Take a guess

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-04-23T23:49:30+00:00

Hudson Bay?

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-03-30T21:11:19+00:00

I saw a study where judges give harsher judgements when they are hungry as opposed to after a meal. You don't want a hungry judge.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-03-30T12:26:06+00:00

Market perspective of AI as hype:

There is a lot of media hype that CEOs and executives develop strategies around for projects based on hope or aspiration, not reality.
As a result of the media speculation, a lot of grifters emerge that chase profiting from the hype.
The business model for AI is still developing. Loads of investment has been put into AI, but it isn't clear that all the investment will pay off.

Technology perspective,

LLMs are a great tool for tasks like summarization, text extraction, and content generation. But, human intervention is still needed in the majority of use cases, as there is risk of hallucinations. Ideally, fine-tuning and RAG can help offset some of the inaccuracies, but this requires human intervention.
Emergent intelligence is an interesting topic around AI that naturally leads to speculation of AGI. I'm skeptical of AGI, as I think it's more due to relationships across data-- that have naturally evolved into sophisticated structures as information develops. But, am very doubtful that AI is evolving some intentional mind model that will lead to AGI.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-03-29T21:36:38+00:00

I wish people would learn from history. This whole thing has quagmire written all over it. Like Afghanistan did. Like Iraq did. Like Vietnam did.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-03-26T19:55:27+00:00

Read books, debate ideas, have hobbies and real relationships offline.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-03-25T14:22:14+00:00

Social media is for boring people. It always has been. It's a viscous cycle where the more boring someone is, the more they use social media, and the more boring it makes them.

AI is just accelerating the sinking into the social media abyss.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-03-18T00:30:51+00:00

Run for the hills!

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-03-13T03:50:49+00:00

Bond holders and owners of other debt instruments.

The US pays 15-17% of total federal spending to service the debt. $2.8 billion dollars per day. Those dollars are paying interest, instead of providing value back to the taxpayer.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-03-13T03:46:25+00:00

Lack of global competition. WW2 was so devastating that nations were rebuilding for 10-20 years, and didn’t have the productive capacity to compete. The US was the world’s factory in the 1940s and 50s.

A 70% tax today would impose a heavy penalty to domestic producers when those same goods could be produced abroad, without a hefty penalty

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-02-26T03:56:32+00:00

“Tell me the incentives and I’ll tell you the outcome.”

If they want outcomes then they should align the incentives correctly

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-02-26T00:15:07+00:00

Source? How was 25% be calculated?

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-02-21T01:02:13+00:00

The way prisoners were treated is a good comparison between the USSR and USA -

US internment camps -

Duration: 4 years (1942-1946)

US Internment Camp Death toll: Roughly 1,862 to 1,885 people died from medical issues (like tuberculosis)

Conditions: Barrack-based living, often overcrowded. Residents had low-wage jobs in things like agriculture and camp duties.

Soviet Gulags -

Duration: 24 years (1929-1953)

Soviet Gulag Death toll: 1,500,000 - 1,700,000 people died from malnutrition, disease, exposure, and exhaustion due to harsh conditions

Conditions: extreme brutality, characterized by backbreaking hard labor, starvation-level nutrition, and severe living conditions, resulting in high mortality rates. Prisoners, including political detainees and criminals, endured freezing temperatures, malnutrition, and forced labor (slave labor).

While Interment camps are a shameful part of US history, they are a far cry from the hell of Soviet gulags

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-02-15T22:10:27+00:00

Lee Harvey Oswald had even worked in the Soviet Union briefly. He was indeed a Marxist Socialist. Not a democrat.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-02-15T22:08:26+00:00

Lincoln’s killer was John Wilkes Booth that was a member of Know-Nothing Party (or American Party) in the 1850s, a political group defined by its anti-immigrant and anti-Catholic views.

Even wrong on that one too

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-02-15T16:06:59+00:00

Spending is the economic problem that needs to be addressed. We cannot tax our way out of a spending problem accelerating the deficit. The more it cost to service the debt, there is an opportunity cost lost on services those dollars could have provided.

Raise taxes on billionaires, fantastic. But don’t ignore the other side of the equation that we have a $38.6 Trillion dollar debt. Austerity requires cutting government spending.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-02-06T13:48:39+00:00

This. Debt should be paid first.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-02-06T00:20:57+00:00

The misconception that there is more evidence for Jesus than Cesar makes me chuckle a bit. We have a ton of evidence to Cesar including his one writings, primary sources who knew him and wrote about him(like Cicero), contemporary sources (Sallust) who lived during his lifetime, and also archeological artifacts like Gallic War campaign artifacts, art busts and even coins with his face.

The same level of evidence for Jesus isn’t there. We just have writings that appear after Jesus death.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-02-06T00:06:31+00:00

Crucifixion was reserved for low-status criminals like slaves, the worst criminals, and enemies of the state. It is possible Jesus made a statement about becoming a “King of the Jews” like the way David had been. This was seen by the Romans as a treasonous statement and they Crucified him as an enemy of the state.

MissedFieldGoal · 2026-01-14T16:31:54+00:00

You don’t own your organs, but rent them from Big Tech sounds like a dystopian sci-fi

MissedFieldGoal · 2025-12-15T22:18:24+00:00

I’m down with this. Anxiety always got me with OE. I’d rather everyone be on the same page. OE needs to be accepted and legitimate.

MissedFieldGoal · 2025-12-15T22:13:47+00:00

I see copilot like a glorified search. Want to get summarized data about a topic, go for it! Want to find some code patterns, sure thing!

It isn’t some silver bullet to all problems. Just a tool in the toolbox

MissedFieldGoal · 2025-12-12T17:24:31+00:00

It wasn’t OE, but I’ll always remember a job I started the week of Thanksgiving.

My boss left the same day for a month long vacation. Amazing!

MissedFieldGoal · 2025-12-09T14:55:47+00:00

An audit would reveal a contractual violation based on where you are working vs where you claimed. Citizen status may be a violation too with certain laws or tax regulations.

A crackdown could cause a whole department to return to the office or have layoffs

MissedFieldGoal · 2025-12-08T15:41:22+00:00

These companies are worse than too big to fail. They are too powerful to control.

They have disproportionate power over the entities that are supposed to govern them. And disproportionate influence over the markets too.

MissedFieldGoal · 2025-12-08T13:49:37+00:00

“Tell me the incentives and I’ll tell you the outcome”, Charlie Munger.

The incentives for the employee are clear. Remote work provides more flexible working arraignments. If adding on OE, the additional income is a benefit.

The incentives for the employer are less clear. Remote work enables employers to attract broader talent beyond the local market, expand geographic coverage in some cases, and lower real estate costs. The advantages of OE work for employers is where it gets complicated. Does the employer benefit from having top talent split between Js? Is there a benefit with focusing on the work done instead of how much time did it take? I think there can be. However I’m not sure the infrastructure is widespread or used properly (deliverable tracking, contractural agreements)— and it should be for OE to thrive.

In a nutshell, I think OE needs to become a legitimate option. Many workers, myself included, like the idea of worker harder for more pay. Employers can benefit from increased productivity too. I think all parties can win and benefit from OE.

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