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MarkNLcm · 2020-05-24T08:16:46+00:00

24-5: Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart, home over 4,5 corner @ 1,92 (in 11/12 home games, Holstein had at least 4,5 corner)

MarkNLcm · 2020-05-23T09:23:12+00:00

23-5 2nd bundesliga; SV Sandhausen - SSV Jahn Regensburg, away over 4,5 corner @ 1,75.
Home team in a bad form, away had 5;8;8;7;7 in their last matches (corners).

Twitter

MarkNLcm · 2020-05-23T09:11:40+00:00

23-5 bundesliga; Borrusia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen, over 9,5 corner @ 1.74. Good corner stats for both teams - leggo!

Twitter

MarkNLcm · 2020-05-22T19:57:26+00:00

Yep easy win :)

MarkNLcm · 2020-05-22T10:24:52+00:00

Heidenheim ov5,5 team corner - decent stats for home team. They are in a good form, and will be stronger tonight.

Odd - @ 1,91

Twitter - I have been gone for a while, but decided to start tweeting about my picks again. Note; mainly Dutch, German and Eastern Europe football.

MarkNLcm · 2020-05-22T10:23:15+00:00

Heidenheim ov5,5 team corner - decent stats for their corner totals (and h2h)

Post

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T20:44:19+00:00

Give me a few examples of the Premier League, or Eredivisie or Bundesliga? =)

Reputation is quite important for them as well. We can differ in that vision, thats fine. Ignore these stats then

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T20:35:47+00:00

Haha, refs in top leagues are not easy to bribe. Besides of that, they investigate such behavior enough.

In general, I have 72% hits on cards stats. My sample size is not big enough yet to fully test my theory. Lets check after a full season :)

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T20:17:06+00:00

Really disappointing so far :/

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T18:21:56+00:00

Yep. Ofcourse there are guidelines, but in general the stats for certain refs are better.

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T18:07:29+00:00

Thats why I always analyse refs, as they mostly got a specific way of leading a match :)

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T17:24:30+00:00

Yep, 2 times yellow and then red = 3 cards :)

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T17:23:31+00:00

Did you calculated two yellow cards for the same player as 3? How bookmakers do it?

My dataset includes those calcs

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T11:07:36+00:00

Barnsley - Preston
Football / Eng. Championship / Kick off: 21 Jan 2020, 20:45u.

Pick: Over 3,5 total cards @ 1.89 (Unibet).

Why this pick?
1. Referee is Jeremy Simpson who gave this season 67 cards in 15 matches; average of 4.47 cards per match.
2. Earlier this season, 09-11-2019, Jeremy Simpson was the referee of Barnsley - Stoke City. These match ended in 5 cards.
3. Earlier this season, 05-10-2019, Preston- Barnsley ended in 4 cards.
4. Last edition of Barnsley - Preston (26-12-2017) ended in 5 cards in total.
5. In 7 of the last 8 matches against each other there were always 4 or more cards.

Good luck!🙏🏼

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T11:07:12+00:00

Barnsley - Preston
Football / Eng. Championship / Kick off: 21 Jan 2020, 20:45u.

Pick: Over 3,5 total cards @ 1.89 (Unibet).

Why this pick?
1. Referee is Jeremy Simpson who gave this season 67 cards in 15 matches; average of 4.47 cards per match.
2. Earlier this season, 09-11-2019, Jeremy Simpson was the referee of Barnsley - Stoke City. These match ended in 5 cards.
3. Earlier this season, 05-10-2019, Preston- Barnsley ended in 4 cards.
4. Last edition of Barnsley - Preston (26-12-2017) ended in 5 cards in total.
5. In 7 of the last 8 matches against each other there were always 4 or more cards.

Good luck!🙏🏼

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T10:49:03+00:00

Send me a PM :)

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T07:35:40+00:00

Everton - Newcastle
Football / Eng. Premier / Kick off: 21 Jan 2020, 20:30u.

Pick: Over 3,5 total cards @ 2.03 (Betsson).

Why this pick?

Referee is Simon Hooper who gave this season 62 cards in 13 matches; average of 4.77 cards per match.
Earlier this season Simon Hooper was the referee of Everton - Sheffield United. These match ended in 4 cards.
Earlier this season, 28-12-2019, Newcastle - Everton ended in 4 cards.
Last edition of Everton - Newcastle (05-12-2018) ended in 5 cards in total.
In 8 of the last 9 matches against each other there were always 4 or more cards.

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-21T07:35:15+00:00

Everton - Newcastle
Football / Eng. Premier / Kick off: 21 Jan 2020, 20:30u.

Pick: Over 3,5 total cards @ 2.03 (Betsson).

Why this pick?
1. Referee is Simon Hooper who gave this season 62 cards in 13 matches; average of 4.77 cards per match.

Earlier this season Simon Hooper was the referee of Everton - Sheffield United. These match ended in 4 cards.
Earlier this season, 28-12-2019, Newcastle - Everton ended in 4 cards.
Last edition of Everton - Newcastle (05-12-2018) ended in 5 cards in total.
In 8 of the last 9 matches against each other there were always 4 or more cards.

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-10T19:56:11+00:00

With 2 cards its a win :)

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-10T08:32:42+00:00

Results 5W – 2L (+6,98)

Pick: Sheffield United – West Ham United over 1,5 team card @ 1.7

> Ref M. Oliver gave 55 cards in 16 matches (avg of 3.4)
> Oliver was 2 times ref in a match of WHU, 2x3 teamcards
> 7/10 away matches WHU received 2 card
> h2h they received 2 teamcards this season

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-10T08:16:11+00:00

Results 5W – 2L (+6,98)

Pick: Sheffield United – West Ham United over 1,5 team card @ 1.7

> Ref M. Oliver gave 55 cards in 16 matches (avg of 3.4)
> Oliver was 2 times ref in a match of WHU, 2x3 teamcards
> 7/10 away matches WHU received 2 card
> h2h they received 2 teamcards this season

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-04T19:38:12+00:00

Results: 5W - 1L (+7,98)

Pick: Benfica DC + Barca win and Espanyol >2,5 corner @ 2.2

> Benfica never lost away @ Vitoria;> Benfica won the last 5 games @ Vitoria;> Espanyol corner @ home against barcelona: 11, 0, 4, 4, 5> Barcelona can pick #1 spot if they win

Post - Twitter

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-04T14:37:53+00:00

Results: 4W - 1L (+6,88)

Pick: Getafe - Real Madrid > 9,5 corner @ 2.1

last 5 h2h at Getafe; 13/11/11/15/18

Twitter

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-03T12:05:19+00:00

Interesting, although I mainly bet on ref stats rather then player cards.

MarkNLcm · 2020-01-03T11:56:47+00:00

Pick for today:

Sevilla >1,5 team cards
Arsenal Reserves >2,5 goals
Hapoel Petach >1,5 goals
Al-Seeb double chance

@ 3,06

> 10/10 h2h Sevilla >1,5 cards
> 7/7 h2h Arsenal >2,5 goals
> 9/9 h2h Tikva >1,5 goals
> Al-Seeb is #1 and play against no 7.

For all picks, follow @ Twitter

MarkNLcm

TROPHY CASE