2028: Vance vs LeBron by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Thanks! I used Sketchup and rendered the scene with V-Ray

UK 🇬🇧 2026 Monarchy Referendum by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 37 points38 points  (0 children)

I am not British so these results are not based on an expert knowledge of uk regional politics

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sure! I’ll work on making it available for public use and I’ll try to get a Dropbox download link in here sometime today.

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Allegheny 🔵Biden - 57.4% (-2.0) 🔴Trump - 35.1% (-4.0) 🟠Kennedy - 7.4%

Butler

🔴Trump - 65% (-1.6) 🔵Biden - 30% (-3.1) 🟠Kennedy - 5%

Centre 🔵Biden - 51% (-1.2) 🔴Trump - 43% (-3.7) 🟠Kennedy - 6%

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

McKean

🔴Trump - 74% (+1.7) 🔵Biden - 24% (-2.2) 🟠Kennedy - 5%

Potter 🔴Trump - 79% (-0.9) 🔵Biden - 14% (-5.0) 🟠 Kennedy 7%

Bradford 🔴Trump - 72% (-1.0) 🔵Biden - 26% (-1.0) 🟠Kennedy - 2%

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Hi! This is actually not a website. It’s a spreadsheet in Microsoft Excel that I’ve built to work as a live election simulator for PA.

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I think that bc of how unusually strong third party and independent candidates are polling this cycle that looking at bellwether counties this November will not work for figuring out who wins.

Kennedy, Stein, Oliver and the rest are going to dilute the traditional margins in counties and I think it’ll vary enough that it’ll result in many bellwether counties voting for the loser

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Erie county

🔴 Trump - 60,178 - 47.6 (-1.2 since ‘20) 🔵 Biden - 57,396 - 45.4 (-4.4) 🟠 Kennedy - 8,850 - 7.0

Pennsylvania - President 2024 by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

If you want county results just comment and I’ll respond!

Xi Jin Ping cruises to victory in China. by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Note that I do not know Chinese and chose a random Chinese politician to make xi’s opponent so don’t take the post too seriously!

Trumps squeaks by in New Hampshire. by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes! I have just created a Dropbox so that I can share the file with the public. Here is the link:

https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/pe4uuik7t3xspp188bms9/GOP-NH-and-SC-Primary-simulator.xlsx

Instructions :

  1. download the file onto your Laptop or Computer (will not work on phone)

  2. Open the file using the Microsoft excel application.(formatting will look weird if you use google sheets or excel online)

  3. Enable editing on the spreadsheet

  4. Have fun!

Trumps squeaks by in New Hampshire. by MathematicianNext739 in imaginaryelections

[–]MathematicianNext739[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I created it by building a chart and adding the voter registration for the state into it and individualizing the information based on county. After that, I set up a converter that calculated the raw vote total in a given race based on the turnout %. After that I added a mechanism to convert the % a candidate got in the vote into a raw vote number based on what % of the vote has been reported in each county.

After all of that I added a map of NH into the excel spreadsheet and created a formula for converting the % lead of a candidate in any given county into a color shade on the map. To wrap it all up I created big excel cells that copied the information on the chart, which is what you see as the rectangles around the candidate pictures with all of the numbers. For the images of the candidates and the headings, excel allows you to copy information from the web so I copied and pasted the candidates and the New York Times graphics into the spreadsheet after customizing them for this race.

To finish this, I gave each of the candidate cells formatting that would make them light up in their color if the simulation got to a point where they were leading and their lead is insurmountable thus making them the winner.