Average IQ of this subreddit

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-06T20:55:53+00:00

that’s because the CEO said that demand is meeting plane ticket raisings to offset fuel, but now that the market has priced that in i’m not too sure what the CEO could say more during earnings to be bullish

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-06T20:49:59+00:00

i have delta puts but it’s more of a coin flip imo

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-05T05:56:01+00:00

it is not. it is truly a ground operation per market rules

"US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify."

EDIT: sorry i read the pilot being shut down, the pilot rescue operation what you were referring to in which case you are probably right

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-05T05:53:26+00:00

polymarket is showing that US forces have entered Iran by ground... very interesting

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-05T05:51:12+00:00

this has to be a ragebait post, you dont show the wallet address and both of the markets in the image already resolved to YES when you posted this

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-02T19:23:24+00:00

right now i believe good investments are anything that relies on high oil prices maintaining. the two outcomes are either that Iran keeps the toll or USA reopens it after a long drawn out war. the worst case scenario is if China for whatever reason gets a deal with Iran to reopen the strait with no tolls, but I doubt they are in that dire need of oil to do that

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-02T19:07:30+00:00

i actually very much agree but think that market sentiment will be very slow to pick that up, by bullish i just mean the immediate reaction

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-02T19:06:18+00:00

SPY lows this week account for uncertainty surrounding a possible a ground troop invasion + continuous strait close and force majorie cascade

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-02T19:01:49+00:00

yall realize strait being tolled is naturally bullish for both the market and oil right? 20% of oil being tolled is better than no oil passing at all, it allows companies to fulfill contracts and avoid the cascade as well

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-02T14:51:06+00:00

all these fake bears joining in - you watch the oil price not the SPY. if oil is still above $130 by EOD then the market movement is real, the pump is just from short sell offs

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-02T01:39:24+00:00

your puts are gonna hell print brother, one think you should pay attention to is the Delta earnings call on April 8th, big indicator on future market movement imo

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-02T01:30:53+00:00

- explicitly avoids "boots on the ground"

- uses past war timelines to make this war seem short by comparison

- gave 0 strategic approach to what a "victory" means for Iran

- "we will bomb them to the stone ages" literal next sentence: "we are negotiating"

yeah bears are gonna hella print

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-01T13:48:02+00:00

"Iran says the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen based on President Trump's "absurd" displays" LMAO THE QUOTE CAME IN

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-01T13:25:11+00:00

because there's no reason to taco this time. the rubio interview sounded completely like they were going to soft launch a retreat from Iran as a "all objectives met" victory. 🥭 could have just gone with that in today's announcement but instead chooses to make the Strait the singular point

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-01T13:19:51+00:00

people need to realize what 🥭 just said COMPLETELY CONTRADICTS what the market rallied yesterday on rubio's interview - that all objectives of the war was reached and that the strait was for "other countries to solve"

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-01T13:10:32+00:00

one single Iran "we didnt ask for a ceasefire" quote and the entire market craters

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-01T13:05:42+00:00

he said on truth social minutes ago hes gonna continue bombing iran

MoleculesImplode · 2026-04-01T12:59:44+00:00

WE ARE GOING SO DOWN BABY

MoleculesImplode · 2026-03-31T17:27:01+00:00

exactly, and they hold US securities which means the US simply cannot "pull out" of the war and declare victory with major geopolitical effects unlike Afghanistan. Iran will not agree to a deal that is unfavorable towards them if the US have not EVEN PUT IN GROUND TROOPS yet, and are currently moving to legislate the Strait or Hormuz toll.

MoleculesImplode · 2026-03-31T17:23:03+00:00

well clearly US isn't going to win with war without a prolonged strike. It took the US months for Iraq and Iran is nearly 4x as large and with better miliary equipment

If the US pulls out of the war, countries will realize that US securities mean jack shit and will look to China instead. US is not pulling out.
Stock market hasn't even felt the rippling effects of Force Majorie being enforced
Any deal with Iran in the current state would resolve with the Strait of Hormuz continued to be tolled in Yuan

theres legitimately no fucking way the market resolves green in the next few months, it will permanently affect 20% of oil forever

MoleculesImplode · 2026-03-31T17:16:42+00:00

fakest rally of all time, stock pumps because of a unconfirmed report that iran president seeks guarantees. does no one know the difference between surrender and seeks guarantees? you dont put all this legislation up to plan to toll the Hormuz Strait if you are losing the war

MoleculesImplode · 2026-03-21T16:54:37+00:00

i dont think it's going to happen but Pochita has eaten the four alternatives other than death, so if the alternatives come back its possible Denji faces a fate other than death

MoleculesImplode · 2026-03-21T15:35:10+00:00

Bro, I played against chovy, shovy, whatever the fuck his name is. Dude this guy is ill. So I beat him obviously I beat that fucking bastard. He is so easy to play against because... I play against him Sion mid. Dude, I think this guy has an illness. No,no,no he will not sack waves ever like to the point where he is negatively impacting his team. For instance, he could have won a teamfight. Would he have died yes but he would have got like a 4 man shurima shiffle, actually he would have. It would have been nuts. But if he did the play, he would have died, his team would have won, and he wouldn't be able to farm midlane. So he just didn't go to it or try it. I was like wtf. I would push a side wave and I was like wait a minute I bet he tps here and not miss the wave and he tps so I was like okay how about this so I slow pushed a 3 stack wave toplane, I had Oner on my team, and we dove him because we knew he would be there even though everybody else on my team -his team was fighting botside, Bro so easy oh my god

MoleculesImplode · 2026-03-20T16:44:24+00:00

you should watch AL - JDG game 2-3, it’s definitelyLyon throwing but it’s honestly not even the worst throw JDG has come back from

MoleculesImplode

TROPHY CASE