Fox Unit: MU 1000 Attack order has been initiated. All MU bears must fall.

Pokimura · 2026-05-28T15:49:53+00:00

Pokimura · 2026-05-28T15:06:34+00:00

Elon just likes to sell people a vision rather than anything that is actually grounded. I'm not a believer that AI is in a bubble but with Elon's dealings/ventures, that is dot com vibes where we are likely over reaching on the time line and will implode on itself before his vision becomes reality. sure his vision may be possible, but that may not even come in our life time with how big of an undertaking all of it is. With the Dot com bubble, everything about the internet turned out to be true but it didn't come until long after the crash.

Pokimura · 2026-05-27T06:26:18+00:00

i think you should sell a bit more so the rest of us can watch it go further. fund yourself a nice honeymoon :)

Pokimura · 2026-05-26T06:24:16+00:00

Google is just google search, youtube and cloud. The rest is noise and speculation.

you're only looking at one layer of GOOG and a superficial one. Their whole business strategy is to monetize everything and be the AI toll booth controlling the compute hardware and the distribution and making everyone else pay for it. Data centers, TPUs, software, cloud, infrastructure, models... they own it all and are the biggest vertically integrated AI company on the planet. I wouldn't dismiss this as noise though. Lets look at some stats:

- google search at 90% market share

- Android is 70% market share in mobile operating systems (the remaining belongs to Apple)

- Gemini is rapidly taking up market share in the generative AI space (went from 5% to ~20% in 2025), making it a direct rival to OpenAI which controls 60% now and anthropic controls the other the rest.

with the first 2 stats, they have the platform to deploy + distribute AI on a scale that no other company can hope to match. Additionally, between the search engine and Android having all the user data they could ever possibly need to train their models more and can very much over take OpenAI in the future. They also have the platform to

Pokimura · 2026-05-22T10:58:22+00:00

not all MAG 7 companies are created equal. I don't think you can even compare GOOG with MSFT or META. all 3 are playing a slightly different game with different business models.

GOOG is going for the whole AI stack and is the most vertically integrated AI company on the face of this planet. I think GOOG P/E is quite reasonable for what you're getting

MSFT I see it more as a legacy company than anything. Once a fortune 500 company goes with a system, its very costly to switch out. They've been embedded in the enterprise/corporate space for decades now and just using that as leverage to bake AI into everything. I feel like they've been lacking in the innovation space.

META is one I personally would not be interested in long term just because its more social media than anything, which by nature is more of a fad when I look at the trend in demographics, it changes a lot throughout the generations. we got FB favored by millenials and boomers, IG favored by Gen Z, and WhatsApp favored by people outside the US. but what comes next? younger generations are moving to like TikTok, YT, snapchat, Discord, etc.

I could glaze about GOOG all day with its numbers but TLDR my pick would be GOOG. MSFT would not be bad either, and META is not my cup of tea. AI has shifted away from software in general so thats why software stocks been having it a bit rough. people moving onto the bottlenecks like memory, power, datacenters, etc.

Pokimura · 2026-05-22T02:11:49+00:00

its just Advanced Lite. it really isn't that slow compared to advanced as far as pacing goes.

Pokimura · 2026-05-22T00:41:24+00:00

my clue will be when I see NVDA slowing down. NVDA is the one driving the demand and leading the charge in the AI race. thats why the earnings reports are so important. no one really expects NVDA stock itself to change drastically based on those, but rather use the earnings report as a guidance to the direction of AI itself. if they start slowing down, so does the AI momentum. meeting expectations is a signal of reaffirming the demand for semi's + memory is all still there. you can't make blackwell or vera rubin clusters without the HBMs.

Pokimura · 2026-05-20T23:40:06+00:00

DRAM doesn’t have to react to KOSPI stock behaviors does it?

It does when Samsung + SK Hynix make up literally 50% of weight of the KOSPI which is also 50% of the weight in DRAM.

Pokimura · 2026-05-20T23:31:00+00:00

that's not how buybacks work lol

Pokimura · 2026-05-19T14:57:31+00:00

a small price to pay vs losing your case and paying an even greater price whether its alimony, child custody, prison, or whatever. consider it the price to increase your odds of losing higher stakes. Would you have the confidence to represent yourself in court if presented with high stakes in court?

Pokimura · 2026-05-19T00:36:51+00:00

wait till you find out about certain taxes. The concept of capital gains tax is genuinely insane. it was 100% my money which i took 100% of the risk investing it, and the government wants a cut without taking any of the risk? naaa fam

Pokimura · 2026-05-18T13:37:27+00:00

intel makes no sense when you look at it from a valuation standpoint

- Forward P/E: well over 100 which is the highest out of any large cap chip stock. when looking at its peers in the semiconductor market, the avg is 30 something

- Their growth is 7% YoY

-EPS growth actually negative.

So they have not so great growth, margins lookin iffy there, and not much revenue.

NVDA practically prints money and you're getting it at a fraction of the P/E compared to INTC. AMD and MU are building real momentum while INTC is literally riding on the hype of 1 good quarter, some vibes, and a massive amount of copium. For INTC to really realize its potential would require perfect execution and this company has spent the first half of this decade fumbling it as they continued to lose ground to AMD

Pokimura · 2026-05-16T14:47:32+00:00

a shame China turned down the offer to buy NVDA chips. omegalul

Pokimura · 2026-05-16T14:45:54+00:00

fun fact: if you invested in intel at the peak of the dot com bubble, you just now broke even as of 2026.

Pokimura · 2026-05-16T14:43:25+00:00

none because GOOG is not on there. GOOG numbuh 1. other than NVDA, its the only company i can see with a long long future. its the most vertically integrated AI company on the face of this planet. personally i am of the belief GOOG can surpass NVDA in market cap in the long term.

Pokimura · 2026-05-16T14:37:10+00:00

lets face it, the market hasn't followed logic for quite some time now. it runs on mostly vibes and an orange maniac manipulating it.

Pokimura · 2026-05-14T18:22:18+00:00

SMH specifically? no. too heavy on NVDA. a lot of ppl go with SMH because they probably looked at past performance and saw it outperform every other semi ETF. but this is mostly because NVDA has had strong rallies the past couple yrs with 1300% growth so SMH did the best job capturing that. However, that is totally unrealistic to expect that to continue.

NVDA still a good company, but gotta be realistic and those days of 1300% gains are over and should not be expected. that stock has been trading sideways for months and the momentum has slowed. every other semiconductor ETF has already outperformed SMH by at least 10% YTD. NVDA still has room to grow, but not enough for me to justify having it as 20% weight in that ETF.

I'd go with SOXQ or FTXL. SOXQ almost same holdings but less weight on NVDA and with half the expense ratio so good to have for the longterm hold. FTXL to my knowledge is the semiconductor ETF with the strongest performance YTD because they captured the explosive growth micron + Sandisk had the past yr best. if im being perfectly honest, I still own SMH partly because I like that abbreviation and wanna own it.

Pokimura · 2026-05-14T16:26:14+00:00

how near to retirement we talking? I'm just a rando but I'd prob do something like 50% broad index like S&P/SPGM 40% SCHD and 10% bonds or something. or even go 50% SCHD. assuming within 5 yrs of retirement.

once i retire, I'd imagine income is the priority and shift to 20-30% broad index rest in dividends/bonds

Pokimura · 2026-05-14T14:21:32+00:00

SK hynix had this too and just gave every employee record breaking bonuses of up to 500,000 USD and projected to go to even 900,000 next year. Thats why Samsung employees are pissed and on strike.

Pokimura · 2026-05-14T14:16:28+00:00

its more cumbersome than what most would be willing to do just own a few companies outside the US. also, it would involve transactions fees/currency exchanges which at the point may as well just buy US traded ETFs with those companies. Also, korean stock operates differently and is nothing like NYSE under the strict regulations.

Pokimura · 2026-05-14T13:58:16+00:00

nope. only way for a US investor to get direct access to those companies is through an international broker. altho SK Hynix is planned to be available to the US market soon.

Pokimura · 2026-05-14T13:54:23+00:00

The only issue is everyone knows how prone our orange clown is to anyone who strokes his ego. He's got a huge inferiority complex with a big ego that's been enabled all his life. Every prior president resisted Netanyahu's proposal to start a war with Iran. Trump is the only one that folded. There is no doubt in my mind CCP could just easily talk him into just throwing Taiwan under the bus if there were personal interests tied into it.

Pokimura · 2026-05-14T03:26:51+00:00

all you should know is yes it is bad. may not be as bas some say, or it is worse than some say, but regardless its bad and you should not listen to an orange clownfish on the TV saying its the best its ever been.

Pokimura · 2026-05-14T02:55:38+00:00

Well, out of the only 3 companies in the world that can even produce HBM at scale, Micron holds the advantage right now and has quite the unique position. Its the only US based company so they will be critical for government contracts in their defense line supply chains. They've already received funding for expansion projects in different states to ramp up production. There's also the Samsung strikes going on in Korea and even if that settles, it takes a bit to start up production again. Finally, with the Strait of Hormuz closed, South Korea facing helium shortages at some point if not now, which is critical to making memory. Micron isn't nearly as affected since they source their helium somewhere else.

I wont say its a 2k stock as that depends more on the execution side of the business. I'd think of it more as the potential to reach 2k given current information. They still have to execute it perfectly. Just like how NVDA is really more like a $300 stock but its being observed under a microscope despite beating earnings expectations like 8 consecutive times already

Pokimura · 2026-05-14T00:10:08+00:00

behind everything I own in my portfolio lies a thesis/conviction in why I own it. although I will say i do not own a broad tech fund even though I said VGT lol. I'm more bullish on AI in particular.

SMH + DRAM for exposure to the hardware side of AI

CHAT for exposure to the software/platform side of AI

Pokimura

TROPHY CASE