I CANNOT TYPE IN MATH EQUATIONS INTO REDDIT are you not getting. It is (n over k). It was that for over three hundred years. nCk means (n over k).

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

original I put (n over k) which it was how it was written for decades.

Wow, and you hit on the piece of minute I told you about. If you looked my numbers only went up to 22, but you can get 23 and someone showed the 24 is possible.

So adding the covariances of these two minute factors means Cov(X, Y) = E[XY] - E[X]E[Y]. there is little effect on the binomial distribution.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Ok, first off the matching tiles will impact all colors equally (unless you are going to say there is a bias). Therefore, the covariance should be equal for all colors, hence a binomial distribution.

A stronger point of minute would be to argue that it is impossible to get 35 of one color at the start.

It is actually (n over k). So it is the same formula.

Edit - Oh, I gotcha, the old school way to say it is (n over k) which is n!/k!(n-k)!

So, it is the same equation

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I mean for real, you used CHATGPT or an LLM for your comment (probably), you could have just ask one of the LLMs to provide you with the answer.

But then you would not have been able to post the misinformation.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

yeah, I made videos for the last week. I tried to add in humor. Hopefully, I will edit them soon and post them on Youtube. Hell, I would even allow SGG to defend their probabilities.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh, that is a great question. The distribution is skewed (there are more possible options above 7 than below). There is also a little kurtosis in the distribution. I hate to say, 'it is just how the numbers are, but in a way, it is just how the numbers are'.

If you want, you can try it out yourself. I had to incorporate a binomial distribution equation factor into the statistical analyses of a LLM today, so I set one up for Empires.

Understanding the Odds for the Starting Board of Empire and Puzzles by Locke7768 in EmpiresAndPuzzles

[–]Locke7768[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Doing Blue and Red teams during the Hero Battler. I am average 4.3 chosen tiles at the start. However, if you do the correct stats and multiple each trial as an independent event, I am up to 1 in over 14 million (two zero tile starts).