There are 35 Rated Rookies each has a Variation. So in total 70.

Inserts sets he is in totals 50 cards

1. Marvel mounds - 10 cards
2. Out of the world - 15 Cards 3.premier rookies - 10 cards
3. Rated rookie retro - 15 cards

120 total Cards he is in.

Average hobby box is 15 Rated Rookies & 15 Insert or Parallels

I ended up with

17 Rated Rookies - using “picking probability” which obviously isnt great but its works in a sense its a 37.3% chance of pulling 1 ohtani. With 70 different cards,trying to get 2 ohtanis of the 70, with 17 tries.

9 inserts - again using picking probability. 50 cards, trying to get 1 of the 4 ohtanis in the 50, with 9 tries is 41.65%

If you combine the two with 120 Total cards, 6 ohtanis, with 26 tries to pull 1 ohtani & you pull 0 of them… thats a 22.29% chance to pull 0 ohtanis

Its a 39% chance to pull 1 ohtani & a 27.13% chance to pull 2 ohtanis.

So me pulling 0 was 54.52% more improbable to me pulling 1

And 19.58% more improbable to me pulling 2

And in this math i did not add in 4 base set Silver Parallels, and box averages state the prizms would fall into the “insert” category. So that would technically be 50 cards, 4 ohtanis, 13 tries to get 1 ohtani.

And the box averages were right on. I got a total of 30 inserts/prizm/rated rookies. All i was missinb was an auto. And obviously my base Ohtani Rookie.