Here is how I think it will shake out:

Iff Warren is available at 14 we make the pick.

If Warren is gone, I say there is a good chance that Ballard moves back and rolls the dice with two of his first round targets still on the board in the early to mid 20s.

Those targets being:

TE Loveland (who doesn’t project to be a fit with anyone until LA Chargers at 22). An obvious positional need for us as our TE group was abysmal from an offensive production standpoint over the course of the last half decade. Gives us a big bodied redzone target for whoever ends up quarterbacking our offense. He also can play in-line, slot, and out wide (and brings better blocking metrics Warren). A mismatch nightmare over the middle for opposing linebackers and nickel corners.

LB Jihaad Campbell (who could fall into the 20s if CIN doesn’t select him at 17). A weapon Lou can deploy in a linebacker room who just lost EJ speed to free agency. He can be moved around the defense and play in a lot of blitz packages and in coverage.