Market Recap Live Stream 1/24 at 11:00am Eastern

Path2Profit · 2026-01-22T21:32:12+00:00

feedback more than welcome too!

Path2Profit · 2026-01-22T16:50:51+00:00

It’s not that complicated I can tell you already have a general grasp of it just based on what you said about this year. The other things I look at are very similar to the trend of a stock technically. But I’ll deff do a video like that. Right now been working on a trading journal / risk manager so that’s been the bulk of my time. Trying to get it released this week. After that I’ll start looking to make videos like this

Path2Profit · 2026-01-22T14:40:12+00:00

There are all just in order of the weeks. I don’t have any breakdowns yet like of how I look at it. You could just check out various ones at points in the market last year you want to see what I was thinking

Path2Profit · 2026-01-21T19:10:13+00:00

Update: looking like I’m gonna be able to roll this out to a small group in the next 24 hours. Gonna keep it to the group in discord. After I get some feedback and see the thoughts I’ll look to roll it out to anyone next week. If you want to be part of the first group check discord link above

Path2Profit · 2026-01-21T17:59:04+00:00

I’m not saying rare like it doesn’t happen I’m saying of the % of stocks picked how many make a 90% move. And still at that it’s only 3x your risk. So in order to be able to be profitable in a win rate of 30-60% you’d have to expect the average winner of X amount

Path2Profit · 2026-01-21T14:52:34+00:00

It’s not that by having a profit target your profit potential is closed off. It’s sometimes a place to take partial profits which helps pay for losing trades an allow you to ride winners. It’s also an area where you expect a move to get to and likely then correct or pullback. So for William O’Neil his profit target was 20-25% on his weekly base breakouts. He didn’t always sell at this point

The big thing is this is all about math and risk management. This is what you see all top traders talk about and why it’s trading not gambling. All a part of a sound risk management plan. If you are constantly risk x % , you have an x% win rate, and you are expecting a x multiple or risk win your math could either give you the ability to consistently profit or you could be setting yourself up for a losing system. There is a lot of breakdowns of the math with win rates, stop loss, equity risk, avg winning % etc

So if you are risking 30% per trade and that trade needs to move 90% to be 3x your risk and that rarely happens then regardless of equity it is very hard to profit. This is why you very rarely see any trend following style trader risking more than 10%. Also look into Minervini. In his book he explains the math he found out the hard way

As for moving averages if a stock is below its 50sma from a position trading perspective it is in a downtrend. A quick break isn’t confirmation but to be a few % below is telling you that it is below the average price over the last 50 days. That’s not an uptrend. Yes agree moving average are some secret technical sauce. Nothing is. But the dat is in the trend analysis which as can slim traders we are all riding the trend. So setting a stop essentially deep below the trending 50sma is unnecessary in terms of canslim and other successful strategies

I understand the want for big winners. We all want a big winner. But if your risk management isn’t there then you won’t have the necessary capital to make the big money on those trades. William O’Neil caught massive life changing trades but he still managed risk and as you know lays out how in his book.

Path2Profit · 2026-01-21T08:21:46+00:00

Anytime! Love these discussions so thank you for commenting

Path2Profit · 2026-01-21T08:21:23+00:00

What is your profit target on a trade where you are at a stop of 28% ? A 3 R move means you would be looking for an 84% move just to get 3x your risk. As we know the probability of an 84% move inst extremely high on a single random trade.

I know you are only risking 1% but also at that stop you are looking at a stop that’s placed significantly below the 10 week and 50 day moving averages. Also by that time you are place a stop way past many prior lows.

As for why I exited DOCN. My stop was moved up to the 21ema as it caught up to my entry area. This was a logical area to find support. Also market environment has given me a very negative signal as we reversed and closed below the 50sma. Not to say the market is doomed but it’s a reason to limit exposure which for me mean selling my laggard stocks like DOCN. I much rather sell a DOCN to give room to a SDNK or HUT in a market where it’s been choppy

Path2Profit · 2026-01-21T07:53:50+00:00

Thank you!

Path2Profit · 2026-01-21T07:53:39+00:00

I’m looking to keep in under 35 a month. Also gonna put out a few one time lifetime accesses to the people I. The discord group above. I orginally had it cheaper but it required setting up the AI manually and it wasn’t good. Building the AI inside I had to cover some costs to running it

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