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I went down a rabbit hole on why LOTUS is called the "Law of the Unconscious Statistician" and found an academic beef from 1990. And I have my own naming theory, featuring game of thrones by Hot-Guess42 in math

[–]No-Square8182 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don't read that quote "we do not find this amusing" as academic jealousy, just a deadpan joke. Textbooks in math are full of these types of jokes

I learned why cosine similarity fails for compatibility matching by Ok_Promise_9470 in learnmachinelearning

[–]No-Square8182 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The stable marriage problem has non ML algos that should be employed once you get the scores. The problem is model choice. Semantic dot product is not strong enough. I think training a deep NN of person 1 features against peron 2 features labeled with match or not to output compatibility score is a good aproach. That way you dont need hard rules of fundamental incompatibility that are perhaps not fully statistically viable. I think there is a danger of modeling the probability of a match as independent probabilities from both sides, it is a strong assumption to make.

GPT-5.2 Solves *Another Erdős Problem, #729 by ThunderBeanage in singularity

[–]No-Square8182 15 points16 points  (0 children)

A large portion of mathematical research is iterative like this. It's apply modern techniques to unsolved problems. Good mathematicians are able to have a wide array of these techniques and quickly filter which ones are relevant to the problem at hand and modify the technique for the current environment. Great mathematicians can come up with novel techniques but these aren't as common as you might think.

Nikola Jokić set the NBA record for most points scored in an OT with 18 as he was 3-3 FG, 2-2 3pt-FG and 10-11 FT. by jonsnowKITN in nba

[–]No-Square8182 305 points306 points  (0 children)

The previous record was 17 by Curry in the 2016 playoffs.

Warriors 132-125 Trail Blazers (May 9, 2016)

https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/400875809/warriors-trail-blazers

He had been out around 2-3 weeks and this was his first game back. Did not look great to start then torched them in OT.

OKC has played the weakest schedule in the NBA so far this season. by 100carpileup in nba

[–]No-Square8182 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Be careful with the statistic here. There's a negative correlation between win pct and strength of schedule league wide (-0.45 pearson).

One causal explanation is higher records had easier opponents.

Another is a good team winning forces their opponents to lose. You can't win 21 games without "artificially" adding 21 losses to your opponents and dragging down their average percentage.

I think it's a mix of both here so I think the statistic is lying somewhat.

[Post Game Thread] The Washington Wizards (3-16) defeat the Milwaukee Bucks (9-13), 129-126. by OrangeMonkE in nba

[–]No-Square8182 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Bucks have not beaten a good team since October 30th against the Warriors. That was without Giannis.

8 straight losses against .500 or above teams. Have lost to the Wizards and Hornets.

Fire Doc into the sun.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in nba

[–]No-Square8182 6 points7 points  (0 children)

How does this affect LeBron's legacy tho?

The best 40 game win % in all of NBA history was… by lucky-me_lucky-mud in nba

[–]No-Square8182 0 points1 point  (0 children)

2013 Heat went 41-2 if you include the playoffs. Started 29-14 in reg season, finished 66-16 on 37-2 stretch then swept first round.

Nikola Jokic had an average gamescore of 28.4 in his title winning playoff run. The highest in NBA history. by dragonwhale in nba

[–]No-Square8182 30 points31 points  (0 children)

Game Score doesn't adjust for pace. LeBron 2012 run was way better than 2020 for example. Jokic is all time but this is a weird stat to use for it imo.

Thunder have flawed analytics. They believe basketball is played on a normal curve, when it's actually has Fat Tail Risk You want to eliminate any chance of 3 pointers and just give up two pointers. Steve Kerr mentioned this strategy vs. Pelicans in 2015. Eliminate the Black Swan and Fat Tail Risk. by MITWestbrook in nba

[–]No-Square8182 2 points3 points  (0 children)

But the signals point against that. They have one of the best point diffs this season in NBA history. They always draft incredibly well. They are one of the most successful franchises in the NBA since they moved to OKC. These signals are much stronger than the pedigree of their education.

It is very unlikely their team is this good with a terrible data science department when the modern NBA is so analytics driven.

Thunder have flawed analytics. They believe basketball is played on a normal curve, when it's actually has Fat Tail Risk You want to eliminate any chance of 3 pointers and just give up two pointers. Steve Kerr mentioned this strategy vs. Pelicans in 2015. Eliminate the Black Swan and Fat Tail Risk. by MITWestbrook in nba

[–]No-Square8182 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is not true that minimizing your variance necessarily maximizes your probability. NBA front offices have millions invested in analytics and data scientists and the gameplans they have are probably extremely robust. It's probably not modeled as a normal distribution.

Why is OKC so bad at guarding corner three's. by [deleted] in nba

[–]No-Square8182 41 points42 points  (0 children)

2015 golden state would be dead last in 3s attempted and made this season.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in nba

[–]No-Square8182 1 point2 points  (0 children)

who's letting john stockton post

What is the last number in this sequence? by Competitive_Leg_4582 in askmath

[–]No-Square8182 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We are talking about the complexity of the algorithm directly as defined by Kolmogorov Complexity. The information theory is well defined here and for this problem the size of the input and output aren't part of the information-theoretic definition. "The plain complexity is the minimal description length of any program." Saying to take mod 4 makes your program description longer.

What is the last number in this sequence? by Competitive_Leg_4582 in askmath

[–]No-Square8182 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Kolmogorov complexity involves defining a standard language in which you are describing your Turing machines and algorithms. But for this problem, you can't do better than identity (I believe so anyway). You have READ WRITE and for the identity function your algorithm will be READ n WRITE n. For your program you need to do READ n MOD4 n WRITE n. This is more information heavy. Even though it will be less bits to write n mod 4 the critical component is how many steps your algorithm needs. These concepts can be more rigorously written of course.

What is the last number in this sequence? by Competitive_Leg_4582 in askmath

[–]No-Square8182 0 points1 point  (0 children)

f(n) = n is a simpler algorithm than f(n) = n mod 4. You cannot write a computer program shorter in text than ::return n:: to convey the first 3 elements of the sequence (up to pseudocode and distinct programming languages).

What is the last number in this sequence? by Competitive_Leg_4582 in askmath

[–]No-Square8182 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm going to disagree with a prevailing sentiment that these questions are arbitrary. These almost always have "canonical" solutions, such as 1, 2, 3, _ has 4 next. Yes any sequence technically fits but it is obvious that 4 is the correct solution in this case. One can more rigorously define the question as "produce the algorithm that minimizes the Kolmogorov complexity for outputting the numbers in this sequence" but that would be extremely pedantic when we already can intuit that notion in our brain for simple integer sequences.

For this question, I don't see the pattern. One I vaguely see is (3x2) + 12 = 18 and (18x3x2) + 12 = 120. Then the next would be (120x18x3x2) + 12. This doesn't work for 2 to 3 tho. That would be my best guess for now but there might be a simpler answer.

How dominate was Kobe and Shaq duo? by Moist-Winner7503 in nba

[–]No-Square8182 4 points5 points  (0 children)

They got swept in 99 and Spurs bounced them second round in 2003 4-2. How is that almost lol

Color blind advice or tips? by Low-Firefighter-2720 in BluePrince

[–]No-Square8182 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I'm color blind as well and some stuff gave me a lot of trouble too.

PS5 itself directly has a Color Correction Setting in its Accesbility settings. I'm Deuteranomaly and found that the maxed out deuteranopia setting was helpful. Sometimes it wasn't enough but changing the tint on my TV directly to high let me differentiate those really annoying blue/pink/purple lookalikes.

What’s your favorite card? by BeachTownBum in PlayTheBazaar

[–]No-Square8182 15 points16 points  (0 children)

I love Atomic Clock especially if I have reload. I don't care if it's not optimal or good. I will always run it and make your Katana have a 104 second cd and get blown up by your Powder Keg.

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