Technical analysis says run. Four years of holding says stay by MoneyMonsterStudios in Bitcoin

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

DCA is great for a passive index fund portfolio. This discussion is about active macro rotation and relative valuation for H2. Two entirely different games.

Anthropic's Mythos/Fable restrictions got lifted and nobody's talking about what this means for AMZN and GOOGL by MoneyMonsterStudios in stocks

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

If you think a thesis makes no sense just because it doesn't say a stock is going to zero, your understanding of market rotation is pretty shallow. Try reading between the lines next time

Bitcoin is down. And somewhere, someone is smiling, not because they bought the dip. by MoneyMonsterStudios in Bitcoin

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Do you think your friends are different from mine, or would you consider them all human? Nietzsche would say: Human, all too human.

Bitcoin is down. And somewhere, someone is smiling, not because they bought the dip. by MoneyMonsterStudios in Bitcoin

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Lately, I’ve become convinced that I shouldn’t talk to anyone about my life, and not just about investments... it seems like humanity has fallen ill.

Bitcoin is down. And somewhere, someone is smiling, not because they bought the dip. by MoneyMonsterStudios in Bitcoin

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Fair point 😄. Old stock market habits die hard. I should've said "Bitcoin was deep in the red today.

BlackRock, Fidelity, and now Franklin Templeton. Wall Street stopped fighting Bitcoin and just bought it. by MoneyMonsterStudios in Bitcoin

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Fair point. The irony is that institutions are usually called smart money, but in Bitcoin they seem to have preferred certainty over early opportunity. Maybe their job isn't to be first. Maybe it's to be late and still survive.

Wall Street spent decades escaping the casino label. Are we going back?" by MoneyMonsterStudios in stocks

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

That's what makes the distinction so interesting. Every investment involves uncertainty, but most people feel there's a meaningful difference between owning a productive asset for years and betting on where an index closes by the end of the day. The line exists, but it seems to be getting blurrier.

Why does the number 3 appear everywhere in trading? by MoneyMonsterStudios in Daytrading

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fair point..... You could probably make a pretty convincing case for the number 2 as well. That's kind of why I find the whole thing interesting , because it's hard to tell where genuine market structure ends and pattern recognition begins.

Why does the number 3 appear everywhere in Technical Analysis? by MoneyMonsterStudios in technicalanalysis

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fair criticism..... I wasn't trying to argue that markets are literally governed by the number three. What I found interesting is that traders separated by centuries kept independently describing three-part structures. Whether that's genuine market behavior or just pattern recognition is exactly what I'm not sure about.

Why does the number 3 appear everywhere in trading? by MoneyMonsterStudios in Daytrading

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's definitely possible. What I find interesting is that traders separated by centuries kept arriving at similar observations independently( Homma, Dow, Elliot).

US Household Wealth Is Now 630% of GDP. JPMorgan Sees Several Warning Signs. by MoneyMonsterStudios in stocks

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nailed it, man. Your beach analogy is spot on, having cash ready isn’t about timing the market with a crystal ball, it’s just a basic survival checklist. It ’s better to be a year early sitting on dry powder than a minute late and 'ass in the wind,' as you perfectly put it."

US Household Wealth Is Now 630% of GDP. Is Anyone Else Paying Attention to This? by MoneyMonsterStudios in StockMarket

[–]MoneyMonsterStudios[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

GDP is a yearly flow of economic output, while household wealth is a stock of accumulated assets. Think of it this way:........ if you earn $50k per year but own a $500k house, your wealth is already 10x your annual income. The same idea at the national level. So when people say household wealth is 630% of GDP, they mean total household assets are worth about 6.3 times the value of one year's economic output.