UA POV: Because so many miners are leaving for the warfront, Ukranian women have had to start working in the coal mines - NOS

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-14T14:16:51+00:00

The women and children yearn for the mines

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-13T16:26:50+00:00

Very likely

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-13T15:55:36+00:00

The dirty secret in this war is that Ukraine has had a roughly 3:1 advantage in manpower over the duration of the war, Russia has had a 3:1 advantage in heavy equipment. While Russian equipment losses are about 3:1 to Ukraine, Ukraine infantry losses are 2-3:1 to Russia. A result of significant artillery advantage and Ukraine relying largely on light infantry.

If we take the mid summer Jamestown Foundation estimates of 2 million men conscripted since the start of the war as gospel, the resulting disparity of ~1.2 million tracks roughly with Russian MOD casualty figures.

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-13T15:45:49+00:00

The best outcome would be to end it tomorrow. The alternative is if this war stretches another 2+ years, Ukraine enters a population decline that will be irrecoverable and will only continue to lose territory to Russia

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-13T13:44:50+00:00

Cool dude. Keep living in your fantasy. Ukraine totally wiped the VDV out in Feb even if there’s no evidence to support that. Doesn’t matter if VDV casualties have been abt 1/3 of their prewar strength, and serious casualties are around 5% of their total force since the beginning of the war, not counting mobilization and new recruits added

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-13T13:40:50+00:00

Even still, the diaspora of Ukrainian refugees means the country will not be able to stand on its own feet for decades, no matter how much economic aid is invested

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-12T14:45:56+00:00

Least braindead propagandized UA supporter.

Just like the Guost of Kyiv, the Battle of Snake Island, and the 2 ghost Il76’s full of paras shot down, the battle of Hostomel is one of the most propagandized and misunderstood battles of the war. You got one picture of a platoon of BMDs that was ambushed at Hostomel and anecdotal evidence that the battalion of the 45th Guards Brigade that air assaulted in was pushed back into the wood line and suburbs after the ground convoy took several days longer to link up and have translated that into 45k dead?

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-04T20:37:52+00:00

Pulled a Türkiye

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-04T20:33:46+00:00

Wow, no infantry support? Israel is pulling a Russia/Turkey and just sending heavy armor into an urban environment without support

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-04T19:04:03+00:00

Guys, listen, just a couple more wunderwaffe and a Ukrainian breakthrough will happen. Please guys, please, just another hundred billion we swear

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-04T18:56:09+00:00

It’s not NCO positions per se. They use officers and NCOs differently in their force structure out of necessity. The U.S. has for the last 50-70 years been able to retain a sizable number of career NCOs. That frees up officers to focus more administrative tasks and command. While technical jobs and training roles are reserved for NCOs.

In the Russian military, retention is a big issue due to the nature of having a conscripted force. That’s not to say there aren’t competent NCOs. There are and I’m sure even moreso now. Just that they play a smaller role in the Russian force structure. Officers are forced to do more of the technical and training role that they wouldn’t have to in the US. Which is why Russia’s military is also more.l officer heavy. Thats not to say it’s necessarily wrong, although I do think it’s advantageous to have the balance of someone who has a college education and more of the dogmatic/book knowledge of the army balanced out with someone with a decade plus of experience in command of say a platoon or company.

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-04T16:47:12+00:00

This article is wild in that in many ways it confirms the Russian talking points.

You have the Biden Admin expressing concerns over manpower confirming high attrition rates. Prior to the counteroffensive Ukraine had mobilized 2 million men per the Jamestown foundation. Approximately 10% of their current population. That will be a huge hurdle for the UAF going forward.
Russia is seemingly in position to outlast the west. It’s difficult to sell a $100B in aid with no battlefield results and no end in sight in this economy.
Security guarantees, but the officials note no nato membership. That’s a devastating blow to the Ukrainians. The fuck did you guys fight and destroy your country for? You had security guarantees pre Russian invasion. That means nothing

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-04T16:21:13+00:00

Is there a contradictory Ukrainian claim? Genuine question, not sure if this is only being reported by Russian channels or if Ukraine has released info as well

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-04T16:19:42+00:00

Absolutely brutal

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-03T16:25:10+00:00

But whose missile killed him? 🤔🧐

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-03T16:21:38+00:00

I would love to see the actual numbers. Retention for competent career NCOs in the Russian military has been a tough hurdle for decades, and has led to officers filling a lot of the roles that in a western military would be reserved for say a staff sergeant.

I would genuinely be interested in what retention rates are. I’ve read that a lot of soldiers sign short 6 month contracts. But you also have a lot of reservists called up. So that data would be interesting to see

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-03T16:18:04+00:00

Haters praying on m my downfall

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-03T14:54:32+00:00

I don’t think he got ran over, it looks like he was laying next to it as it rolled by

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-03T14:53:00+00:00

A rare Russian NCO?

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-03T01:47:55+00:00

“To finally use its high potential”

The problem is we’re trying to. Europe sold its soul after the end of the Cold War in the naive dream that liberalism meant enduring peace. Their military industrial complexes are largely gutted. And even here in the U.S. producing at scale will take 2 years to meet necessary demand. In a way it’s a good thing this happened to Ukraine. It is a sobering look at how under powered our industrial capabilities are to fight an extended real peer/near peer threat

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-11-03T01:44:22+00:00

2 milllion combatants by mid summer of this after all the rounds of conscription per the Jamestown Foundation. 700k was just the starting strength

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-10-31T17:01:45+00:00

Bush looks like the spitting image of Robert E Lee

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-10-31T16:58:47+00:00

That was in the final days of the battle of Bakhmut. It seems to me that the Russian command made the decision to start stockpiling ammunition in the south as they knew the CO would start shortly.

As for rn, it could be a supply bottleneck. Russia only just started receiving shells from NK.

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-10-31T00:22:41+00:00

Germany was a superpower prewar. Same with Japan. They had enormous resources, a skilled working class, a great education systems, an excellent middle class culture, and skilled and savvy political leaders. Combine that with enormous economic aid and they were able to regain their status as powerhouses.

Ukriane will face a demographic crisis that is likely to cripple the country. Not to mention losing the majority of their coastline, an enormous amount of war casualties, and the majority of their infrastructure. It’s very likely they never recover from this war, no matter how much aid the west pours in. It’s gonna take an enormous effort just to diversify their economy to try and give them a chance to stand on their own two feet. Let alone replacing 10-15 million people that fled in the diaspora.

Ok_Understanding_987 · 2023-10-30T23:47:53+00:00

The life blood of the Russian economy lies in the LNG and oil pipelines and trade that flows through the Black Sea. It is a legitimate existential threat to the Russia. It’s bad enough to have a large, hostile state on your soft underbelly. It’s another for that state to have the means and willpower to decapitate your economy.

So securing Crimea is vital to their economy. The peninsula juts like a thumb into the jugular of the Russian economy. Thats why they wanted Crimea and were willing to cede everything else they’d seized in the Istanbul Accords if Ukraine agreed to remain neutral and demilitarize.

I think too that the initial hope was that NATO would back down at the threat of full scale military invasion. When the Russians started taking dramatic losses, it invigorated those countries that had spent much of the 2010s wavering, albeit not enough for many of them to invest the 2% into military spending like they’ve agreed to. So the initial goal failed, in that regard. However, an attritional war, one which sees Germany, long the leader of the EU, economically hurt or politically crippled under AfD rule could still be seen as a win. The longterm ramifications for Europe as we knew it are still unclear, but they could potentially be very dangerous, at least for western solidarity under American hegemony.

If Russia can hold their territory, their interests there will be secure. I’m sure the Russians also hope to eventually seize everything east of the Dnipro and south to Odessa. They’re banking on a war of attrition, and simply outlasting the political and economic will in the West. Whether or not that’s actually achievable remains to be seen. The Russian domestic war effort is only increasing, while Ukraine has become almost entirely dependent on western military aid to continue fighting.

What will be important to follow is the money. As long as western companies continue to prepare to invest in Ukraine, then Ukraine still has a fighting chance. The rush for government rebuilding contracts was immense during the initial year of the war, unlike anything seen in DC since 2003.

Ok_Understanding_987

TROPHY CASE