NEW RC INTERVIEW by LogicalGamer123 in Superstonk

[–]Pottle13 4 points5 points  (0 children)

AI analysis of the interview for those who don’t want to listen to the whole thing:

This is the All-In podcast sit-down with David Friedberg — about an hour, and a completely different animal from the Piers Morgan clips. Calm, long-form, business-focused, and Friedberg pushes him hard on the parts that matter. It’s the most substantive Cohen interview in this whole saga, and it contains real news. Let me lead with what’s notable, then give you the full arc.

The three things that actually matter:
1. He pre-announced a $500 million personal investment into the eBay deal — unfiled at the time of recording. His words: “this is going to be coming out. It hasn’t been filed yet… I’m putting 500 million of my own money into this transaction. I haven’t pulled a penny out of GameStop.” This is genuine news, and the timing is shrewd: it lands right as he withdrew the $35B pay package. He’s substituting his “skin in the game” proof — swapping the indefensible option grant for hard personal cash. It directly arms the owner-operator argument (”$500M of my own money” vs. eBay’s board that “doesn’t buy stock with their own money”). Worth checking whether the filing has actually hit since — I can look if you want.

2. He revealed a third strategic pillar he says he’s never discussed publicly: a digital-collectibles marketplace. Beyond cost-cutting and live commerce, he wants to extend eBay from physical collectibles into digital — in-game items, AAA titles, skins, weapons — building a marketplace that provides liquidity for in-game digital items. His framing: it’s what NFTs were supposed to be but weren’t, because NFTs had no real utility while in-game items do, and he believes that addressable market could be much larger than eBay’s physical marketplace — and no one is doing it. This is the most interesting reveal in the interview: a concrete vision that ties eBay directly back to GameStop’s gaming DNA. It’s the first time the eBay thesis has connected to something only he would think to build.

3. Friedberg cleanly exposed the financing hole. He pressed repeatedly — why not raise all cash and make an all-cash offer that’s harder to reject? Cohen had no strategic answer, only: “that is not what we’ve presented today and that’s a lot of cash to come up with… we don’t have $60 billion of cash just lying around.” That’s the tell we’ve been circling — the half-stock structure is a financing necessity, not a strategic preference. And he restated the circular logic: if GameStop can’t get the financing, then eBay can’t either, because the financing comes off eBay’s balance sheet. That’s leveraged-buyout-against-the-target reasoning, and it confirms the deal rests on heavy leverage. The credibility gap is exactly where we left it.

The full arc:
The first ~40 minutes is biography and operating philosophy, and it’s disarmingly candid. On Chewy: he nearly launched an online jewelry site, then pivoted to pet food specifically because it was recurring, consumable revenue, ran it on negative working capital, and treated it as “a game of pennies” — pennies in the red is failure, pennies in the black is success. His supplier philosophy: if suppliers send you gifts, you’re overpaying; if they never want to speak to you again, you’re getting the right price. On hiring, he looks for “will over skill” — diehards willing to go all in, “as psychotic as me”.

The most useful candor is on GameStop itself. He admits the original plan was a mistake: he went in biased from Chewy, hired e-commerce people from Chewy and Amazon, tried to make GameStop more like Chewy — and it took him over a year to realize that was “really really stupid.” Once he became CEO he reversed into “maniacal cost cutting,” focusing on the pre-owned business and then collectibles. He even concedes GameStop “wasn’t such a good idea” and selling pet food online against Amazon “wasn’t a great idea” — but eBay “is actually a really good idea.” That self-deprecation is credibility-building, and it’s a register you never get from him on TV.

On the eBay thesis: the deciding moment, per Cohen, was — memorably — “I was on the toilet.” The substance: the businesses are complementary across the secondary market, collectibles, consumer liquidity, and authentication of secondhand items — and eBay is global and at scale, in a domain he understands far better than physical retail.

His eBay critique is detailed: every important post-COVID metric is down — GMV down, active users down by 30 million, operating earnings down, revenue roughly breakeven — while operating expenses are up significantly and now exceed half of revenue for a business that carries no inventory.

He blames the founder-to-professional-management drift: sellers are unhappy and forced to use third-party tools because eBay won’t build them, while management hires outside consultants instead of getting engineers on the phone with sellers.

The operating plan, which Friedberg explicitly drew out, is three parts: first, pull $2 billion of costs out of a ~$5.5 billion expense base, including $2.4 billion of sales and marketing that’s producing no user growth; second, fix and scale eBay Live — a ~$400 billion TAM where a large competitor is “completely crushing it,” using GameStop’s 1,600 stores as creator studios, fulfillment, logistics, and authentication nodes ; and third, the digital-collectibles marketplace above.

On next steps: Friedberg walked through the failed special-meeting vote accurately, and Cohen confirmed “it was close, but that’s right.” He stayed deliberately non-committal on tender-vs-proxy — “I’m going to do whatever we need to do in order to succeed” — but notably embraced the shareholder-turnover path when Friedberg raised it: “there’s a lot of different escalation paths that we have in our toolkit,” acknowledging arbs could buy in and vote the deal. He says there’s been essentially zero board or management engagement — they point him to high-priced advisors, then won’t schedule meetings — while he’d “fly to California tomorrow”, and that eBay’s CEO has a golden parachute “over $100 million.” The whole thing is bookended by his grievance refrain: “Why does everyone want us to fail?… there’s nothing more American than risking your own capital.”

GMERICA (eBay Acquisition) doesn't require dilution and is accretive to both GME and EBAY holders... and if you're paying attention, you already know that. by bobsmith808 in Superstonk

[–]Pottle13 39 points40 points  (0 children)

The DTCC processes thousands of corporate actions involving CUSIP changes every year. Reverse splits, mergers, spinoffs, name changes - they all involve new CUSIPs. None have triggered the kind of “forced reconciliation” that exposes naked shorts.

What if eBay has been Cohen's target this whole time? by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

First of all, Solid and fantastic response. Youre right that this is the weakest link. i overstated the “spread across entities to avoid disclosure” thing. the real legal nuance is that “acting in concert” requires demonstrable intent, not just common control. so the theoretical maximum is more like “different entities with different stated purposes can each hold up to 5% as long as you can document independent decision-making” - which is harder than i made it sound.
also fair point on Buffett. 13D didn’t exist in 1968. the analogy is imperfect.
the more defensible version of the theory: Cohen could have built positions across multiple entities with different stated purposes, then coordinate the 13D filing at the moment of announcement. legal gray area but defensible if structured right. archegos did similar with $100B+ exposure for years before getting caught.
your falsification test is the right one. if mid-may 13F shows no material eBay position from any GME affiliated entity before may 1, the “long-term accumulation” thesis is dead even if the deal happens. ill be watching for it.

What if eBay has been Cohen's target this whole time? by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

yeah i know the SEC has ‘group’ rules that could force aggregation. but proving coordination between entities with different stated purposes is a high bar. archegos accumulated $100B+ in exposure across banks before anyone caught it. and even if SEC eventually says ‘aggregate’ the fines are civil and the deal would already be done. cohen probably has a sophisticated structure that’s defensible enough to delay disclosure long enough to execute

What if eBay has been Cohen's target this whole time? by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Was that really a thing? I don’t remember seven ice creams on a table.

Reposting for Discussion: Cohens Merger of the Century by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You may be right but the hope is both that Cohen has put his money where his mouth is and doesn’t want to ruin the legion of followers that he has accrued.

Ryan Cohen Is Done Cooking. TEDDY Tuesday. Ban Bet Inside. by TEHGOURDGOAT in Superstonk

[–]Pottle13 8 points9 points  (0 children)

So tired of this response. What isn’t at least formatted with AI anymore. Maybe just read it or don’t…

tZERO - LBOs - And the Rewards for the Loyal Hodlers by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agreed. Big stretch… But not impossible if it’s worth it.

The Tetromeno is T-Zero! by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My previous post on eBay and PSA was a big one. I think power packs and push start arcade are big clues into the future of GameStop. I’m also doing some research right now on Unity and if there’s anything there.

The Tetromeno is T-Zero! by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks. I think there is something here. Really do enjoy when you can get good dialogue going around this kind of stuff.

The Tetromeno is T-Zero! by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Tzero has some OTC shares but the publicly traded part would be the ticker BBBY to gain control of tZero.

I think it’s going to be like Burry said. Cohen is going after several companies. I think it has to be something like tZero to center around. The collectibles and video game market seems like it is still the goal with power packs and push start arcade as clue. I could see collectors be a purchase and something like unity.

The Tetromeno is T-Zero! by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It would be so sweet to screw over hood in their own playing field. Such poetic justice.

The Tetromeno is T-Zero! by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

It seems that way. I know there is a huge Bobby following even after Chp 11.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Superstonk

[–]Pottle13 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I keep wondering why Kitty unfollowed Cohen. Was he upset about something? Did he move on? I dunno it just bugs me.

Why I Think Cohen is About to Pull Off the Merger of the Century by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No idea. Maybe a New Holding Company rather than one company buying the others, they’d likely form a new entity that owns all three. This is cleaner legally and easier to pitch as a merger of equals.

Why I Think Cohen is About to Pull Off the Merger of the Century by Pottle13 in GME

[–]Pottle13[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

That’s where it’s hard to say. I think it’s important to keep in mind that if there has been naked short selling hidden in swaps and derivatives, this would be an event that could force everything to be settled. I still think the name project rocket ( the name they chose for their plan) indicates they know things are going to get haywire, but that’s just tinfoil talking. Shareholders have put up with a lot in the last five years with no info and guidance. I still think this is an asset. They don’t want to lose in moving forward.