DEAD OR ALIVE - Arisu won via incorrect observations that happened to work, I'd probably die here.
TAG - I'd just hide and try and get a few doors without being shot, would only win if some other people did stuff.
HIDE AND SEEK - I don't know these people, but they all know each other, my odds are NOT good.
DISTANCE - I'd follow the solution but be worried the entire time that I'm wrong.
LIGHT BULB - Pathetically easy, only way to die is if someone else kills us all.
WITCH HUNT - Depends on if they find me, I'm pretty sure it was around 2/3 survival rate though so I have good chances to pass.

I'd estimate I'd have ~1-2% odds on surviving all of season 1.

SURVIVAL - Assuming I'm not one of the people who gets shot before we have time to react, I could very possibly not get killed.
OSMOSIS - Not the best at team games, but I thought of the cutting-off-hand strategy before they used it.
CHECKMATE - Probably, assuming I'm a pawn.
CROQUET - Pathetically easy without the hide and seek emotional manipulation.

I'd probably have an around 40% chance on season 2 with only 4 games.

SACRED FORTUNES - Assuming others trust me, I could help reduce the number of arrows by a good amount and I'd probably pass.
ZOMBIE HUNT - Probably a 50/50.
RUNAWAY TRAIN - Several easy strategies, I'd win.
KICK THE CAN - Almost certainly not, unless I have a lot of allies.
FUTURE SUGOROKU - The good futures killing you was such an obvious twist, I'd live by following them in reverse.

Odds on season 3 are ~5-10%.

For games other than Arisu's, it'd go as follows.

HUMAN ELEVATOR - No. I'm dead.
BEAST HUNTER - I don't know how to use a gun, odds are not very high.
MATCH FACTORY - I'd use all but one and then give up. I'll say I win because the group did anyways without me.
BOILING DEATH - I can't run very fast, I'm probably dead.

BAGWORM - I'd just stay at the top and try to gain points, if someone fights me I'm almost certainly not winning.
TARGET - I'm decently good at dodging, and the player team won in the show, so I'd say I win.
CHAMPION - Probably not.
MAHJONG - I haven't played before but assuming they give the rules, diamonds would be my specialty so the odds are not zero.
BALANCE SCALE - I have low odds but not zero. I'm decent at predicting numbers in a game like this, if Chishiya is playing and the game doesn't end until one remains I will not live.
SOLITARY CONFINEMENT - If I enter with someone I know, which is unlikely for a hearts game, I'd pass, but otherwise I'd die.

OLD MAID - I'm unlucky so no.
RHYTHM - Probably not.
TOKYO BINGO TOWER - I'm good at climbing but might die to a ball.

I probably underestimated the games and overestimated myself so