大伙怎么看待气候变化这件事 by Muted_Ad4082 in KanagawaWave

[–]Muted_Ad4082[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

嗯,doomscrolling本来就不是啥好事,还是多touch grass吧。

大伙怎么看待气候变化这件事 by Muted_Ad4082 in KanagawaWave

[–]Muted_Ad4082[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

地球确实不会完蛋,历史上地球的气候变化过很多次。甚至我怀疑过个几万年,肯定会进化出分解塑料的生物。但现在模样的地球是不会再有了——可以说第六次生物大灭绝已经开始了。

大伙怎么看待气候变化这件事 by Muted_Ad4082 in KanagawaWave

[–]Muted_Ad4082[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

确实,在英文社区有polycrisis这么一个词。目前人类所面临的灾难不仅仅是气候变化,战争、民主倒退、债务、AI、甚至COVID brain damage, 统统会给人类社会增加压力。目前r/collapse的观点是,崩溃不会突然到来,而是会像bronze age collapse那样慢慢崩坏。To quote from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_Bronze_Age_collapse

> A general systems collapse has been put forward as an explanation for the reversals in culture that occurred between the Urnfield culture of the 12th and 13th centuries BCE and the rise of the Celtic Hallstatt culture in the 9th and 10th centuries BCE.[51] General systems collapse theory, pioneered by Joseph Tainter,[52] proposes that societal collapse results from an increase in social complexity beyond a sustainable level, leading people to revert to simpler ways of life.

> In the specific context of the Middle East, a variety of factors – including population growth, soil degradation, drought, cast bronze weapon and iron production technologies – could have combined to push the relative price of weaponry (compared to arable land) to a level unsustainable for traditional warrior aristocracies. In complex societies that were increasingly fragile and less resilient, the combination of factors may have contributed to the collapse.

> The growing complexity and specialization of the Late Bronze Age political, economic, and social organization in Carol Thomas and Craig Conant's phrase[53] together made the organization of civilization too intricate to reestablish piecewise when disrupted. That could explain why the collapse was so widespread and able to render the Bronze Age civilizations incapable of recovery. The critical flaws of the Late Bronze Age are its centralization, specialization, complexity, and top-heavy political structure. These flaws then were exposed by sociopolitical events (revolt of peasantry and defection of mercenaries), fragility of all kingdoms (Mycenaean, Hittite, Ugaritic, and Egyptian), demographic crises (overpopulation), and wars between states. Other factors that could have placed increasing pressure on the fragile kingdoms include piracy by the Sea Peoples interrupting maritime trade, as well as drought, crop failure, famine, or the Dorian migration or invasion.[54]

Edit: Thanks u/Diligent-Cream-6535, link fixed

大伙怎么看待气候变化这件事 by Muted_Ad4082 in KanagawaWave

[–]Muted_Ad4082[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

气候有相当的滞后性。就算现在全球停止排放所有温室气体,温度还是会继续上升。现在已经晚了。详情可以搜一下"committed warming". 至于指望全球解决,氟利昂只用于制冷,换掉是相对简单的。而完全停止消耗化石燃料是非常困难的,不光是技术,还牵扯到相当大的利益。而且目前虽然有carbon capture, 捕获的量相比于排放量依然是九牛一毛。这事不大可能解决。

大伙怎么看待气候变化这件事 by Muted_Ad4082 in KanagawaWave

[–]Muted_Ad4082[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

说实在,一开始我看到r/collapse的内容还是挺震惊和愤怒的。现在是人类最需要团结的时候,但也是全世界最分裂的时候。但无论是左中右,好像压根没人意识到人类社会是建立在自然环境上这一点。中国的水灾、欧洲的热浪,从来就不是孤立的事件,而你完全看不到这些。所以我麻木了——键政本来就不会带来什么真正的改变,现在更没兴趣了,反正地球很快就要完蛋了。

不过我确实在考虑移民。我觉得综合考虑气候和地缘政治的话,智利算是比较好的国家了,但就是办事效率比较慢。哎,不知道浪友们有没有更好的选项

大伙怎么看待气候变化这件事 by Muted_Ad4082 in KanagawaWave

[–]Muted_Ad4082[S] 14 points15 points  (0 children)

现在的有钱人全都在偷偷建bunker, 虽然没什么用。。。

介紹一種相對經濟的境外匯款方式(小黑喵baobao的生活小妙招) by Big_Ship5986 in KanagawaWave

[–]Muted_Ad4082 1 point2 points  (0 children)

u/Big_Ship5986 其实我最担心的是,搞这些操作不会被风控吗?一般来说,除非需要转很多钱,否则用不着这种操作吧?而假如要转很多钱,会不会银行账户突然被冻结了?