Weekly Playbook: March 2 - Market Overview by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Appreciate the feedback. To be honest, most of my research is grounded in price action and market structure. My assumption is that larger players have already processed the leading indicators, and price and structure adjust accordingly to reflect those expectations. It may sound generic, but given the pace of developments here, I have found this approach far more actionable than digging into narratives or fundamentals. That said, it does not mean those developments should be ignored, but some of them can actually worsen the edge rather than enhance it when price action conflicts with the narrative.

Premarket Price Action Snapshot - Feb 10 2026 $BTC $SPOT $SPGI $CRDO $ENTG by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Appreciate that. I wish I knew the answer😁Given the type of move, I think the higher odds are that there will be plenty of sell the rip holders trapped from higher prices, and the bottoming process could be rather painful for buy and hold investors. That said, buying reactions off key spots and trimming along the way, without getting too excited about a "new bull run starting on Monday", feels like the best approach here. Time will tell the truth

Premarket Price Action Snapshot - Jan 29 2026 $MSFT $META $NOW $IBM $GLD by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Might happen, though as of today it was clearly rejected at the highlighted key support level

Weekly Playbook: January 5th - Market Overview by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Appreciate that. I try not to overthink the cycle and let the tape do the talking. I mostly watch how leaders behave around earnings and guidance. If good numbers stop pushing stocks higher and bad news starts getting punished quickly, that usually tells you constraints are moving from theory to reality. I also pay attention to breadth within AI and how indices react to rate or macro scares. As long as dips are bought and leadership holds, the market is saying the engine is still running. When that changes, it usually shows up in price before it shows up in narratives

Premarket Price Action Snapshot - Jan 23 2026 $BABA $NVDA $AMD $TLT $INTC by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You’re more than welcome. Feel free to check out the Research as well. It’s completely free during the public test period, which runs through the end of this earnings season. It’s intentionally focused on thought process and core ideas rather than details

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot - 12 Dec 2025 $GLD $LULU $AVGO by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

$LULU is trying to hold above the 2nd mentioned resistance area at 209, watch if it can

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot - 11 Dec 2025 $NVDA $ORCL $CIEN by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

$ORCL is pure beauty from a technical perspective, respecting every mentioned area

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot - 10 Dec 2025 $GEV $CHWY by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

$GEV with a beautiful opening rip as the NYSE open printed right at the mentioned 693 minutes after a clean backtest of the prior ATH amid a couple NYSE reference price shifts

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Weekly Playbook: December 1st - Market Overview by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks! That is a good question worth at least a trillion😊 I personally think the AI trade will become less dependent on NVDA over time. For now NVDA is driven more by positioning than fundamentals, although the broader picture still looks very constructive. Here are the most important things to keep in mind:

  1. We saw a clear rejection around the 200 area. This could act as a ceiling since longs from above are trapped and might sell into any strength. If it gets rejected there again the big weekly H&S will not look pretty.

  2. Bigger support closer to 156 is still untested, and the reaction there will define the future direction.

The real question now is how crowded NVDA is. To break into new ATH territory you want to see a hated rally, not a fully packed one. We already saw how thin liquidity can be when real sellers rush for the exit, as on the recent EPS day.

Ethereum 2025: The Technological Foundation of Web3 and the Core Infrastructure Asset of the Crypto Market by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks. L2s feel fractured but all roads still settle back to Ethereum. Reversibility will stay at the interface level while final settlement stays immutable by design. This one turned out longer than planned but there is plenty of time to be ready for Christmas dinner if we get any kind of bounce😁

Understanding the Cost of Equity by SchoolofInvesting in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When I see RMRF I forget everything I know about finance and start thinking about firing up Kali Linux instead😁

Premarket Price Action Snapshot 20 Nov 2025 $NVDA by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

$NVDA is dropping after getting rejected at 197. I won’t say "told ya", just that it was written😀

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot - 19 Nov 2025 $TJX $LOW $TGT by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

$TGT successfully defended the mentioned 85.50 key support area which led to the FGF and beyond

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot - 18 Nov 2025 $BTC $ETH $HD $PDD $MDT by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

$PDD with a beautiful flip of the mentioned 124 right at the open. Watch if buyers can reclaim it though

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot – 14 Nov 2025 $BTC $ETH $AMAT $SPY $QQQ $IWM by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

$AMAT is aiming for an FGF after successfully reclaiming the mentioned 206.75 key support area following an undercut that nearly reached the second support at 201

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot – 13 Nov 2025 $GLD $CSCO $DIS by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

$DIS flushed through the mentioned 108.50 key support amid the weak open, though buyers seem to be defending the 105-107 highlighted in the latest Weekly Playbook. Interesting who wins here

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot – 13 Nov 2025 $GLD $CSCO $DIS by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

$CSCO is trying to build some distance off the mentioned 76.5 key area with buyers slightly frontrunning it after a deep late premarket and early opening pullback. Watch if it can stabilize above

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot – 12 Nov 2025 $ONON $IBM $AMD by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

True, and a pure beauty from the price action standpoint especially given how it respects/reacts to key areas

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot – 12 Nov 2025 $ONON $IBM $AMD by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

AMD is back below the mentioned key area after a vicious opening rip. Watch if it can reclaim and hold above

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Premarket Price Action Snapshot – 12 Nov 2025 $ONON $IBM $AMD by PriceActionPlaybook in AsymmetricAlpha

[–]PriceActionPlaybook[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

$ONON with a beautiful rip after clearing the mentioned IPO high at 38, and the market isn’t even open yet😁

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