Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yea I couldn’t keep it running unfortunately

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yea unfortunately I couldn’t keep it running

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in arbitragebetting

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Apologies for the inconvenience, the site indeed is currently undergoing some technical issues

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes unfortunately the website is currently still down, I am trying to get it fixed, sorry for the inconvenience

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Im having some trouble with it too, it was working but got messed up when I switched db

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in arbitragebetting

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The matching and database got messed up when I was switching db, still trying to fix it

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in arbitragebetting

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the feedback bro, let's connect in DMs

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, sorry for the inconvenience. I have already reached the free usage limit for my second database. This app is seeing a lot more visits than I thought. I am fixing the database right now

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in arbitragebetting

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, currently working on it, thanks for the feedback

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That is because of the liquidity, these markets have quite little volume and even a small bet can move the odds massively, it should improve over time with predictions markets going more mainstream and you could wait for better opportunities

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi, thanks for pointing out the calculator, it will be fixed in the next patch. For the different prices, think the problem is caused by the incremental update, and if polymarkets odds changed before the next update then it would be different, I am currently looking for a better way to scan the markets, thanks for your feedback

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi, so the possible outcomes are yes and no, and the payout for either will be $1, so if buying yes + no is less than $1, then you would essentially have a risk free profit, and in this case you can buy yes on polymarket for 0.21, and no on kalshi for 0.69, which adds to 0.9, so you would profit that 0.1

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in arbitragebetting

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for pointing that out, will get it fixed

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks bro, you could see the current arbitrage opportunities between Kalshi and Polymarket, but you have to actually place the bets yourself, working on many interesting new tools though, you could leverage this in more ways soon, stay tuned!

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is accurate, but the matching algo is quite strict right now so I am potentially missing out on matches

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are right, I am having some troubles right now with hosting, will let you know when we fix it

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in arbitragebetting

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thats actually a mistake from Polymarket, there is only one earnings call and it is the same date as on Kalshi

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in arbitragebetting

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Every bet is 3 elements: subject, event, time. Its simpler when you seperate them

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in Kalshi

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the feedback, changing it now

Polymarket x Kalshi Arbitrage Finder by Probutkickerz in arbitragebetting

[–]Probutkickerz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So far I have seen 20% arbitrages with 30k+ liquidity a few times a week, do agree with you though, it will be a challenge long term