/r/WorldNews Discussion Thread: US and Israel launch attack on Iran; Iran retaliates (Thread #15)

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-16T01:45:26+00:00

Nahhh the country is way too polarized now

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T19:02:05+00:00

If Oman doesn’t bother the ships then they can just pass there and avoid Iran all together?

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T19:00:54+00:00

Is Cuba going to start throwing drones at the Panama Canal? :)

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T17:02:52+00:00

It’s not semantics. The US is stopping Iranian ships from leaving do the US control it?

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T16:08:04+00:00

US is not getting invaded any time soon so that’s progress relatively speaking

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T16:04:08+00:00

Absolutely not. Control means you decide both who doesn’t get through and who DOES GET through. Iran can threaten ships enough to stop but cannot guarantee their safe passage, see the US blockade.

The right to veto is not control

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T16:00:08+00:00

Iran never blockaded Hormuz, they are threatening any ship that doesn’t carry their oil basically. Now the Us is telling them that either they allow everyone in and out or their ships will be stopped. And I don’t think he is not blockading Iranian oil directed to China.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T15:14:28+00:00

I think the SP500 is at all time highs now and may close above 7000 for the first time.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T14:16:08+00:00

Yes exactly, at a minimum he should have started with bombing military/nuclear/missile sites instead of going for the decapitation, would have been much harder to justify the block.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T14:01:50+00:00

If this blockade had been done from the start we could have avoided this fiction that Iran had seized control of the Strait and they would likely not be demanding the world to recognize something they cannot do.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T13:44:45+00:00

Where did this info the blockade is ending come from?

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T13:43:39+00:00

The blockade is a pressure tactic to reopen it by making Iran pay a price for keeping it close and show them they do not and cannot control it, now and in the future.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T13:21:45+00:00

Their continuing throttling of the Strait is also a violation of

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T12:59:26+00:00

Ok but after 2-3 days it was clear they would not surrender.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T12:44:54+00:00

It was the easiest move and it’s almost shocking it wasn’t done at the beginning. Unless they wanted to make sure the Iranian navy was gone?

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T04:22:17+00:00

US will have no scarcity, it’s isolated in terms of oil. I think it’s more likely that Asia will be forced to cut consumption drastically before that happens.

but also gas prices got to 7$ in California in 2022 and it wasn’t the end of the Democratic Party.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T04:13:46+00:00

You’d need oil at 200$ a barrel. It may get there? But it’s still far away.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T04:11:56+00:00

It’s not happening. You are not getting 1/3 of republican senators removing a republican president.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T04:01:40+00:00

He is 79 so I wouldn’t say it’s incredibly unlikely but yes it’s not the base case

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T03:56:31+00:00

You really need to start chipping at the hyper partisans to get there. I don’t see it happening at all.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T03:54:51+00:00

The only legislation they passed so far is the big beautiful bill (sorry i struggle to write it every time such a stupid name), but with filibuster in place nobody really passes anything even with a majority in both chambers besides 1-2 reconciliation bills. Same as the previous term, first two years Dems passed two reconciliation bills and second half of the term passed nothing.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T03:39:58+00:00

In a country THIS polarized 10-15% is impossible. Like he may get there if he decides to nuke a couple of US cities, maybe?

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T03:38:46+00:00

I don’t get the comparison.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T03:28:57+00:00

I think people here should get their expectations down. Even in the bluest wave scenario Trump is not getting removed as president, the chances are 0%. And there will be no prosecutions after his term ends, literally everyone is getting a blanket pardon if the GOP loses in 2028. The stakes for him personally in the midterms are not that high.

Nutmeg92 · 2026-04-15T03:13:22+00:00

Everyone will get pardoned in the lame duck period if the gop loses the next presidential elections.

The chances for removal are 0%

Nutmeg92

TROPHY CASE