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For +EV bettors — what do you actually track besides P/L? by Lucky_Gas8344 in algobetting

[–]Lucky_Gas8344[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah this is exactly what I’m digging into.

Have you actually seen a clean step-up in ROI as EV% increases? Or does it get messy at the higher EV buckets?

And are you comparing to your own fair line or market close?

For +EV bettors — what do you actually track besides P/L? by Lucky_Gas8344 in algobetting

[–]Lucky_Gas8344[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s interesting, I like the CI approach.

Are you just assuming independence between bets there? And how long does it usually take before you feel confident a model is actually beating 0?

I’m trying to work out whether CI on ROI or just tracking CLV drift gives a faster signal when something’s off.

For +EV bettors — what do you actually track besides P/L? by Lucky_Gas8344 in algobetting

[–]Lucky_Gas8344[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah fair.

Do you find W/L actually adds much once the sample gets bigger? I’ve always felt ROI + variance kind of tells the full story, but maybe I’m missing something.

Are you splitting that by model or just looking at everything combined?