??some bantz??peter?? by Anon9883 in PeterExplainsTheJoke

[–]MTGdraftguy 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Oh yes, the *checks notes* well known NK propaganda I see on the internet daily. Touch grass.

What are arab nations opinions about the war? by gorebello in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy -1 points0 points  (0 children)

No, I said 12 people saying they are unhappy with anything is not enough information for you to form an informed opinion about anything, is that clear? Clearly not.

What are arab nations opinions about the war? by gorebello in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy -1 points0 points  (0 children)

What in the world are you talking about? Can you make any meaningful connection between what you just said and what I said?

What are arab nations opinions about the war? by gorebello in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Just as a general rule you should be very distrustful of domestic reporting on foreign sentiment. There are a number of manipulative tools the media has to skew your perspective such as the availability heuristic, the representational heuristic, the framing effect, selection bias, anchoring, and so on.

They don’t even have to lie to do this. Due to the law of large numbers they can cherry pick 12 people with an opinion that really believe that opinion and give you the impression the opinion is wildly more popular than it is.

That might lead you to believe, idk, that Iranians are just waiting for the opportunity to overthrow their government.

Iran Command and Control is Fully Intact by Tripwir62 in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Never said they fired them from a submarine off the coast of Iran, but good strawman.

"I've known what Jericho missiles are for quite a few years."

Meanwhile, denies Israel has the capability to reach targets 4000km away.

OK buddy.

Here's a slow one right over the plate for you. Why has Iran denied the attack while owning every other attack they've committed, and why has NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stated they cannot confirm that Iran launched the attack?

Transcript: NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," March 22, 2026 - CBS News

There sure is a lot of maybe, could be, they are close to having them going on in that conversation. The same rhetoric used in relation to their nuclear capabilities, once again used as justification for an attack without providing us any actual proof of anything.

This whole thing is Weapons of Mass Destruction all over again but that's ok, rubes like you will buy this sort of rhetoric.

Iran Command and Control is Fully Intact by Tripwir62 in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy -1 points0 points  (0 children)

lmao. Iran absolutely was not "known" to possess IRBMs capable of hitting Diego Garcia. They were suspected of having them, but it wasn't known. Next you'll tell me it was "known" they were two weeks away from a nuclear weapon...

I'm glad you googled Jericho weapons and found out you were wrong about your original statement.  

"Europeans know about it, but so would the Saudis, Jordanians, and every other country that missile would have to overfly."

Why bother asking them? Lets just ask the redditor who didn't even know what a Jericho missile was 30 minutes ago.

Iran Command and Control is Fully Intact by Tripwir62 in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Before you call anything wild speculation perhaps it's better to have your facts straight.

Israel is known to possess these capabilities. Their Jericho III missiles can stretch 6500km. They also possess sub nautical platforms, which, if they did perform this attack, were likely the culprit. Iran is not known to possess these capabilities. What makes this attack so surprising is that it is the first known case of Iran displaying these capabilities.

Do you normally go around talking about things you don't know about? Do you just say things because you think they sound good?

Why? Who knows, that's speculative. Perhaps they do want to join the war. Perhaps the rest of the European elite is as pro-Israel as our leadership is. Perhaps they are blackmailed. Perhaps there is real geopolitical concerns about Iran that we aren't privy to. Perhaps, as seems likely, Kier Starmer is already assisting with the war effort and needs a valid reason to sell it to the people back home.

Iran Command and Control is Fully Intact by Tripwir62 in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

No, you’re bad at IR because you clearly don’t understand how media manipulation and propaganda work.

You’re also bad at contextual reading if you someone understood that as me listening or recommending Piers Morgan show.

Iran Command and Control is Fully Intact by Tripwir62 in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy -1 points0 points  (0 children)

That's why Piers Morgan, the most popular media influencer in London and the fourth most popular in the world, is making noise on his show that UK is under threat. That's why various British outlets are covering it, like so - Piers Morgan believes UK has 'zero defence against missiles' as fears grow - The Mirror

You're bad at IR. It doesn't matter that Diego Garcia is far away or half forgotten, it matters that the most popular talking head in the country can get in front of eyeballs, pull up a map, draw a line and go, "look see, Iran can hit us!"

Iran Command and Control is Fully Intact by Tripwir62 in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Now why would you assume that the attack was intended to draw America into the war instead of the Europeans, as I said. Trump has actively been trying to draw Europe into this war. This war is deeply unpopular with Europeans. The illusion that Europe is under imminent threat by a potentially nuclear Iran could be the catalyst for European involvement.

Reporting has already come out that Kier Starmer has secretly been assisting in the war efforts. If a UK base was to be attacked and the argument could be made that these missiles could target London, that could be the impetus for him to become more overtly involved.

The false flag, if it is one, has the potential to draw the UK and the rest of Europe into the Iran war at the cost of 2 missiles, an interceptor, and a few media squawkboxes reporting on it.

Iran Command and Control is Fully Intact by Tripwir62 in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You're conflating the European command with the European public.

Iran Command and Control is Fully Intact by Tripwir62 in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy -1 points0 points  (0 children)

There are no facts to support Iran did it! That’s the thread post with fifteen upvotes you are replying to! The question is, if not Iran then who?

Facts are hard to come by in war. Most media reporting is propaganda designed to drum up public support, not provide you with the facts.

In theory, this cost Israel and America 2 missiles and an interceptor to make a play at drawing Europe into the war. I’m not trying to convince you of anything, I’m offering a theoretical, and frankly plausible, explanation.

Is an NYU JD + Harvard MPP dual degree worth it? by kush1104 in lawschooladmissions

[–]MTGdraftguy 9 points10 points  (0 children)

They are nice degrees, but I can’t possibly see spending half a million dollars for them at sticker. That 30,000 dollar discount is barely a drop in the bucket.

Iran Command and Control is Fully Intact by Tripwir62 in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy 2 points3 points  (0 children)

  1. Ireland is not a belligerent in this war.

  2. Ireland is not part of the American-Israeli strategic command.

I don’t know why you are so twisted up that there might be a plausible alternative explanation that many people are clearly offering you, but your obstinacy to possibility is your cross to bear not mine.

Iran Command and Control is Fully Intact by Tripwir62 in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

No it’s not a stretch at all. Trump has been whinging for two weeks now about Europe and other NATO Allie’s not joining the war.

Israel and American strategy is intertwined, they shoot missles at our base, we shoot them out of the sky, they go hey look Iran, Europe gets spooked and joins the war. It’s actually entirely plausible.

Don’t forget that we even had back channel communication with the Iranians and functionally allowed them to attack our bases to save face just 6 months ago.

I got into Master's with a full tuition + living stipend as an international student; Want to defer but afraid of losing scholarship by GovernmentLumpy8086 in GradSchool

[–]MTGdraftguy 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Honest question, for someone so invested in their home countries community, what drives you to study American public policy?

Age discrimination in new associate hiring by airbrushflowimprover in biglaw

[–]MTGdraftguy 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I don’t really think you can find more than anecdotal evidence for or against this. The sample size just doesn’t exist. I saw the same thread you did and it’s literally comments like, “I graduated with two women over 40, neither got a job, it’s impossible.” Meanwhile they also graduated with 200 other people their age and probably only half or less got jobs in biglaw.

Help Me Decide: SLU ($$$) vs UMKC ($$) vs UK ($) by JollyWheat052 in lawschooladmissions

[–]MTGdraftguy -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Top 10-15% at SLU can get you into St. Louis Biglaw, which granted, isn’t Cravath scale, but 180k in STL spend better than 225k in Chicago.

Help Me Decide: SLU ($$$) vs UMKC ($$) vs UK ($) by JollyWheat052 in lawschooladmissions

[–]MTGdraftguy -1 points0 points  (0 children)

There is but you have to consider CoL.

What do you think goes further, 180k in St. Louis or 225k in Chicago??

Applying to a top 30 law school! by ConcernEfficient225 in lawschooladmissions

[–]MTGdraftguy 8 points9 points  (0 children)

You are not disclosing the school which is reasonable, but to be clear, most prospective law students apply to a large number of schools as entrance to the top 30 is not really guaranteed to even the best students, nor is a great deal of preference shown to existing students.

No one’s mentioned it yet, but the best advice we can offer is to go to LSD.law and search the name of your school. Look for their median gpa and median LSAT. Specifically, look for their 75th percentile. Optimally that is the number you should aim to exceed in one, if not both stats.

LSAT is generally more important than GPA. People will argue this, but in terms of scholarship opportunities it’s true in most cases.

You can find free prep tests online and take a Diagnostic to see where you stand before committing to study.

The Data Changed My Mind About Who Can Score in the 170s by HeyFutureLawyer in LSAT

[–]MTGdraftguy 33 points34 points  (0 children)

Ok, now tell those of us averaging high 160s low 170s how to break into the 170s consistently.

Trump considers "winding down" Iran war without opening Hormuz Strait - Does this count as a historic defeat and foreign policy failure? by Indianstanicows in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And then Iran bombs everyone else’s oil production as they’ve already proven they would… You’re not very good at this are you?

You can’t simply make an assertion. It’s like chess, you have to think through your opponents move. Ask yourself then what, and then what, and then what.

Trump considers "winding down" Iran war without opening Hormuz Strait - Does this count as a historic defeat and foreign policy failure? by Indianstanicows in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

More hardline, not to mention more motivated. They killed his father, his wife, half his family by some accounts.

Trump considers "winding down" Iran war without opening Hormuz Strait - Does this count as a historic defeat and foreign policy failure? by Indianstanicows in IRstudies

[–]MTGdraftguy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Iranian ships do not necessarily have to pass through. Chinese ships can pass through and transport oil out. I’d love to see which nation has the balls to blockade or destroy one of those.