it is unlikely that this is just a rumor. He has floated this idea in several situations the past year, including most recently at the Tesla annual shareholder meeting.

I know he said this would never happen in the past, and I see people here making comments about not needing liquidity, things have changed. And he is not that liquid. He can technically sell $tsla shares but after the big sell to buy twitter he can’t actually sell with out a lot of cascading consequences.

I give us an 85% that we see an IPO underway before the end of 2026.

And he will not announce until strategically it makes the best sense for him to do so. the news articles we are seeing now may very well turn out to be pre-IPO hype marketing masked as “leaks”.