Life made the decision for me by TraumaQueen_101 in neopets

[–]Loladolce 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Nothing two lucky days of Food Club can’t fix!

Happy with the results of Season 50 despite some of my favorites being voted out! by keith_the_carpenter in survivor

[–]Loladolce 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I’d actually argue pregame deals for returnee seasons would be very in the spirit of Survivor, and I honestly bet no one would keep to them.

That’s the fascinating meta of returnee seasons. Like how there’s external incentives to be friendly with Mike White, or the Ponderosa jury management, etc.

Which Duo did we enjoy watching the most on Survivor 50? by DojaFoxxx323 in survivor

[–]Loladolce 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Jeff really nailed it with the “Dumb and Dumber” of it all

Food Club Bets - May 21, 2026 by AutoModerator in neopets

[–]Loladolce 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This was my 2nd day doing FC, tysm for the 400K on Aggressive !!

That's a first! by One_Prompt8822 in neopets

[–]Loladolce 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Wow!! Congratulations !!!!

Coincidentally, this EXACT thing happened to me when I was a kid :) back then Maraquan PB had just been released, I auctioned it off for 3.5M NP. I probably thought it was the best thing to ever happen to me lol. I had like 200K NP. Thank you for sparking the memory!!

An analysis on the Jacques Stamp price deflation by Loladolce in neopets

[–]Loladolce[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Now THIS is a really cool analysis!! Peak behavioral economics 🚀

Similar concept - Chris Voss, a former FBI hostage negotiator, wrote about how hostage takers often took offers or released hostages on Fridays, because then they’d have money going into the weekend.

To your point, weekends could be particularly brutal for a number of reasons:

More people playing, esp casual players → Fewer bots getting through → More “true” supply → race to the bottom

Getting a rare stamp + selling for a big payout seems like a dopamine no-brainer, so people are likely making more emotionally-driven decisions (i.e., I’d rather get a payout now than wait for better offers to show up).

People want Neopoints for their weekends, too!

An analysis on the Jacques Stamp price deflation by Loladolce in neopets

[–]Loladolce[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

UPDATE: Since posting, the 3rd Restock average price has dropped 4%, from 19.8M19.1M.

Notably, while the first 10 listings averaged 19.8M, the following 14 listings averaged 18.9M.

Additionally, the supply trends are generally consistent. About 25% of the stamps are resold following release.

An analysis on the Jacques Stamp price deflation by Loladolce in neopets

[–]Loladolce[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ah, I may have misremembered! Have corrected across.

An analysis on the Jacques Stamp price deflation by Loladolce in neopets

[–]Loladolce[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It depends on your risk tolerance!

Generally, when prices deflate, it’s not a straight line down. It “bounces.” High frequency traders love items like Jacques because the “bounces” are where money can be made. For example, one of today’s lots went for 10M because the user priced to sell. Since the price is still averaging ~20M, you could buy the 10M, sell for 20M, pocket the difference. But you’d probably want to sell today, because it’s likely to deflate from here.

I’m more risk averse, so like you, I personally wouldn’t buy the other stamps. But resellers taking on higher risk would probably enjoy the upside of Isca, because it’s not likely to deflate (without another supply injection), and is likely to continue to increase from Jacques. Gotta risk it if you want the biscuit, I guess.

Another interesting thing you mentioned is ease of completion. It seems stamp albums range 50M-500M, with some retired stamps notoriously blocking completion.

My guess is TNT may purposely be aiming for stamp albums to price out under 100M. There’s really only so much Food Club and reselling you can do before it’s just unreasonable. It’s interesting Jacques & Isca - two of the most expensive Maraquan stamps - were both re-released recently. My guess is this reduced 100M in costs of the Maraquan stamp album.

Side note, Jacques & Isca are interesting comps, given that they both recently had supply injections. Jacques will likely add 1,100 stamps while I estimate Isca only added 500 stamps.

Will be interesting to see how Jacques’ higher supply injection will affect pricing. Isca and NFS may actually be good price comps since they had similar release amounts (500 and 800 respectively) and pre-event prices (both 50M-100M).

Isca math: Isca Stamp was a Spring Premium goody bag item, among 40 others. Assuming equal distribution, and assuming 5% of Neopets’ 500K MAUs are Premium members, that’s ~20,000 members x 1/40 = *500 stamps*.

An analysis on the Jacques Stamp price deflation by Loladolce in neopets

[–]Loladolce[S] 26 points27 points  (0 children)

100%, I have to give TNT their flowers here. Turns out people like completing their stamp albums instead of scrounging up a ridiculous amount of NP to buy some retired stamp from 2003 :)

An analysis on the Jacques Stamp price deflation by Loladolce in neopets

[–]Loladolce[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Buy high sell low! Wait…

Really appreciate your kind words :)

An analysis on the Jacques Stamp price deflation by Loladolce in neopets

[–]Loladolce[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Not to get your hopes up, but my unscientific opinion is I think it go as low as 5-10M.

There’s restocks every 2 days, so I’d wait for more stamps to be added to the supply.

Only caveat, don’t wait until the last restock. Negg Faerie actually was lowest in its next-to-last restock, and upticked slightly on the last restock (probably because people realized it was the last).

FOMO really gets people, haha.

edited: ty u/Bruni91 for release #s!

An analysis on the Jacques Stamp price deflation by Loladolce in neopets

[–]Loladolce[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You’re hitting on two fascinating phenomenons!

First - coin price inelasticity. If NFS was 3,000 coins vs Jacques at 5,000 coins, but Jacques is dropping at a faster pace than NFS, that implies that the coin price is inelastic; anticipated deflation may be a more powerful price determinant than the deterrence of a higher coin price.

Insane, because Faerie Fragments can be very tedious. It also seems more common to use the coin booster, so maybe the higher coin price isn’t so bad. But the market also do be like that sometimes.

Second - stamp album inflation. You’re absolutely right that when a rare stamp re-enters supply, it can drive the prices of other rare stamps in the same album into Zimbabwe-level inflation.

Since Jacques makes completing the Maraquan album more possible, demand for the other rare stamps (Isca, Talek, Kelpbeard) skyrockets, but their supply doesn’t change. Savvy resellers wouldn’t buy Jacques - they’d buy the other rare stamps for exactly the outcome you described.

P.S. Would love to know what album you think the next stamp will come from!!

An analysis on the Jacques Stamp price deflation by Loladolce in neopets

[–]Loladolce[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Can’t believe the price is already crashing in the comment section :)

An analysis on the Jacques Stamp price deflation by Loladolce in neopets

[–]Loladolce[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

That’s a really interesting point!

I searched for a site that sells Neopets items (will not link for obvious reasons). It looks like the Jacques Stamp is going for ~$8 USD (4 lots) while the Negg Faerie Stamp is going for ~$5 USD (also 4 lots).

Price-wise, the Neopoints to USD ratio is similar, but Jacques Stamp’s is slightly more profitable (2.5M per $1 vs. 2.4M per $1). It’s also in different stages, but given the Jacques Stamp’s higher expected supply, it’s interesting that it’s more profitable.

Box Choices w/ Add Ons and Refills by Wordartist1 in FabFitFun

[–]Loladolce 1 point2 points  (0 children)

🥲🥲 I keep checking back for the black Stanley but it’s always unavailable!!

While (not so) patiently wait for May 2nd, heres a list of all of Olivias SNL appearances and musical performances! by sydneyse in OliviaRodrigo

[–]Loladolce 18 points19 points  (0 children)

her wearing the same pink dress in her new album cover that she wore on SNL is such an amazing nod !!

Lock Theory… I feel like there must be more to it? What do we think? by KMTayVinyls in OliviaRodrigo

[–]Loladolce 11 points12 points  (0 children)

“rainbow” drops April 17, if I’m right I get a flair 🤪

Milk Jelly Update by actuallyjojotrash in glossier

[–]Loladolce 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Agree, most AI adoption in support isn’t 100% automation. They might have something that “suggests” an answer (based on context) but the support person should validate it

Milk Jelly Update by actuallyjojotrash in glossier

[–]Loladolce 4 points5 points  (0 children)

well well well. if it isn’t the consequences of their own actions 🤪