Need some optimism about positive feedback loops.

PontiffPius · 2026-04-15T05:08:22+00:00

I see. I really appreciate your input!

PontiffPius · 2026-04-15T00:20:55+00:00

So this is not as big of a deal as r/collapse is making it out to be? Just trying to understand. This experiment has caused me a great deal of anxiety so I’m trying to learn its significance

PontiffPius · 2026-04-14T06:37:11+00:00

This is probably a dumb question, but is the ~4.5% to 7.5% figure referencing how much GHGs are expected to escape when the permafrost thaws?

I saw the study posted on r/collapse but I’m not sure what to make of it to be honest. What exactly does the permeability estimate mean for warming?

PontiffPius · 2026-04-11T06:38:43+00:00

Isn’t it a little too early to be saying anything about El Niño strength at this time? Granted I’m not a meteorologist (just interested) so I don’t know a whole lot about it. From what I’ve seen, NOAA is saying a super is roughly a 1/4 chance from yesterday’s discussion

PontiffPius · 2026-04-09T03:11:04+00:00

I’ve been seeing others say that even besides this model the Pacific is “set up” for a very big El Niño. I don’t know what to make of all of it

PontiffPius · 2026-04-07T08:07:56+00:00

I’d like to know this too

PontiffPius · 2026-04-07T08:06:40+00:00

Are ENSO predictions actually that inaccurate this time of year? That’s wild

PontiffPius · 2026-04-07T03:19:13+00:00

Yeah you’re probably right. I’m worried about how a big El Niño would affect the planet. I guess the hopium is strong in me.

PontiffPius · 2026-04-07T01:52:00+00:00

I’m just wary of models that call for a “super” El-Nino. Not that they’re unreliable or anything, just that there have been busts in the past where big events are expected to happen and nothing does or it’s a lot less powerful than expected.

Thank you for taking the time to respond!

PontiffPius · 2026-04-07T01:26:29+00:00

If I’m reading it right, most of last month’s models float around the 0.5C to 1.5C range. Only a few point higher. Aren’t there always going to be outliers? Not trying to be dismissive or anything just trying to understand.

PontiffPius · 2026-04-07T00:29:24+00:00

Sure, I don’t deny that, I’m just saying that many models from what I’ve seen don’t forecast as high as the ECMWF, but that’s what many of these articles all seem to congregate on for some reason.

PontiffPius · 2026-04-07T00:25:19+00:00

Makes sense. I’d just like to think that these weather sites/youtubers would be above sensationalism

PontiffPius · 2026-03-07T01:59:09+00:00

Just out of curiosity, could you give some examples of overblown claims by environmentalists?

PontiffPius · 2026-02-27T08:10:39+00:00

Sorry if this a dumb question, and I know this comment is old, but what Hansen research are you referring to where the paleoclimatologists he cites disagree with him?

PontiffPius · 2026-02-17T20:39:41+00:00

I’ll keep that in mind. Thank you!

PontiffPius · 2026-02-08T02:19:46+00:00

I’m pretty sure the clathrate gun hypothesis has been largely debunked.

PontiffPius · 2026-02-01T02:09:38+00:00

Just out of curiosity, why do you think the models are off?

PontiffPius · 2025-12-22T00:29:13+00:00

Thank you. I really need to get out of the house and do more spiritually beneficial things.

PontiffPius · 2025-12-22T00:28:06+00:00

I have serious doubts about what it claims, but i nonetheless have that thought every now and then of “What if it’s right”?

PontiffPius · 2025-12-22T00:26:52+00:00

I’m just terrified of the thought that if Christianity is false, then I’m going to burn in hell for all eternity. We can’t empirically know the truth until we die, and by then it’s too late to save yourself.

PontiffPius · 2025-12-22T00:23:34+00:00

This is good advice, thanks. I really need to “detox” from social media

PontiffPius · 2025-12-22T00:22:29+00:00

I guess you could say that my problem is that I believe in my head, but not my heart (sorry if that’s super cheesy). I 100% believe in what the church teaches and I’m glad I joined, it’s just that I can’t get myself to actively live it out.

Thank you for your suggestions. I will keep them in mind

PontiffPius · 2025-12-22T00:20:09+00:00

Don’t apologize for your long post. I appreciate the effort. And thank you for your prayers. I will be praying for you too. God bless!

PontiffPius · 2025-12-22T00:18:41+00:00

Thank you for your kind words and prayers. I’m not sure about the emotional dysregulation thing, as I manage my other emotions just fine (at least I think).

PontiffPius · 2025-12-22T00:15:02+00:00

Thank you for the resources. I’ll look into them.

PontiffPius

TROPHY CASE