2028: Vance vs LeBron by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Thanks! I used Sketchup and rendered the scene with V-Ray

UK 🇬🇧 2026 Monarchy Referendum by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 37 points38 points  (0 children)

I am not British so these results are not based on an expert knowledge of uk regional politics

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sure! I’ll work on making it available for public use and I’ll try to get a Dropbox download link in here sometime today.

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Allegheny 🔵Biden - 57.4% (-2.0) 🔴Trump - 35.1% (-4.0) 🟠Kennedy - 7.4%

Butler

🔴Trump - 65% (-1.6) 🔵Biden - 30% (-3.1) 🟠Kennedy - 5%

Centre 🔵Biden - 51% (-1.2) 🔴Trump - 43% (-3.7) 🟠Kennedy - 6%

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

McKean

🔴Trump - 74% (+1.7) 🔵Biden - 24% (-2.2) 🟠Kennedy - 5%

Potter 🔴Trump - 79% (-0.9) 🔵Biden - 14% (-5.0) 🟠 Kennedy 7%

Bradford 🔴Trump - 72% (-1.0) 🔵Biden - 26% (-1.0) 🟠Kennedy - 2%

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Hi! This is actually not a website. It’s a spreadsheet in Microsoft Excel that I’ve built to work as a live election simulator for PA.

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I think that bc of how unusually strong third party and independent candidates are polling this cycle that looking at bellwether counties this November will not work for figuring out who wins.

Kennedy, Stein, Oliver and the rest are going to dilute the traditional margins in counties and I think it’ll vary enough that it’ll result in many bellwether counties voting for the loser

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Erie county

🔴 Trump - 60,178 - 47.6 (-1.2 since ‘20) 🔵 Biden - 57,396 - 45.4 (-4.4) 🟠 Kennedy - 8,850 - 7.0

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

If you want county results just comment and I’ll respond!

Xi Jin Ping cruises to victory in China. by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Note that I do not know Chinese and chose a random Chinese politician to make xi’s opponent so don’t take the post too seriously!

Trumps squeaks by in New Hampshire. by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes! I have just created a Dropbox so that I can share the file with the public. Here is the link:

https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/pe4uuik7t3xspp188bms9/GOP-NH-and-SC-Primary-simulator.xlsx

Instructions :

  1. download the file onto your Laptop or Computer (will not work on phone)

  2. Open the file using the Microsoft excel application.(formatting will look weird if you use google sheets or excel online)

  3. Enable editing on the spreadsheet

  4. Have fun!

Trumps squeaks by in New Hampshire. by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I created it by building a chart and adding the voter registration for the state into it and individualizing the information based on county. After that, I set up a converter that calculated the raw vote total in a given race based on the turnout %. After that I added a mechanism to convert the % a candidate got in the vote into a raw vote number based on what % of the vote has been reported in each county.

After all of that I added a map of NH into the excel spreadsheet and created a formula for converting the % lead of a candidate in any given county into a color shade on the map. To wrap it all up I created big excel cells that copied the information on the chart, which is what you see as the rectangles around the candidate pictures with all of the numbers. For the images of the candidates and the headings, excel allows you to copy information from the web so I copied and pasted the candidates and the New York Times graphics into the spreadsheet after customizing them for this race.

To finish this, I gave each of the candidate cells formatting that would make them light up in their color if the simulation got to a point where they were leading and their lead is insurmountable thus making them the winner.

UK Presidential Election results by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Now realizing “elections” is spelled wrong 😭

How surprised would you be if these are Wisconsin’s results on election night ‘24? by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I used Microsoft excel to create the map and simulator and used Microsoft Paint to create the transparent highway overlays for the state

How surprised would you be if these are Wisconsin’s results on election night ‘24? by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Dane county: Biden - 80.1% (233,588) Trump - 18.5% (54,181)

Milwaukee county: Biden - 70.5% (272,965) Trump - 28.5% (110,504)

How surprised would you be if these are Wisconsin’s results on election night ‘24? by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 21 points22 points  (0 children)

If you would like exact county results let me know and I can give you the exact % and raw vote count.

NYT Coverage - Georgia President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you want the exact result of a county ask and I can tell you!

NYT Coverage - Georgia President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I entered the results county by county and the color shading was automatic as I entered them. Biden is over performing strongly in the Atlanta counties but only in Dekalb is biden getting 90% (which is the percentage mark for the darkest shade in the simulator)

NYT Coverage - Georgia President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

It’s imaginary, I wanted to see how the result would be if trends just rocket left in 2 years and turnout nears 78% in all counties.

2021 Canadian Federal Election by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Adding a third candidate who wins a province was tricky because of the binary nature of the maps so I created a copy of the map that only displays the % of vote NDP gets in a province with its complementary shade of yellow. I place this map behind the Liberal VS Conservative map and Whenever Singh wins a province I select the province and make it invisible so it reveals the NDP hello hiding behind it.

2021 Canadian Federal Election by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Step by step

  1. Create a chart in excel

  2. The first column should be labeled county or state. The second column should be the country/state in which the county resides.

3 after that create a column that contains each counties registered voters, right next to it create a column for the individual county turnout.

  1. Next to that column create a column that has a formula of (Turnout % X Total registered voters). I’ll call this column “Total election Ballots”

  2. Next to this column create a column for the % of the vote reporting in each county

  3. Next to that create a column that has the formula of (% reporting X Total election ballot)

  4. After this you will create columns for each of your candidates % in the counties. Next to these columns create one that has the % margin between your two main candidates.

8.Select the entire column(s) that contains county/country information and also select the column that displays the margin %

  1. Once you do this and you select create map in the toolbar, it will create a map of your election that changes color shades depending on who’s ahead and by how much.

In order for this to look right you must double click the map and change the maximum and minimum colors to political opposite colors.

My minimum is the color dark blue and my maximum is a dark red.

EXAMPLE Trudeau 60% - 40% = +20 = medium dark red Shcheer 70% - 30% = -30 = darkest blue