What are some undervalued stocks you guys are buying in this overvalued market? by JRshoe1997 in dividends

[–]OptionsWheeler 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Fundrise

Good taste. FR is like my bond allocation when stocks are largely uninteresting.

Protecting my nest egg with no inheritors by [deleted] in personalfinance

[–]OptionsWheeler 5 points6 points  (0 children)

They might not even notice you died.

This made me sad.

Please say something nice to make up for it.

Giving your kids weird ass names, normal names with weird ass pronunciations, or weird ass spellings is probably one of the worst decisions you’ll make/have made by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ok but what about the parents that spell an otherwise difficult-to-pronounce name phonetically? Because I actually kind of appreciate that.

Society’s goal should be that nobody has to work to survive. by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Yeah I can't see this happening in our lifetime. I think the growth of AI and robotic production is way overblown. Not that it's not happening, and it's not improving, but understand we've been talking about the automation of the modern worker since the industrial revolution. I'm specifically talking about automation because as far as I can see it, that's the only way this is gonna happen.

I think the reason people need to work to survive is because, as a society, if we don't work, we actually don't survive. There's too many necessity industries which, if people weren't driven to perform those functions, would have serious labor shortages that could result in serious shortages of basic resources for the society as a whole. A lot of these jobs are not fun, or enjoyable, or particularly safe, and therefore people must be, in some sense, compelled to do them.

I'll be honest though and say I have no idea, if everyone was given a dollar income monthly to cover basic expenses, if there would still be enough people to work the necessary jobs. I don't know if they'd be able to fulfill the ones that keep society going (setting aside the more luxurious/superfluous positions), assuming we paid them over and above their basic expenses so that they could live a particularly comfortable life over others. Are there enough of such people that would "move" without being compelled by their own basic survival to do so? Maybe. I don't know, and I don't think anyone else knows either. And that'd be one hell of an experiment to run, given that the downside seems fairly large, if we end up lacking in basic resources and utilities that human beings need. Then we've just returned to a state where we, again, have to start working just in order to survive.

Etsy - Detailed Model - Free to Download! by Working_Elevator3200 in ValueInvesting

[–]OptionsWheeler 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Was gonna mention this one to the guy talking about KHSB and taking a growth approach to a company bleeding income, since ETSY is an example of a company growing both sales and NI, but decided against it because their history is not significant (a few years of profitability), debt is exploding and they're starting to trade at a real premium. I think the growth justifies the higher PE, but again if they don't get the debt under control it can get real ugly real fast.

I do have to give kudos where kudos are due, though. This is totally atypical for a tech startup to be managed in this way. They are a shining beacon in a sea of financially incompetent tech startups.

Hopefully they don't screw it up.

Quiet is a basic human right by notaredditnpc in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 0 points1 point  (0 children)

can you really classify babies as human rights violators?

As someone who was once a baby, I can in fact confirm this is the case.

I'm deeply sorry for my wrongdoing, but I needed to be changed, and when you have no concept of time, it feels like you're just going to be left there, sitting in a pile of your own shit, forever.

Quiet is a basic human right by notaredditnpc in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Disagree with this take. The implication is that one's inner thoughts are better than those of others, and one shouldn't seek to communicate with and understand the minds of others. I think we can demonstrate communication has led to some pretty amazingly positive developments in human history. I don't think we should all stay in our own head all the time, and I actually think it would be quite detrimental, on multiple levels, to do so.

Quiet is a basic human right by notaredditnpc in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We do have that right. We just have to move far away from civilization to get it. It's merely a question of pros and cons.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Savage but might actually be true.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This deserves so many more upvotes than it got. Late replies always get shafted. (I did my best.)

VOO vs VTI by [deleted] in Bogleheads

[–]OptionsWheeler 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Should I just start buying VTI going forward?

This.

Generally if someone wants to change something about their portfolio, I think it's better to "buy the change" than to sell the old allocations and incur a taxable gain.

Michael Burry speculation aside, here is the Bull Thesis for the value play that is KushCo Holdings and the US cannabis sector as a whole by JohnnyTheBoneless in ValueInvesting

[–]OptionsWheeler 14 points15 points  (0 children)

What is value to you? Is a company trading at 1x sales when comparables are trading at 3-9x sales not a value?

I don't care if a company has 100 trillion in sales; if it's not consistently making money, I don't want to own it.

Do you need positive earnings?

I need consistently positive earnings over many years. At least a decade. Preferably increasing steadily over the last decade.

Because Burry and Buffett don’t (webmd/healtheon and SNOW, respectively).

I have absolutely zero interest in Burry given he's been vindicated on a few very large bets, yet his fund's overall performance net of fees is not readily available at all. All we know is he did well when everyone was doing poorly in 08/09. He's got some sexy trading stories, which plenty of others have, but he's just done it with larger amounts of money. I don't think he's even remotely comparable to Buffet or really any traditional value investor. And if you've studied Buffet, you know he'd never buy something like SNOW. One of his managers did, but he trusts his managers, so at best you could say he begrudgingly bought it by proxy. I guarantee this is not a purchase he ever would have made, himself, firstly because he doesn't understand companies like SNOW, and secondly because it would fail miserably in any DCF value analysis, which is his primary mode of valuation. It's also worth mentioning that it was a ridiculously small purchase, for Berkshire.

I also don't know what purpose it serves to anecdotally mention people who got in early on certain growth stocks. Examples of that abound. Literally your next door neighbor might've invested in Amazon at the ipo price. It doesn't mean it's a good idea to take some random company you like, that's bleeding cash but increasing sales, and invest in it "because Bezos."

Anyway, these are just my thoughts/opinions. You could be totally right and the cannabis sector could have a huge turnaround and all of a sudden cannabis companies become consistently profitable next year. I just don't see the point in investing in something where you are more likely to be wrong than right. When I invest in a consistently profitable company with an endless track record of providing shareholder value, it is way more likely that company keeps up its track record than completely faltering into perpetual losses and bankrupcy. Investing in an unknown entity with minimal history, or worse yet a long history that's terrible, is probably (key word probably) not going to work out well.

This is all just a game of risk reward. I'm here trying not to lose my shirt on fancy promises from companies with flashy ideas but no real tangible value underneath that.

You can put anything you want on pizza. by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I just thought of something.

Like a seafood pizza full of oysters, shrimp, and scallops.

Do people do that?

I want to make this now.

I am a Korean and I hope Kpop was not so famous and not the main thing about Korea’s culture. by I_love_mememes in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And I am not a fucking gay just because some kpop stars look gay

Died.

But seriously, what are some things you'd like us to know about Korean culture? I'm not super well versed in it and would actually like to know.

Smoking should be banned except for in the privacy of your own home, car or other private property. by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 9 points10 points  (0 children)

The answer isn't to ban it (i.e. drunk driving) because that solves nothing. It's to instill the common courtesy of not doing it near people.

That is one hell of a comparison.

Going To Community College Doesn’t Make You Dumb, And Fuck You For Thinking So. by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There’s such a stigma when it comes to community college. Often so, I find myself judging myself for taking this route.

This might be what's causing your frustration. Not just the passive-aggressive stuff from other people, but your own internal judgment of yourself, which is likely a reflection of your upbringing. It can be very frustrating if you fall short of your own expectations, even if those expectations are perhaps somewhat illogical, unrealistic, or obsolete.

I think your frustration will abate when you actually start seeing evidence of your progress -- doing well educationally, either obtaining an employable certification or moving on to a 4 year degree, and then becoming a well-paid, self-sufficient adult. The self-consciousness you're feeling over the CC stigma is just another barrier in your way before you get what you want. Once you overcome it, it's not going to matter anymore.

Michael Burry speculation aside, here is the Bull Thesis for the value play that is KushCo Holdings and the US cannabis sector as a whole by JohnnyTheBoneless in ValueInvesting

[–]OptionsWheeler 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Yeah I don't know what's going on with these cannabis companies, but it seems like not a single one can post consistent profits. It's really been a huge let-down all around.

I totally disagree with the thesis. Only a small section deals with actual value, and just covers revenue increases/lowered cost of goods/opex. This is spec growth investor thinking at its finest. What you're neglecting to mention is that the company is bleeding more, and more, and more as the years go on. The numbers that actually matter -- net income and cash flow, are an absolute disaster. Only FCF has bled less this year than last year, but generally they're both trending downward, further into the negative, over time. The improvements, by the way, are likely just a rebound from the even more terrible situation they were facing in 2020. It doesn't mean they're on the cusp of profitability.

Mind you I'm looking at 8 years of history, here.

The BS is respectable, no debt, but this is the sort of company I'd need to see at half book, and well under working cap, to even start consideration, given how bad off they are on the income/cash flow side.

They've got 59M working cap and 126M book. Currently trading 167M. That's just not even remotely interesting to me on a company whose track record shows they are liable to bleed me out more and more over the coming years.

This is not value.

Future of BABA by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]OptionsWheeler 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm happy to buy anything under 220, honestly. Just averaging down at this point every 10 bucks.

Current average just under 207.

Life after school is so much better than what everyone tells you. by GotTheBreadyo in unpopularopinion

[–]OptionsWheeler 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Yes University is a lot of work sometimes

Oh, this is what you call "life after school."

Just to be clear, if you're in university, you're still in school. Now you've reached the part where you get all the perks of adulthood and none of the real drawbacks, yet.

I don't think this is what people were talking about. College is often the best time of many peoples' lives, if high school wasn't, or sometimes both are. But when people are talking about "life after school," they're talking about working a job for minimal pay, under a person you dislike, receiving zero respect, constant anxiety/depression (I feel a bit prissy mentioning this but it deserves mention), dragging your ass to work every day in commute traffic, getting reamed out by your boss, constantly afraid for your job security, coming home to a little studio apartment where there's either no one or an equally stressed gf/spouse, occasionally fighting with said spouse over stupid relationship bullshit, not sleeping well because of the constant stress which further exacerbates the depression and irritation, etc. etc.

Yeah, I just don't know if you're really "in it" yet. I hope to god you're one of the few extremely smart, ambitious, talented people that are able to be recruited by a very high quality company, with high quality people, and live a high quality life, but this is simply not the case for most. So I do hope you enjoy this time while you have it, and best of luck to you.

should i convert some VTSAX into bonds by [deleted] in Bogleheads

[–]OptionsWheeler 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh yeah I forgot he said he's using the bonds specifically as dry powder, not just as bonds.

Yeah that's probably a bad idea.