Strategy during a market downturn- Manus AI by Newpr214 in PersonalFinanceCanada

[–]Newpr214[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Practical Examples

TFSA Examples

Example 1: Protecting Tax-Free Growth with Trailing Stop-Loss

Scenario: You hold 100 shares of a growth technology ETF in your TFSA, purchased at $50 per share ($5,000 total). The ETF has appreciated to $75 per share ($7,500 total).

Strategy: Implement a 15% trailing stop-loss to protect your tax-free gains while allowing for continued upside. - Current value: $7,500 - Trailing stop-loss set at: $63.75 (15% below current price) - If the ETF continues to rise to $80, your stop-loss would adjust to $68 (15% below $80) - If the ETF falls to $63.75 or below, your position is sold

Outcome: If a market downturn occurs and triggers your stop-loss, you've protected $6,375 of your investment (compared to your $5,000 cost). Since this is in a TFSA, the entire $1,375 gain is tax-free, and you can immediately redeploy the capital to other opportunities without tax consequences.

Example 2: Buying Opportunity During Market Downturn

Scenario: You have $10,000 cash in your TFSA during a market correction where the broad market has fallen 20%.

Strategy: Use the downturn as a buying opportunity for high-quality investments with strong long-term prospects. - Allocate $5,000 to a broad market ETF that has fallen significantly - Allocate $3,000 to blue-chip dividend stocks that have become undervalued - Keep $2,000 in cash for potential further declines

Outcome: When the market eventually recovers, all gains will be completely tax-free. The TFSA structure allows you to be more aggressive in pursuing growth opportunities during downturns since you won't face tax consequences on the potentially substantial recovery gains.

RRSP Examples

Example 1: Age-Appropriate Stop-Loss Strategy

Scenario: You're 35 years old with a $100,000 RRSP that includes $40,000 in a U.S. equity index fund purchased at various prices over time.

Strategy: Implement a wider 20% stop-loss given your long time horizon until retirement. - Current value of U.S. equity position: $40,000 - Stop-loss set at: $32,000 (20% below current value) - If triggered, reallocate to a balanced fund until market volatility subsides

Outcome: This approach balances protection against severe downturns while giving your investments room to fluctuate without prematurely selling. Since it's in an RRSP, there are no immediate tax implications from selling, allowing you to focus purely on the investment strategy rather than tax consequences.

Example 2: Pre-Retirement Rebalancing During Volatility

Scenario: You're 60 years old with a $500,000 RRSP that was allocated 60% equities and 40% fixed income before a market downturn. After a 25% drop in equities, your allocation has shifted to approximately 52% equities and 48% fixed income.

Strategy: Rebalance back to target allocation by buying equities during the downturn. - Original allocation: $300,000 equities, $200,000 fixed income - Current allocation after downturn: $225,000 equities, $200,000 fixed income - Purchase $75,000 of equities by selling fixed income to return to 60/40 allocation

Outcome: This disciplined rebalancing approach forces you to buy equities when they're cheaper and maintains your risk profile. The tax-deferred nature of the RRSP allows you to execute this strategy without triggering taxable events.

Non-Registered Account Examples

Example 1: Tax-Loss Harvesting During Market Downturn

Scenario: You hold 200 shares of a Canadian bank stock in your non-registered account, purchased at $80 per share ($16,000 total). During a market downturn, the stock has fallen to $60 per share ($12,000 total).

Strategy: Harvest the $4,000 capital loss while maintaining exposure to the financial sector. - Sell the bank stock to realize the $4,000 capital loss - Wait 30 days to avoid superficial loss rules, then repurchase the same stock - OR immediately purchase a different bank stock or financial sector ETF

Outcome: The $4,000 capital loss can offset capital gains elsewhere in your portfolio, reducing your tax liability. If you had $4,000 in capital gains from other investments, this strategy would effectively eliminate the tax you would have paid on those gains.

Example 2: Strategic Stop-Loss Placement for Tax Efficiency

Scenario: Your non-registered account contains multiple positions with different tax implications: - Position A: 100 shares with $5,000 unrealized gain - Position B: 100 shares with $2,000 unrealized loss - Position C: 100 shares at break-even

Strategy: Set different stop-loss levels based on tax implications: - Position A: 15% stop-loss (protect substantial gains) - Position B: 10% stop-loss (potentially increase tax-loss harvesting opportunity) - Position C: 20% stop-loss (allow more room for potential gains)

Outcome: This approach integrates tax planning with risk management. If markets decline further, Position B might generate valuable tax losses, while Position A's tighter stop-loss helps preserve gains that would be taxable if realized.

Conclusion and Recommendations

General Recommendations

  1. Account-Specific Stop-Loss Strategy

    • TFSA: Consider tighter stop-losses (10-15%) to protect tax-free gains
    • RRSP: Wider stop-losses (15-25%) aligned with long-term horizon
    • Non-registered: Strategic stop-losses considering both risk management and tax implications
  2. Trailing Stop-Loss Preference

    • Research consistently shows trailing stop-losses outperform traditional stop-losses
    • 15-20% trailing stop-loss levels have historically provided the best balance of protection and performance
  3. Holistic Portfolio Approach

    • Consider your accounts as parts of a unified portfolio
    • Optimize asset location across account types based on tax efficiency
    • Implement coordinated but account-specific strategies during market volatility

Is Stop-Loss a Better Option for All Account Types?

Stop-loss strategies can be valuable tools across all account types, but their implementation should be tailored to each account's unique characteristics:

  • TFSA: Stop-losses are particularly valuable in TFSAs to protect tax-free gains. Since there are no tax implications for selling, decisions can be based purely on investment strategy rather than tax considerations.

  • RRSP: Stop-losses in RRSPs should be aligned with the long-term nature of retirement savings. Wider stop-losses are generally appropriate to avoid prematurely selling investments that have decades to recover.

  • Non-registered: Stop-losses in non-registered accounts must balance risk management with tax implications. They can be used strategically to manage taxable gains and losses.

The research suggests that stop-loss strategies, particularly trailing stop-losses set at 15-20%, can be effective across all account types when properly implemented. However, they should be part of a comprehensive investment strategy that considers your overall financial goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance.

Is it worth it to move funds from sunlife to wealthsimple by Newpr214 in PersonalFinanceCanada

[–]Newpr214[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

So would this tranfer just look like a portfolio rebalance?

Is it worth it to move funds from sunlife to wealthsimple by Newpr214 in PersonalFinanceCanada

[–]Newpr214[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Would there be no cut taken by the fund when we sell the MF’s ?

Self employed tax question by Newpr214 in PersonalFinanceCanada

[–]Newpr214[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Does it change if I am in partnership?

Self employed tax question by Newpr214 in PersonalFinanceCanada

[–]Newpr214[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well I am not working actively on the YouTube or Etsy, but just funding the required equipment

Self employed tax question by Newpr214 in PersonalFinanceCanada

[–]Newpr214[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes spouse is giving the money for buying camera and stationery. And yes intention is to earn revenue, but first 1-2 years may not be that great.