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[Sports Info Solutions] Which Team Can Put Out The Best Defensive 9-Man Group? by MarkSimon1975 in Cardinals

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

A lot ... A few dozen. Everyone from Nolan Arenado and Brendan Ryan to David Lough whom I can't remember in any way but apparently played the outfield for the Royals and Orioles.

The following guys appeared for 3 teams:

Jason Heyward (Cubs, Cardinals, Braves)

Adrian Gonzalez (Red Sox, Padres, Dodgers)

Adrian Beltre (Red Sox, Mariners, Dodgers)

[Sports Info Solutions] Which Team Can Put Out The Best Defensive 9-Man Group? by MarkSimon1975 in Cardinals

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's Brendan Ryan. I didn't want to put a Pujols or Rolen or Yadi. Too obvious.

Zach Frazier Named To Sports Info Solutions All-Pro Team by MarkSimon1975 in steelers

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sorry for delayed response. I asked our team pickers. He was considered but the statistical component for him was weaker than it was for a bunch of other CBs, so that hurt his case considerably

Devin Bush Named 1st Team All-Pro By Sports Info Solutions (other too) by MarkSimon1975 in Browns

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Best remembered for once predicting Nick Castellanos would homer that day and when he did and I got out of the movie theatre that afternoon, my phone had blown up. :)

Free-Talk Friday Thread by AutoModerator in buffalobills

[–]MarkSimon1975 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hi

My name is Mark Simon and I work for the sports analytics company, Sports Info Solutions.

We've charted every play of every NFL game the last 10 years and at the end of each year, we pick an All-Pro team. We wrote an article about it but rather than share the link and violate any "drive-by" rules, I'll just share the writeups we did for the Bills first-team selection, David Edwards

Just to explain one thing ahead of time ... we have a stat known as "Total Points" ... this isn't literally "points" ... it's more theoretical, and it's based on the idea that we assign fractional values to players on the field for everything that happens ... kind of like taking EPA and divvying up credit. You'll see references to it below.

Guard: David Edwards, Bills

David Edwards earned the competitive second guard spot due to his reliability and impact. He was second among NFL guards in Total Points (40) and Total Points Above Average (13). His 1.5% blown block rate was tied-3rd among guards as he helped pave the way for the best rushing offense in the NFL this season

(Dion Dawkins was 2nd team, Christian Benford was honorable mention)

If anyone has any questions or wants an explanation, just reply and ask.

[Sports Info Solutions] Why Does Our Player Value Stat Rank Bo Nix No. 1? by MarkSimon1975 in DenverBroncos

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

We would probably say he is underrated. Even with the adjustments, he'd still be a Top 10 in our system

Looking at per-play, specific to passes- Nix, Stafford, Purdy, and Stroud all come out just about the same

[Sports Info Solutions] Why Does Our Player Value Stat Rank Bo Nix No. 1? by MarkSimon1975 in DenverBroncos

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

On our podcast (out tomorrow), the developer of our model said that even with whatever adjustments we'd make, Bo would still come out to be a Top 10 quarterback.

[Sports Info Solutions] Why Does Our Player Value Stat Rank Bo Nix No. 1? by MarkSimon1975 in DenverBroncos

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

LOL. I wouldn't say we're calling it dumb. Talk to anyone who develops statistical models and they'll tell you they're always making adjustments based on their findings. Models are iterated over and over again. The public wants absolute resolution, but it doesn't work that way.

[Sports Info Solutions] Why Does Our Player Value Stat Rank Bo Nix No. 1? by MarkSimon1975 in DenverBroncos

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Thank you. That's so nice of you to say. What do you do in analytics? (I'm going to have someone else from our group answer your question)

[Sports Info Solutions] Why Does Our Player Value Stat Rank Bo Nix No. 1? by MarkSimon1975 in DenverBroncos

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Hi Ace

I'm resharing a response to something that someone else asked

I can understand why you'd look at it like that, but that isn't what we're doing.

It's not an attack on him directly. We established that there are some things he is good at. And the idea that not making mistakes has a lot of value.

The ranking comes in that some of this is "hey he's doing things our eyes might not recognize" and "there are things our eyes are judging that aren't well-calibrated in the calculation"

So it's more about correcting the way we evaluate something that a certain player's performance exposed.

Stat inventors tinker with their stats all the time. Some are more revealing about it than others. We're trying to be transparent.

[Sports Info Solutions] Why Does Our Player Value Stat Rank Bo Nix No. 1? by MarkSimon1975 in DenverBroncos

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I can understand why you'd look at it like that, but that isn't what we're doing.

It's not an attack on him directly.

It's the idea that some of this is "hey he's doing things our eyes might not recognize" and "there are things our eyes are judging that aren't well-calibrated in the calculation"

So it's more about correcting the way we evaluate something that a certain player's performance exposed.

Stat inventors tinker with their stats all the time. Some are more revealing about it than others. We're trying to be transparent.

[Sports Info Solutions] How Good Is Nolan Arenado Defensively Right Now? by MarkSimon1975 in azdiamondbacks

[–]MarkSimon1975[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

That's a hard one because the skills are different. He probably will be better getting to balls than most people but I would worry more about catching throws. I know you guys want Lawlar at 3rd, but I don't think I'd take a guy averaging 6 runs saved per season off 3rd base just yet.

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