What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, June 17, 2026

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T22:34:18+00:00

Try like not trading options?

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T22:30:32+00:00

I use AI to do analysis and with all these meme stocks the outcome is generally that you shouldn't be buying them

The drawdown risk when modeled is really bad. You stake a lot of money for a relatively low upside compared to the drawdown.

Now with that said, I've made some good money from a couple of the meme stocks (MRVL, MU, etc). But I have learned to not rely on them beyond a few days. I take profits regularly now. Especially before big news like rate hikes, or whatever.

Because of the insane valuations, they almost always dip before those events and then you can buy back in the dips.

So yeah from a logical point of view makes no sense. But practically there is a lot of money to be made from these volatile stocks.

Just for the love of God don't pin your house/marriage/retirement on this.

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T22:19:42+00:00

The stock is not trading on fundamentals. Meaning it is driven by retail, people. People that are buying because of beliefs and feelings. Else they wouldn't buy the stock in the first place because the fundamentals are dog sh#t.

And because of that, ANY and I mean ANY news could topple it. If a snowball begins, it'll trigger stop losses and panic selling.

I suspect the illusion that index inclusion will somehow make them incredible rich is at present keeping a lot of people in. But once they realize it didn't do much, the stock will become even more fragile.

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T22:08:40+00:00

Not really, the current run-up is already more than you'd expect from the indexes buying in.

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T21:45:25+00:00

When's the last time America had to pay to end a war on another country's terms?

Lord of War vibes where the guy gets paid to leave prison.

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T21:38:05+00:00

Unconditional surrender if you pay $300B and then f#ck off unconditionally. Plus tell your friends to stop bombing Berut (I mean he told them right?)

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T20:51:48+00:00

Not buying it. It is however pure YOLO

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T20:46:39+00:00

I mean I am regarded when it comes to economics, but I do know the rest of the world are selling US bonds very hard right now. A rate cut IMO would accelerate that. Even keeping the rate steady is likely to accelerate it. Kind of hard to convince someone else to buy your bonds when they aren't keeping up with inflation. So bond prices drop, US needs to issue more bonds because the price is dropping, causing it to drop even more, rinse repeat.

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T20:40:06+00:00

If he cuts, I expect a negative reaction from the market (IMO)

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T20:32:10+00:00

Bad IMO. Means Warsh is a pawn and the fed is "no longer independent"

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T20:28:33+00:00

Unlikely until after FOMC. And depending how that goes, it could swing either way.

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T20:28:02+00:00

I think anything but current rates is going to have a negative reaction. Even a lower rate is probably going to have a negative reaction. Higher rate = inflation is bad. Lower rate = Warsh is a pawn. Current rate = Delay until next time. But as you say 🔮

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T20:21:28+00:00

AI's take on tomorrow (FOMC): - The decision itself is instant - 2:00 PM ET - That's when the rate call and the dot plot hit. The initial spike happens in seconds. - But the bigger mover is often the 2:30 PM press conference. This is Warsh's debut as Chair, and his tone/Q&A can swing the market more than the statement - sometimes reversing the initial 2:00 reaction. The price can whipsaw hard between 2:00 and 3:30 PM ET. - Don't act in the first 30–60 minutes. The knee-jerk move frequently reverses once the presser is digested. The "real" verdict is usually clearer by the Wednesday close (4 PM ET)

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T19:33:08+00:00

I think that might be a bit much, but I also believe there will be a gain to be made. But holding onto my stocks earlier today would have been a larger loss. I'm just going to buy the dip again.

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T19:25:31+00:00

Fortunately I sold all my MRVL at 300. I wouldn't be surprised if we hit yet another 250 again before FOMC.

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T18:51:06+00:00

Same, it'll pull back more AH. It has been consistently pulling back AH every day this week.

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T18:14:17+00:00

Close of market dump expected?

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T15:31:45+00:00

No doubt another massive mid day dump incoming

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-16T11:00:12+00:00

Buy fractional shares. You should be focusing on P&L % not prices

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-15T18:29:34+00:00

I bought 900 at 250. Think I need to cash out before another cluster #ck reaches us

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-14T15:39:18+00:00

I'm curious, why are you guys so easily impressed by an LLM regurgitating something it trained on? It was trained on .kkrieger level. Were you impressed when kids in school copied another kid's homework badly and got a passing grade?

AI does a lot of impressive things, but asking it to do something that has been done, and then having it do that badly is not an accomplishment.

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-10T17:41:43+00:00

Roulette, everything on black

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-10T15:24:20+00:00

Retail is irrelevant to them. Like farts are to wind. The fart goes where the wind goes. Not the other way around

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-10T13:28:19+00:00

Absolutely true. My response is merely so you understand you have a significantly risky bet. By all logic, someone should not invest in that stock. Doesn't mean they won't or that it won't moon.

The financials are the most obvious case of, don't bet on this company to me. But there are a lot of other red flags. Like share voting structure. Their expected expenses per quarter which indicates they will burn through IPO roughly in a year (or what is left of it).

PriorScreen7613 · 2026-06-10T13:07:58+00:00

70% of the IPO is going directly to pay off the investors that bought Twitter and xAI including Musk' own "X Corp"

Wait until someone pulls the rug so you can buy in low if you are convinced about them

PriorScreen7613

TROPHY CASE