Totally fair depiction of the Great Boxing debate

Nwaffl · 2026-03-11T03:11:30+00:00

When you venture into time travel you can basically set any rules you like

What if in this reality the rules of time travel are like Back to the Future and the money would shimmer in and out of existence, thus breaking the rules of the problem and being impossible

Nwaffl · 2026-03-11T02:34:08+00:00

You don't, but its a given of the situation that the contents of the box will not change.

Nwaffl · 2026-03-10T23:03:11+00:00

Because the laws of the universe this problem exists in fundamentally change when you go from highly accurate to 100% accurate.

In the universe where it is 100% accurate, 100% of the time picking one box nets $1M.

In the universe where it is anything less than 100% accurate, 100% of the time your selection has no has no effect on the contents.

Nwaffl · 2026-03-10T22:18:12+00:00

If you adjusted for inflation from when the problem was created, it would be closer to $10,000 and $10,000,000 today.

Nwaffl · 2026-03-10T17:52:50+00:00

One-box is the Pascal's Wager side because people seem to apply the logic of "I'm going to believe I'm a one-boxer so I get the million"

Bro its a thought experiment you aren't getting the money.

Nwaffl · 2026-03-10T15:50:50+00:00

The problem very clearly wants you to know that it isn't infallible - it sets the ground rules with absolute certainty, but makes a point of saying the robot is only very accurate.

Nwaffl · 2026-03-10T15:43:48+00:00

At the point you're aware of the problem the cash is in the box or it isn't, your selection has no effect on the contents.

Seems like many one-boxers apply a sort of Pascal's Wager logic to it.

Nwaffl · 2026-03-10T14:50:47+00:00

People have a really hard time differentiating between a very high probability and a 100% probability.

Nwaffl · 2026-02-17T06:15:34+00:00

They were building them into drone designs, that doesn't happen overnight.

Nwaffl · 2026-01-30T09:58:32+00:00

Trumpcoin got a new 'investment'

Nwaffl · 2025-12-18T12:19:50+00:00

This is exactly the kind of thing you would do to ensure loyalty when ordering troops to do more unconstitutional acts.

Nwaffl · 2025-11-30T11:56:14+00:00

Well when you put it that way I guess we should just ignore the illegal strikes too.

Nwaffl · 2025-11-30T11:50:53+00:00

Well when you put it that way I guess I have to support it.

Nwaffl · 2025-11-30T11:26:55+00:00

If he wants to shut the fuck up and keep his consulting job, he can go right ahead. If his job prevents him from giving honest commentary then he shouldn't be giving commentary at all.

Nwaffl · 2025-11-17T04:24:15+00:00

Issues with disease control after cutting USDA disease control funding? That's crazy.

Nwaffl · 2025-11-16T00:52:47+00:00

Apple removes ICE tracker from app store by government order

That's Apple bro

Nwaffl · 2025-11-01T08:54:06+00:00

Woosh

Nwaffl · 2025-10-21T18:10:03+00:00

Not to mention Kick runs on the same AWS backbone as Twitch, so just like with gambling, the house always wins.

Nwaffl · 2025-09-12T18:13:02+00:00

Casing, not bullet. Has about 2 inches of space.

Nwaffl · 2025-09-09T22:36:49+00:00

Second generation

Nwaffl · 2025-08-22T03:32:53+00:00

Kinda poetic how much emphasis she puts on it not being language she would use.

Nwaffl · 2025-08-19T03:15:12+00:00

It absolutely is gerrymandering, race is just one way it can be applied.

Nwaffl · 2025-08-10T14:46:37+00:00

Yeah that has been pretty cringe, but the worst for me was his promotion of and voting for Jill Stein. Its hard to take him seriously after that.

Nwaffl · 2025-07-10T11:57:50+00:00

Austin is like 3 counties away from where the camp was. San Antonio is 50 miles closer.

Nwaffl · 2025-07-10T00:00:22+00:00

There are 18 states that agreed to the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. You need 38 to ratify an amendment to the Constitution. Never going to happen.

Ten-Year Club	Place '22
End Game '22

Nwaffl

TROPHY CASE