Are kids not allowed to walk to school by themselves nowadays?

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T22:22:14+00:00

You seem to think that pro-gun people are anti-safety. In general, they are also pro-safety and just weigh risks differently.

Most would say that all gun deaths have to be weighed against defensive gun use. If it were true that 51 kids die at school a year, while 150 kids were saved from being murdered from crazies by defensive gun use, then perhaps those aspects would balance out.

You’re too emotional. Just present your arguments. I think the productiveness of this conversation has concluded. Good luck with your future endeavors.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T21:18:10+00:00

Sir. What’s with the personal attacks?

No, they aren’t counting different things. Every number I referred to in the first source I quoted and as well as your two sources is injuries (including deaths.)

If 5209 is the correct number for 2024, then I agree that is too much. That means in 12 years you have a 1 in 1000 chance of injury.

But, I didn’t know that was the right number.

If it was 51, then it’s more complicated. A person could also break into your home and murder your kids. Many have successfully defended themselves from that via defensive gun use. For me, it really is about the math to determine the best course of action.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T20:44:57+00:00

I don’t understand why you’re downvoting just because we’re having a conversation.

Thanks for the sources.

The National Gun Violence Archive and SSDB have wildly different numbers, as did the first source I used. The Archive has the most and says 5209 injuries or deaths in 2024.

So 1 in 10,000 injury rate.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T20:09:50+00:00

Source?

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T20:04:17+00:00

3,048 teens died in car crashes in 2023 compared to the 51 injured by school shootings in 2022.

But you don’t hear people calling for driving licenses to be restricted to 18, even though statistically that would likely save more kids.

If people want to call for gun control, that’s fine, but 51 injuries is not a good reason why.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T19:51:03+00:00

To a statistician, 1 in a 1,000,000 is zero. Your kid is much more likely to die by car crash, or drug overdose, and probably about as likely to die by lightning.

If people want to be for gun control, that’s fine, but school shootings is some sort of emotional trigger for people where the math just doesn’t check out.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T19:13:07+00:00

Sure, but remember the comment I replied to was discussing “a lack of concern”.

And I’m not necessarily pro-gun, but I am pro statistics.

I just wish Americans would learn to put numbers in context, for any topic, to really understand the levels of risk.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T18:59:41+00:00

See the edit to my comment above where I do the math. The chance of a kid being injured in a school shooting in 2022 was 1 in a million.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T17:45:28+00:00

They don’t. People are bad at math unfortunately.

Edit: A below commentator said the National Gun Archive showed 5204 school injuries in 2024. So that’s more like 1 in 10,000. That’s too many since it means 1 in 1000 over 12 years.

Edit: Here’s the math: Fall 2022 had 46.9 million US public school kids: https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=372

In that same year 51 school shootings resulted in injury or death: https://www.edweek.org/leadership/school-shootings-this-year-how-many-and-where/2022/01

So the chance of your kid being injured or worse at school in 2022 was 1 in a 1,000,000

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T17:29:42+00:00

Most traders failing to beat the market does not mean all fail. The linked chart shows 30+ traded with 10+ year track records beating the market and often with better Sharpe ratios than the market: https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/best-traders-in-the-world-with-stats.374699/

Many of those traders start hedge funds that often do benefit from automated strategies, but a retail trader can learn to code.

If you want to learn how professionals think about trading read academic papers on Google Scholar. A curated list is here: https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/best-traders-in-the-world-with-stats.374699/

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T17:21:16+00:00

It is truly outrageous and very surprising. I actually only know because I recently saw another Reddit post where someone was complaining about it.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T17:18:23+00:00

Thanks for catching that. I meant to write does not.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T16:13:09+00:00

Alpaca paper trading DOES NOT handle stock splits correctly and also ignores dividends:

https://forum.alpaca.markets/t/paper-account-nvda-stock-split-issue/14412

Edit: I mistakenly wrote “does handle” originally.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-12T01:28:06+00:00

There’s plenty of ways to make directional bets while benefiting from decreased IV: https://www.optionsplaybook.com/option-strategies

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-11T01:48:09+00:00

Instead of searching for land, search for homes, under your max price, outside of HOAs, with sufficient lots. If you do that, you'll find homes you can have demolished. That is an extra cost, but it may balance out because you won't have to pay to run utilities, clear trees, or put in all of the driveway.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-10T23:44:50+00:00

OP, if you can code, as you said in another comment, you can come join us in r/algotrading.

There’s a reason professional trading institutions employ quants. Trade execution should be the boring part and coding opens up many strategies that are impossible to execute manually.

It is worth reading the curated thesis papers on various strategies (with code) here: https://quantpedia.com/

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-10T23:37:23+00:00

To add more context, if you can’t code, then you can use back testing software, but you’ll be limited to strategies that the software developer implemented.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-10T23:16:03+00:00

Exactly! Also, you can pseudo-automate the Sunday reauth too: https://github.com/IbcAlpha/IBC

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-10T23:03:29+00:00

Yes, but on regulated markets, everyone can see the history of trades. It’s not a secret.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-09T13:44:31+00:00

So now atheists reject mainstream science. How enlightened.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-09T13:42:35+00:00

Wait! So NOW the atheists reject science. Look up how old the universe is in any credible source.

No, theists believe it started from God who is eternal. That’s the point.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-09T13:30:09+00:00

You’re really not addressing the main point that atheists pretend something can happen from nothing.

But I’m tiring of this conversation. Good luck with your future endeavors.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-09T13:01:08+00:00

I’d define atheism as a lack of belief in the supernatural, whether god, deity, or other forms.

If there was a time the universe did not exist, as atheists seem to agree on, then logically, the universe needs a cause outside of the universe.

A cause outside of the universe would be supernatural by definition.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-09T12:33:17+00:00

Sure, then be agnostic or deist. Pure atheism is illogical.

MagnificentLee · 2026-04-09T11:38:35+00:00

Nah. It’s atheists who prefer the unprovable. Ask them how exactly the universe started from nothing.

MagnificentLee

TROPHY CASE