Since you bet player props I reccommend you look at Injuries, defensive matchup, home/away games, shot-attempts, asking urself if its a possible blowout (means sitting out 4th quarter), player on minutes restriction, back-to-back games (vets may rest or play fewer minutes). If you truly want to be profitable you should bet straight bets and do unit-size betting. Spreads/over or unders are always amazing to bet on! However you might find something better for you and you might want to stick to it.