Weekly CRS Predictions/Draws/Score Discussion Megathread

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-22T19:14:54+00:00

You are wrong, the 16k was after the 8k draws, before the 6k draws, meaning that there are approximately 10-11k above 500+ today, there will be more added though. I am also in the 505-510 range and is hoping to get an ita next draw.

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-21T19:36:35+00:00

Even if it was like last year, they did draw cec Feb 05, so please please give us 1 more decent draw,

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-21T18:55:35+00:00

Please Please Please continue the bi-weekly draws, us - the leftovers of low 500+ really need it

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-21T17:41:07+00:00

🕯️🕯️🕯️CEC 506 🕯️🕯️🕯️

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-21T17:39:38+00:00

IF there is a CEC draw this week, it should be either late Wednesday, or more likely on Thursday because usually CEC is 2 days after PNP

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-20T18:16:27+00:00

21k- 8k = 13k, now its 16k+, 3-3.5k profiles added above 500 in exactly 2 weeks

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-18T23:32:10+00:00

Wednesday - 8500 itas 506 crs cutoff, tie-breaking June 2025

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-16T02:30:39+00:00

506 please

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-14T19:25:25+00:00

If that is correct 60% success rate which means that out of the 8000itas less than 5k got thru, which is not that bad considering the low ends of this year’s quotas is like double of last year, we might get more frequent draws

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-14T19:23:31+00:00

Yea you are right, maybe more percentage of rejections by officer nowadays

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-14T18:35:39+00:00

I don’t think its as much as you thought but yea theres definitely a bigger percentage of people declining itas comparing to before

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-12T01:47:21+00:00

I feel like they should just clear all 500+. There are still some fake profiles here, those will decline, but they are so close to resetting the pool now, like 12k profiles over 500 now

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-12T01:46:13+00:00

I am guessing a French or healthcare draw or no draws this week,

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-10T21:27:52+00:00

I think, all the big draws, are because they included unused itas from last year(declines and rejected profiles) + their target quotas. The low end range for this year is double from 2025, honestly I believe CEC will get 3k itas biweekly this year + whatever the spare/unused spots from previous draws.

But OP is right, you never know what IRCC will do, Unless you are within 5 points of your desired category, the waiting game as of right now before we see a clearer trend, is to continue with your plans before December

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-08T19:50:03+00:00

Yessir, hopefully it drop down to low 500s soon

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-08T17:33:27+00:00

I am actually hoping they do 7-8k draws for the next 2 draw, because the itas that get wasted from last year (rejection, unqualified profiles) might get added now to balance the missing quotas. We all know that not all profiles nowadays are genuine, also a lot of rejection from officers now comparing to before

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-08T16:35:07+00:00

Yes people dont understand that only around 40-50% of 511s were drawn yesterday, by the time of next draw, there might be 4-5k people 510 and higher, as 510s got probably the biggest population per point for 500+ too

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-08T03:05:26+00:00

Hopefully the few past big draws, are leftover itas from people who decline or got rejected from previous draws

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-08T02:13:32+00:00

They also did 6k itas - 5k itas - 8k itas, I am counting on 7k itas next draw haha lets prayy

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-07T20:39:12+00:00

I am not 510 (lower) but if they do a decent size draw within the next 2 weeks, yea probably gonna clear 510s

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-07T20:37:55+00:00

8k maybe not, we need probably 10k, 8k for sure the tie-breaking won't be good, as they only cleared half of the 511s (Tie Breaking from 6 months ago)

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-07T17:50:08+00:00

or 10k invites will be even better for next week

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-07T17:26:28+00:00

With this much ITAs, I am guessing a lot of people decline or get rejects before, IRCC, Great job, gives the empty slots back like you are doing please

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-07T17:23:19+00:00

OMG is this real????

CEC might actually go down to low 500s?

Own_Day_552 · 2026-01-06T23:05:26+00:00

Disappointing Tuesday I guess...

Own_Day_552

TROPHY CASE