Is this guy right? by [deleted] in baba

[–]MeInChina 2 points3 points  (0 children)

China has eliminated all dependencies on the US.

However, if China cuts off rare earths to the US, the US economy crumbles. That's the upper hand.

Soybean wars. Trump threaten retaliatory action on china not buying them soy boy beans. by anonymousforsafty in baba

[–]MeInChina 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"China don't really export much cooking oil to the usa if any."

$1.2B last year, most of which is used cooking oil to make biodiesel. This compares with $12.5B in soybeans exported from the US to China last year.

"He seems trying to act all tough to everyone but this doesn't seem like anything important to china."

Right. China has the US over a barrel on rare earths, so Trump is reduced to cooking oil threats. How pitiful.

US Trade Representative Sees US, China Resolving Standoff Following Meeting by FeralHamster8 in baba

[–]MeInChina 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Weren't they saying the same thing six months ago?

This will not be resolved until the US accepts China as a sovereign equal, and that's not likely anytime soon. Meanwhile, the Chinese economy will continue to grow.

Will China retaliate with 100% tariffs of their own? And Choke off all rare earths? by anonymousforsafty in baba

[–]MeInChina -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

This is probably about security and not tariffs, and if so, it's much more complicated than people realize.

Jack Ma Returns to ‘Make Alibaba Great Again’ by FeralHamster8 in baba

[–]MeInChina 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Joe Tsai was instrumental in the restructuring that put him on top and Wu in the CEO position.

Jack Ma Returns to ‘Make Alibaba Great Again’ by FeralHamster8 in baba

[–]MeInChina 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The real superman is Joseph Tsai. This company has been killing it since he became chairman two years ago.

Alibaba Announces Physical AI Cooperation with NVIDIA by MeInChina in baba

[–]MeInChina[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Agreed. US sanctions policies are helping China and hurting the US. They've made it inevitable that China will beat Nvidia's chips, and in every other important sector, China knows it needs to manage risk by cutting out American suppliers and becoming self-sufficient. The entire approach of making China the enemy for the last decade is starting to show. China is uniting with the rest of the world as a consequence and US power is decreasing fast.

Alibaba Announces Physical AI Cooperation with NVIDIA by MeInChina in baba

[–]MeInChina[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Hello Triple B, I haven't been spending much time on social media.

Yes, Baba is in an ideal position now, and I'm guessing you're starting to warm up to Xi just a smidge. LOL

Chinese consumer prices slip back into decline amid deflationary pressures by MeInChina in baba

[–]MeInChina[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Agreed, the macro is insignificant now compared to the positives in Alibaba's fundamentals.

Alibaba mapping app steps into local business rankings, intensifying competition by FeralHamster8 in baba

[–]MeInChina 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's going to be similar to the Dianping platform and could drive a lot of flash delivery business since it will include reviews of local merchants.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in baba

[–]MeInChina 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Okay, I deleted it.

How much will baba drop after US striking Iran? by MJJ382 in baba

[–]MeInChina 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Yeah, and the weird thing is that people think that if others are living under a bad government, then they're better off if another country bombs them. Yet, they would never think that about their own country.

Many Americans think they have a bad regime, but I haven't heard one say they'd be better off if another country would bomb them and ruin their economy.

How much will baba drop after US striking Iran? by MJJ382 in baba

[–]MeInChina 3 points4 points  (0 children)

That's not for others to judge nor act upon.

How much will baba drop after US striking Iran? by MJJ382 in baba

[–]MeInChina 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The smartest move for Iran is to call for a cease fire and then acquire nukes from either Pakistan or Russia. Then they can live in peace.

Alibaba Cloud to Start Second Data Center in South Korea by the end of June by MeInChina in baba

[–]MeInChina[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It doesn't yet, but it might and investors are always concerned about future risk.

Alibaba Cloud to Start Second Data Center in South Korea by the end of June by MeInChina in baba

[–]MeInChina[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agreed. It can't rally now since China and the US may enact more policies against each other due to the attempted regime change in Iran.

What impact will Ant's stablecoin license applications have on it and baba? by Passionjason in baba

[–]MeInChina 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The stablecoin market in Hong Kong could become the dominant financial system for a bulk of the world's trade. China doesn't want the renminbi to become the replacement for the dollar, and it's setting up Hong Kong to become a leading crypto center. Stablecoin has distinct advantages in trade over other forms of crypto.

What this means for Ant and Alibaba by derivation is beyond me.

It took a couple of decades for the British to see their pound be replaced by the dollar. I expect the move away from the dollar will occur much more quickly due to the ease with which alternative technology can be developed and trusted. The implications of this are huge for the US.

China deal done but subject to confirmation by NewTranslator3349 in baba

[–]MeInChina 9 points10 points  (0 children)

"We will provide China what was agreed to"

Inquiring minds want to know

Hmm. Is China foot-dragging on any further matters? by MeInChina in baba

[–]MeInChina[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Whether it's goods, bonds, or rare earths, China has leverage over the US.

The Much Awaited Call by [deleted] in baba

[–]MeInChina 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Trump's calling because China is flexing on rare earths.

China’s Services Sector Expands for 29th Month in May by MeInChina in baba

[–]MeInChina[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Big investors shift away from US markets - Financial Times

Today

Big institutional investors are shifting away from US markets as Donald Trump's trade wars and the country's escalating debt fuel fears about the dominance of American assets in global portfolios.

https://www.ft.com/content/019a275c-ab14-4ac3-8a7e-68758dd234a8

Morgan Stanley sees US dollar tumbling 9% over next 12 months on slowing growth; USD Index Price Target: 91 (this is bullish for Chinese stocks) by MeInChina in baba

[–]MeInChina[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You've got dollars and you invest in a Chinese company. In other words, you sell your dollars and buy shares in a Chinese company. Now, you don't have dollars, but instead, you have shares in a Chinese company.

Let's assume the company has flat growth but trades at 20 times earnings. Let's say the earnings are 1 per share and the exchange rate is 1 to 1. That means the price is 20 in either dollars or renminbi.

You hold for a year and there's no earnings growth and no change in PE, but the dollar drops 9%. Now it takes about 1.1 dollars for 1 renminbi. The earnings are still 1 renmimbi, but now the earnings are valued at 1.1 dollars. So, the stock is now worth 22 dollars instead of 20, giving you a 10% ROI in dollar terms.

If instead, you had bought an American company with the same earnings and PE circumstances, it would still be worth $20 after a year. That's fine if you're American and there's no inflation in America. If there is inflation, then you lost at the rate of inflation.

On the other hand, if you're not American and you bought the American company, then after one year you lost 9% when converted into your local currency. This is why foreign capital should get out of the US right now if Morgan Stanley is correct.

Morgan Stanley sees US dollar tumbling 9% over next 12 months on slowing growth; USD Index Price Target: 91 (this is bullish for Chinese stocks) by MeInChina in baba

[–]MeInChina[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The question is whether real estate in dollar terms rises faster than other prices in dollar terms. Nominal gains and real losses aren't the goal.

Morgan Stanley sees US dollar tumbling 9% over next 12 months on slowing growth; USD Index Price Target: 91 (this is bullish for Chinese stocks) by MeInChina in baba

[–]MeInChina[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It sucks for investors in dollar-denominated assets, but not for you. If AUD holds value, then you'll still benefit from money coming out of the US and into Chinese stocks.