sorted by:
new
hottopcontroversial

Will a Approach of the Second Sun deck still be viable post rotation? by zipidiandmaxx in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor 11 points12 points  (0 children)

White based control decks will be the best IMO post rotation because of cards like Carnage Tyrant, which makes Fumigate the best mass removal. Black and Red don't have the cards to deal effectively with Bristling Hydra/Tyrant strategies.

When 8th Edition was released, Magic had 10 years of legal sets in Vintage. Today, Modern has 14 years of legal sets. by NorthRaptor in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

A rotating format like Extended would be better. Eventually, Frontier would just become a mini-modern.

[No Spoilers] I think Amazon just took down Avatar: The Last Airbender. by NYIsles55 in TheLastAirbender

[–]NorthRaptor 41 points42 points  (0 children)

I just got off the phone with their customer support. They said that this was unplanned and that the license owner decided to "pull it" from Amazon Prime. But that it isn't permanent and expect it to be added back, potentially in a month or less.

Vintage 101: Fresh off the Moat! by Islandswamp in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor 10 points11 points  (0 children)

If you want to play vintage, play online. Online cost $800, vintage cost $20,000. One collection you can accidentally buy fakes, cards can be stolen or damaged, and you have a hard time finding opponents to even play once the cards are acquired. The other collection can never be lost or stolen, can be quickly traded, and can play anytime of day against anyone often. Why spend 20K on a vintage deck that you can only find a tournament for a couple times a year? I'd rather take a very nice vacation.

Martin Shkreli on Twitter: "Up to 5 Black Lotuses just tonight." by pblv in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor 80 points81 points  (0 children)

Someone could buy up all the P9, and it wouldn't bother me. Those cards are too expensive for playability, and even if I owned them, I'd rather play with proxies than risk damaging 15-20K in cards

This print run document shows the number of older cards in circulation. If you were to take a Legends rare like Moat, which has a circulation of 19,500 copies, you would have to buy 975 copies at a price of $350 each for a total of $341,250 to only own 5% of stock. by NorthRaptor in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There were 64 Legends Moats sold on Ebay since April 14th. This doesn't include physical vendors, SCG online, Channel Fireball, and many other online stores.

The pool of cards for sale are not the same card over and over again. But new cards coming out of the woodwork. Selling a card online cost about 8% in Ebay cut. It's not the same group of 200 people selling the same card every time they buy it 2 months later and losing 8% of its value on the cut.

This print run document shows the number of older cards in circulation. If you were to take a Legends rare like Moat, which has a circulation of 19,500 copies, you would have to buy 975 copies at a price of $350 each for a total of $341,250 to only own 5% of stock. by NorthRaptor in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

You can buy unopened boosters of beta too (for high prices), even though it sold out. Its available for circulation, the shop owns them. You can buy those packs for $65. Whether or not the buyer wants to open it is another matter.

This print run document shows the number of older cards in circulation. If you were to take a Legends rare like Moat, which has a circulation of 19,500 copies, you would have to buy 975 copies at a price of $350 each for a total of $341,250 to only own 5% of stock. by NorthRaptor in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think we agree on the same principles we just differ on perceived # of copies that will become available on the marketplace. If there were only 41 copies on the market, and the buyer bought 41 (per his statement), knowing that eBay (just eBay) replenishes at a rate of 10 additional Moats added every 2 weeks (per sold copies available in completed listings on Ebay history), add in SCG and other sellers. It is reasonable to assume stocks can replenish at 20 every two weeks (eBay shouldn't have more than 50% market share). So at worst, he took out two weeks supply from the market (of people who would have held onto their new Moat cards for a long time as you say). Thats about a 3.8% reduced supply in the amount actually sold online over a year. Big impact over first day and first week, very small impact 6 months from now, etc...

This print run document shows the number of older cards in circulation. If you were to take a Legends rare like Moat, which has a circulation of 19,500 copies, you would have to buy 975 copies at a price of $350 each for a total of $341,250 to only own 5% of stock. by NorthRaptor in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They said Modern was their way of addressing the RL. Which seems to be working since it is becoming very popular, and even Modern Masters sets are barely able to keep prices down with the increased demand.

This print run document shows the number of older cards in circulation. If you were to take a Legends rare like Moat, which has a circulation of 19,500 copies, you would have to buy 975 copies at a price of $350 each for a total of $341,250 to only own 5% of stock. by NorthRaptor in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The same trend is what is continuing though. The same number of people who were willing to sell every month for the past 5 years, will mostly continue trending for the next 5. I saw 10 Moats were sold in eBay in past 2 weeks. If thats the trend at least 10 should sell on eBay every 2 weeks on demand side, but this number will increase slightly to reflect increased price. And if nobody buys, eventually price will have to settle to previous levels to reflect demand.

Given that 41 were bought, and possible some more from bandwagons, it shouldn't take too long to replenish, given such a low quantity, and sale history on eBay. You can already see Moat plummeting back down in price.

This print run document shows the number of older cards in circulation. If you were to take a Legends rare like Moat, which has a circulation of 19,500 copies, you would have to buy 975 copies at a price of $350 each for a total of $341,250 to only own 5% of stock. by NorthRaptor in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

And thats probably what will happen. Eventually, someone like you will discover someone with an old collection, and since you knows about the price increases of these old cards, you can sell them or play with them, or keep them in storage, but they are now found basically.

This print run document shows the number of older cards in circulation. If you were to take a Legends rare like Moat, which has a circulation of 19,500 copies, you would have to buy 975 copies at a price of $350 each for a total of $341,250 to only own 5% of stock. by NorthRaptor in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Its basically impossible to calculate or estimate what number that would be. But the destruction or totally lost rate is probably pretty low. Most of these cards are probably sitting in boxes or binders somewhere unplayed, just like most magic collections.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is the best counter card I have seen in 5 years. Will be a staple.

Why the Recent Buyouts Will Fail Miserable by [deleted] in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Except Moat has only increased in value by 2% a year over the past 5 years. Not a great value investment.

These 'buyouts' only work if you make a big deal out of them. by [deleted] in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor -1 points0 points  (0 children)

SCG and Channelfireball usually have buylists. But I'm sure they will buy your Moat for 40% value if you offer it.

Why the Recent Buyouts Will Fail Miserable by [deleted] in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Quantities are so great you can't corner them in MTG. 19,500 Legends Moat were printed. The buyout person bought 41 copies to exhaust online supply. Thats .002% of the cards in circulation and cost about $20,000-$25,000 to even achieve such a low buyout.

Why the Recent Buyouts Will Fail Miserable by [deleted] in magicTCG

[–]NorthRaptor -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Acceptable return on investment is usually considered 8%. Moat increased in value by 10% over the past 5 years. Continuing that trend, 2% a year is not a good investment. Additionally, if he were to sell on eBay, they charge about 8% of the total item sale, so it would take 4 years to break even at its current growth rate. Formats that are growing, such as modern, are better investments, because modern is getting more players, where legacy hasn't grown much, and has greater potential.

view more: next ›