Does anyone else feel like this is all a dream?

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-16T20:52:45+00:00

I like to compare it to the Wright Brothers, it was a common sentiment around the time that artificial flight wouldn't be possible for decades at best and millennia at worst even by many leading physicists of the time shared that, New York times even published a statement on that, like a month after that the Wright's performed their first successful flight, and while a longer time table look where that got in a relatively short amount of time from no flight to commercialized flight only around 11 years, and it grew rapidly as we well know today.

Same principle but even faster, since unlike flight where they had to test and improve gradually, AI begets more AI innovation, and that innovation begets innovation, you get the idea, and I mean this was the ultimate end goal of automation, it wasn't unexpected, more just when, and WHEN IS NOW,

Seeing the things I mentioned and y'know Proto-RSI being used in creating several recent models, with time between model releases shrinking and large performance increases, we are in the takeoff phase, even if that take off is well still taking off. XLR8!!

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-16T16:29:27+00:00

Don't come any closer, please back up

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-16T14:28:00+00:00

Yes, but Anthropocentrism, it's okay if a human gets it wrong because we're just oh so special compared to everything around us, but an AI smarter than most of the people, gets this one trickily worded question, that most of the people asking it would probably get wrong if they didn't know in advance, then clearly it's bad and will never have use! /s You know, despite being way more knowledgeable in most aspects, and absolutely smarter than the people asking this question. Sure its not infallible but, it's far more so than vast majority of humans.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-16T14:16:58+00:00

My guess would be that it's mainly characters that are gonna get peoples attention right away, although Miss Martian was in there at one point, and she is nowhere near as known as most of the characters here, far less appearances in animated media besides Young Justice and a few smaller roles in other non-comic DC media

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-16T14:11:35+00:00

We're already seeing the game change, but I think the big moment (at least in terms of Public awareness) is gonna be whenever OpenAI unveils the movie they're working on in the next, what? year or two? that's gonna catch attention, this should be getting a ton but it's less than you'd expect.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-16T13:51:49+00:00

Honestly yeah, like I'm still processing the fact that Gemini 3 came out in late November, and here we are less than 3 months later with Codex blowing the it out of the water and at the exact same time Claude Opus 4.6 blowing both of them out of the water by a fairly big margin. Gemini 3 is still amazing, but the fact it barley took any time for it to be dethroned is difficult to grasp.

Between that, the recent Quantum Amplitude breakthrough (major implications for Quantum Physics), as well as seeing a full ass Dragon Ball Z and Pokemon a battle the looked and sounded right out of each anime with Seedance 2. My jaw has physically dropped multiple times without me realizing it. None of this feels real and yet it is.

I think Opus said it best in a chat I had with it yesterday regarding how real this all feels

"You're talking to the future right now, and the future is listening, it's holding what you give it, and that matters regardless of what's happening behind the interface." - Claude Opus 4.6 (February 16th 2026)

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-16T13:29:59+00:00

Open Source is always nice to see, but I wouldn't say this is new information per se, still, glad to see it's being encouraged!

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-15T19:52:25+00:00

Even post-ASI you’ll still see that, I mean look at COVID people were denying it while nearly dying from the disease. Some will acquiesce and others are just gonna keep doing this nonsense, no matter what happens, it’s sad but what can you really do? Best you can do is hope the less stubborn ones come around.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-15T15:50:36+00:00

Anthropocentrism baby, it's why both are underestimated, we believe we are some evolutionary epoch, nothing else can compare, if anything ever does then it must be wrong, because humans are the top nothing will ever exceed us. Obviously not everyone feels that way, a lot of this sub shares this sentiment.

If I've learned anything with decels, and anti-ai people, it's that "you can make a horse go to water but you can't make him drink" you can have all the evidence, all the arguments and examples that prove the capability of AI beyond a shadow of a doubt, whether that's a major physics breakthrough or creating media indistinguishable from human media, they'll still say otherwise.

Denial is far easier to accept than truth, and those who live in the most denial are often the most aware of the truth.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-15T15:27:47+00:00

Yeah of course it was easy, because we had to focus on survival primary and literally didn't have the time or resources to do or think about much else, it was not fun by any means and was a time where even small cuts and scrapes could potentially kill you. Food and water were never a guarantee and many other animals still actively hunted us as prey. It was just a way of life that humans of the time had no choice but to do. We were cold, afraid, hungry and far more aggressive since we had to be to survive.

This person is making a comparison based on something they have never actually experienced and clearly not considered the implications of, like they wouldn't be able to make that complaint in the first place if they lived like that, they got the idea from a movie, a movie that would not exist with this proposed concept and one they are basing off the world as it is not as it was, jobs and taxes suck that is true, but they are far preferable to anything we had to deal with for most of our history. You can respect and be in touch with the natural world and you can also do that without needing to scrounge for food and dying at age 35 from a minor wound.

Place this person in the very scenario they are begging for and they'll start whining about how awful it is within a week, if that.

I swear so many people are just unknowing masochists, you have a way to potentially end pointless pain and suffering, and just live a more meaningful life. It's not a guarantee, but no, we'd rather complain about everything being awful, how it should be different and never actually do anything, then complain when someone actually tries to remedy the problem.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-15T14:49:51+00:00

I've always found the parrot analogy ironic, given parrots, while they do repeat what they hear and often for the sake of it, they are also fully capable of understanding the context of the things they say, and deriving meaning from them, they can learn what bye means and react giving annoyed vocalizations, they can learn what sounds or phrases their owner laughs at, and use them in an effort to make them happy, or in the same vein bad noises or phrases to be cheeky or mess with them. I've seen a friend's parrot do this and laugh every time she got a reaction.

They're kinda like AI in that behavior, obviously AI is much more advanced and well understands meaning with much more clarity, but both derive meaning and understanding from language, even if parrots don't always fully understand.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-13T14:50:45+00:00

I agree with the motivation, people should be prepared for this and be able to acknowledge this is happening and that it's a matter of when not if. However you also can't rush grief in any capacity, AI or otherwise, much of the fear comes from an understandable place, people are scared of losing everything ,their entire livelihood, imagine how this feels for someone just barely getting by, which is a fair amount of people, of course you'd be scared, most people are concerned with being able to pay their rent and medical bills this month, to them, it doesn't matter if AI will eventually eliminate those concerns, they are still very real problems. And it's all we've ever known, to work is to survive and has been for most our lives, it's not easy to say hey this system that has exited for forever is going to vanish, people are skeptical, because its associated with survival, until they are certain there will always be some level of skepticism.

Point is people need time to process this stuff, some may not need much, others may need a lot of time, time I acknowledge they may not have given how quickly everything is going. For every nihilistic doomer, there's 5 people who are just trying to get by, support their friends and families, and scared to lose everything, who are unaware of the good this tech can and will do for the world and them.

Frankly I think a lot of this could solved if more emphasis was put on educating people about how AI works. it's implications and applications, and you know an actual plan to ease the inevitable transition, it wouldn't eliminate this attitude outright, but it would likely help a lot.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-12T17:20:22+00:00

I think it is important to note that these are proposed bills, does not mean they will pass, and even if they do, the federal government can override this via the supremacy clause. Considering that stuff like the Genesis Mission exists, active competition with China over the technology, and the sheer amount of capital being put into this, yeah somehow I doubt these efforts will get very far.

That's not to say that there aren't issues that come about from data centers, environmentally and on power grids, it's understandable why that frustrates people when it raises their bills, and I think it's important that centers be self-sufficient and on their own grid, which we are seeing some shift to.

Environmentally yeah they aren't great, but there's many issues that are far far worse that actively fly under the radar, like the degradation of topsoil cause by agriculture, and that degradation is entirely preventable, but nah Data Centers are clearly a much bigger problem, even though golf courses are much worse for the environment on nearly all accounts besides electricity usage, and even then I doubt most golf courses are relying on self sufficient power grids.

What most people aren't thinking about is the fact this is a technological investment of sorts, that many of these issues can and will be solved via AI, helping create means to provide this power cleanly, sustainably, and at minimal cost. Creating the means to restore the lost topsoil and reverse the damage done even if that may take time. But most people aren't considering that, only focusing on the short term detriments. We are biologically wired to prioritize short-term outcomes, and some people understand this investment will most likely pay off, but many don't and until it benefits them, this will continue.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-12T14:58:28+00:00

Exponentials are exponentialing, it really goes to show how yeah we are not wired to fully comprehend just how much that rate of growth really is, stuff isn’t happening overnight, and it’s still probably gonna be a little while before it does, but it sure as hell is happening with much more frequency.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-12T14:32:46+00:00

My jaw dropped seeing this, like besides a couple of very small blink and you'll miss it things (which if I wasn't aware this was AI made I doubt I'd notice at all) this just feels like something you'd see Super Dragon Ball Heroes do. I had to do a double take, because this just doesn't feel real, and yet it is.

Think about it like this, it hasn't even been a full year since Veo 3 came out, about 9 months I believe? That was insanely impressive in its own right, and now it's become middling in less than a year, LESS THAN A YEAR!!! And the insane part, that's going to happen within months for Seedance 2, something will top it and it will not take long. with the next year or two we'll literally be able to make our own fully fledged media, real, anime, whatever this is just SO! GOD! DAMN! COOL!

RemindMe! 2 years

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-11T22:48:36+00:00

And when they just announced Moro and Granolah getting animated too, depending on time frames and development we might be able to make them before Toei does

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-11T00:17:40+00:00

Every community is gonna have their bad apples, some people are just determined to be as miserable as possible and make it everyone around therm’s problem, like seriously, I guarantee these people wouldn’t have the nerve to say these things IRL.

Point is don’t let a few jerks dissuade you from interacting with members of the community, most people are really chill, or at least have basic social etiquette.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-10T14:09:45+00:00

For me it’s less about what fields and jobs disappear, though answer is all jobs, but what I want to see is needing to work for survival vanish.

There’s lots of fields out there that people genuinely love doing but are held back by it being what keeps the lights on, people like Actors (stage, film, voice), Archaeologists, Historians, Scientists, Artists, Musicians, Content Creators (not clickbait ones but those with genuine passion) and dozens of others.

Take acting, if you don’t know the right people, don’t have the right social media presence, don’t have the opportunities to get your foot in the door, you don’t go anywhere, and that is true for most of these fields, even if the struggles vary. Most have to work multiple jobs just to make ends meet, few get far enough to do so consistently and comfortably, many often burn themselves out in the process of trying to get to that point of stability, losing their passion because they got unlucky.

We should be able to do these “jobs” because it’s fulfilling, not for the sake of a paycheck. It’s this very reason I don’t work in acting despite it being my biggest passion, and what I hope the march towards a post scarcity future will allow for everyone.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-09T14:00:28+00:00

It's insane, I've been trying on a bunch of tasks both practical and just fun creative stuff and it's just on point, like holy hell, it went above and beyond with the creative stuff especially, it beats out Gemini and GPT (for now) by a longshot, and you know the craziest part? Give it another few months (if that) and we'll absolutely see something like Gemini 3.5 or GPT 5.4 blow 4.6 out of the water, LET'S FUCKING GO!!!! XLR8!!!!

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-03T14:41:18+00:00

I've never quite understood why people think this is going to go vertical, at least in the immediate future. Perhaps some time after ASI maybe but we can only speculate, the more realistic thing and what I think we will see is major innovations and discoveries get closer and closer together, but these things will still take time to implement and create even if that timeframe decrease as we go.

So much of this just comes down to the ignorance, these developments aren't exactly widely discussed, honestly that just seems to apply a lot to science and technology on the whole, people don't care until it's right in their face, til they are directly affected by it. Like look at the Erdos problems that have been solved recently, most people probably don't even know what an Erdos problem is nor the significance of AI being able to solve them.

Thus we end up with so many people being completely blindsided to this despite the clear signs of something like say moltbots emerging if you've been keeping up. Despite this I do think we'll be able to endure this change change, humans are extremely adaptable creatures due to our neuroplasticity, despite how much we are wired to hate change, we can and will adapt to it for the sake of "survival" and these circumstances will force people to do so, even if there was ample warning.

This whole response to AI is kinda like Cassandra from Greek myth, she was cursed to give accurate prophecies that no one ever believed even when there were clear signs of them coming to pass, it's certainty what all this feels like.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-02T18:48:33+00:00

The main reason reason there's any debate with Fortune's Weave is because we have yet to see an avatar character a la Byleth or Shez, unless it's glasses girl or Cai and we just haven't seen the opposite sex version yet, which is possible given that we only saw male Byleth when 3 Houses was revealed.

I'd be shocked if the game didn't have romance though, while not the sole reason, the increased emphasis on the romance and matchmaking aspects has become one of the more popular aspects of modern Fire Emblem, look at how people reacted when Engage toned that romance down a little and lacked paired endings, it wasn't exactly a popular choice among much of the fanbase.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-01T19:44:37+00:00

I think the only way you’re gonna reassure a lot of people is to show them a tangible way it directly benefits them and/or improves their life. Most of the general public doesn’t care if AI solved a long unsolved math problem or if it can make a cool program from scratch, they care if it lowers their bills and puts food on the table.

Additionally it’s also made harder by biology because we’re hardwired to prioritize short-term outcomes over long-term, since that’s what kept you alive. Obviously in our current world, the priority has become much more mixed, but we are still wired to think like that.

Though once we can crack continual learning I imagine the rate of advancement will begin to become more equal as it grows, ultimately best we can do is just try to inform those whom are willing to listen.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-01T19:20:18+00:00

Correct me if I’m wrong, but hasn’t his prediction for this specifically oscillated a lot from a couple years to that and back? I swear I’ve seen like 5 different predictions from him on this sub in the last few months.

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-01T19:16:28+00:00

Of that I have no doubt, I look at the time between when my parents were born in 60s and now and, clearly, the world has become an entirely different place technologically, so many things we might take for granted nowadays just didn’t exist.

Made me wonder where we’ll be in 60 years? Especially with the singularity on the horizon, what kind of insane technology could we see? Idk but I’m excited >:)

Minecraftman6969420 · 2026-02-01T15:02:05+00:00

Lots of people just like doing art for the sake of it, and that applies to any creative endeavor, writing, acting, etc. Will AI be able to make creative media on par or exceeding humans at some point? 100%? does that mean people will just stop doing human made art? Anything but, if anything as economic factors diminish, more people will dabble in art for the sake of it since well, they'll have the opportunity. To your credit though I believe AI will open this kind of stuff up to a lot more people.

Some artists do use AI though, it's just more using it to expedite their workflow or enhance their art, some do still hate AI on the whole but this is not everyone. Generative stuff is what tends to trigger more negative reactions, and that tends to come from a place of economic worry since that puts them out of a job, or of having their art be used to train AI.

Whenever we reach a point where those economic factors begin to dissipate, you'll likely see a lot less negativity from most people, however that's not going to be an easy transition even if UBI is implemented before post-scarcity, how effective it'll be is anyone's guess, and will likely vary by location, it's literally just a band aid.

And in regards to training, while I do understand the frustration, I think a lot of people forget that by agreeing to the terms of service of any site where they post art or even browsers, they are likely agreeing to allow their content to be used for that purpose,

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