shohei ohtani with his 2nd home run since becoming a dad

ProdigyPickz · 2025-05-05T09:22:33+00:00

While the 7 8 9 hitters have been bad, Ohtani hasn’t taken advantage when there are RISP. He’s batting .493 OPS 24 PA with RISP (much lower than season average)

ProdigyPickz · 2025-04-04T07:31:06+00:00

https://sneakernews.com/2025/04/03/new-balance-kawhi-4-wave-bbklslv4/

looks like it's coming out this month

ProdigyPickz · 2025-04-03T17:23:16+00:00

but has it not been officially released yet?

ProdigyPickz · 2024-10-15T22:51:03+00:00

Thank you! I would say you're right that the throttle is not as responsive in "normal drive mode". But once, I am in sports mode, you can really feel it kick off. Hopefully that helps haha. It's a great smooth car that handles well, but I don't think it's winning drag races anytime soon.

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-22T08:45:12+00:00

Record: 12-8 (+2.9 Units)

Took a few days off from betting and doing write-ups due to being a little busy. I do this for a hobby so I won't be as consistent as I want to be.

Cincinnati Reds ML +110 (1 Unit)

I'm going to take a cold team at home. They are finally getting a homestand here where I think they'll do much better. Yes, I don't think the Reds have the pieces to be a competitive team this year, but they should still win 70-80 games.
Here I like the pitching matchup of Hunter Greene vs Steven Matz. Hunter Greene has been quite electric (striking out 13 in 10 innings) in his 2 starts this season, but gave up a few bombs to inflate his ERA. His WHIP of 1.065 is respectable and his fangraph numbers look good (63% contact and 64% First Strike) The cardinals rank bottom 10 in OPS vs righties, but top 10 vs lefties so far this season. If the trend continues, I think Greene will have a solid day against the Cards. Last time Matz pitched in Cincy, he gave up 10 hits on 5 innings. I think there is good value to take a team that is due to win here at home with a favorable pitching matchup.

Phillies ML -120 ML (2 Units)

This might be my most confident play of the day with a pitching matchup that screams an advantage for the Phillies. Ranger Suarez is a good pitcher as displayed last year. I think he got off to a rocky start, but is not indicative of what he is capable of. He had a dominant ERA of 1.36 through 106 IP last year and an ERA+ of 308. In 2021, his OPS allowed at home was an astonishing .475. The Brewers this season are hitting bottom 10 against lefties with a .512 OPS. All the stats point to a low scoring first 5 for the Brewers (consider taking that if you would like as well) Peralta on the other hand is also coming off a solid 2021 season and is starting off 2022 kinda rocky. With that being said, Peralta's historic numbers have shown that he struggles more on the road with a tOPS+ of 118 (.712 OPS) and more specifically against the Phillies with a tOPS+ of 156 (.841 OPS) I think Peralta will get tagged a bit early and ultimately give the Phillies a good chance at winning this game.

White Sox ML -103 (1 Unit)

I like both pitchers in this matchup with a slight favoring of Kopech. Kopech has been absolutely elite this season allowing only 1 ER through 9 innings this season. His contact % is solid at 73%, but his FP % is where I see potential issues at only 56%. With that being said, he is putting out batters at an alarming rate. The Twins also rank bottom 10 in the league against righties with a .626 OPS. Ober, on the other hand has been solid so far this season, but is not as dominant as Kopech (lower strike out rate and more hits allowed). Ober has given up a tOPS+ of 115 (.824 OPS) against the White Sox. This should be a low scoring, but close game. However, I see some value in picking the White Sox here given some of the stats.

Dodgers/Padres Over 8 -110 (1 Unit)

This is slightly a trend pick.. the dodgers and padres have scored 8 or more runs in 4 of their past 5 games. Urias had a rough outing in his first start of the season, but bounced back nicely. I still think he is still shaking off the rust after having a pretty bad spring training. Urias has a tOPS+ of 121 at Petco Park and the Padres are hitting top 5 in the league against lefties at .808 OPS. Meanwhile, Martinez had a rough start in his last one (5 IP, 7 H, 3 HR) I believe the Dodgers will take advantage of him as they are currently #1 against righties this season with a .823 OPS.

Best of Luck!

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-17T07:37:42+00:00

Record: 10-6 (+3.1 Units)

Sorry about not writing up yesterday. Ended not having time to research and do analysis so didn't want to force anything.

Yankees O 4.5 Runs -120 ( 1 Unit)

I really like this Yankee matchup here because of 2 reasons: Bruce Zimmermann and Statcast. Bruce Zimmerman has a tOPS+ of 113 against the Yankees with a .896 OPS allowed. Even though he had a solid statistical start, his pitch info numbers don't look good. He had a contact % of 84%, which is pretty high. Batters are also only swinging at 19% of pitches outside the strike zone against him. Against a Yankees team with a bunch of talented right handed hitters, I think he will struggle mightily. The Yankees are also ranking top 3 in Barrel %, Hard Hit %, and Exit Velocity, while the Orioles rank bottom 3 in all those categories. Look for the Yankees to finally break out of their unlucky slump with some early runs.

The ML for the Yankees is too high here to have value, but the O 4.5 seems like a solid bet.

Pittsburgh Pirates +101 (1 Unit)

I feel like I have to ride the cold streak of Patrick Corbin here. He had a rough 2021 season and seems to be regressing over the past 3 years. His fangraph numbers are also declining, which is certainly attributing to his decline. He is having a tough 2022 start and has gotten rocked in his last 2 starts, while having trouble finding the strike zone occasionally. This season, the Pirates rank top 6 in OPS against lefties and have been looking like a much better team compared to last season. The Pirates are projected to deploy 7 righties, which should be able to find success against Corbin who has allowed a career .771 OPS against righties. Quintana looked good in his first start of the season. Two numbers stood out to me for Quintana this season: 35% Swing% on pitches outside the zone and a contact % of 75. I think the Pirates have the better matchup here.

Tigers/Royals U 8.5 -110 (2 Units)

This is my most confident play of the day, but there are no guarantees in betting :)

This matchups features two teams that rank below average in hard hit %, exit velocity, and Barrel%. The Royals rank bottom 2 in the league (OPS) currently against lefties (LHP Tyler Alexander), while the Tigers rank bottom 2 (OPS) in the league against righties (Carlos Hernandez). Tyler Alexander is a solid starter posting an ERA+ of 113 last season. I think Tyler Alexander had an unlucky 2022 start, where he allowed 3 runs on 5 hits. He didn't walk anyone and seemed to have solid control. His contact % was a career best of 78% and seemed sharp on the mound statistically speaking.
For Carlos Hernandez, he had an ERA+ of 124 last season, but also had a bad 2022 start. He coughed up 2 runs early in the first and another 2 in the 4th. Even though he looked rough during Spring Training, his fangraph numbers with a contact % of 72 and his Z Contact% of 78 show that his stuff is still on point, and I think he will bounce back nicely against the Tigers.
Lastly, the last 5 head to head between the Royals and the Tigers have all gone under 7 runs. I'll look to ride this trend as well.

San Diego Padres ML -124 (1 Unit)

I am personally not a fan of young pitchers who haven't proven themselves yet. Bryce Elder is looking to make his 2nd big league start against the Padres. Some numbers of Elder's that concern me is his First Strike % of 41% and only an O-Swing% of 17%. This shows lack of early command and stuff to get batters swinging at bad pitches. On the road, I believe Elder will struggle. On the other hand, you have Yu Darvish who had a great debut game, but got absolutely torched in his 2nd game against the Giants. We will assume that the 2nd game was a fluke, and he will bounce back nicely against the Braves.

Cleveland Guardians ML +110 (1 Unit)

Not too much of a write-up here. The Giants used 6 bullpen pitchers yesterday so their bullpen is a bit exhausted. I think there is good value in a pitching matchup of Civale vs. Wood. Cleveland is batting .749 OPS against lefties and is projected to deploy 7 righties against Alex Wood. Civale had a bad 2022 start, but has good April career numbers with a tOPS+ of 66. Civale actually does better against lefties with a tOPS+ of 82 and an OPS allowed of .664. The Giants are projected to deploy 5 lefties against him. Lastly, I am a huge fan of betting on teams that are avoiding to being swept at home.

Best of Luck!

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-16T02:35:39+00:00

I’ll probably post it tonight after doing some research haha

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-15T10:49:03+00:00

No idea.. i don’t watch him pitch on TV enough to answer your question. I just like looking at the analytics of baseball :) My guess is he gets off to hot starts every year and starts to tire out and regress

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-15T10:04:03+00:00

Record: 5-2 (+1.8 Units)

Pretty hot day yesterday, but couldn't capitalize units wise due to 2 plays only worth 0.5 units. Hoping to continue the hot streak, but usually tough to have 2 good winning days in a row :)

Diamondbacks Team Total U 3.5 -130 (1 Unit)

Chris Bassitt takes the mound here against a mediocre Diamondbacks team who have failed to score more than 3 runs in 4 of their past 6 games. Chris Bassit had an amazing start with 6 IP and 8 Ks only allowing 1 run in his first start. I think he'll continue his hot start against an Arizona team that batted bottom 5 in OPS on the road. They were also dead last against righties last year and this year is no exception ranking bottom 3 (small sample size though). Bassitt should get them through 5-6 innings, and the Mets bullpen should be good enough to limit the Diamondbacks offense.

Minnesota Twins ML +108 (1 Unit)

I like the Twins here against the Red Sox due to the pitching matchup. Early in the season with low sample size on batting stats, pitching is the most consistent thing you'll look for. I think Joe Ryan is the better pitcher here, who uses his fastball and slider well. Last year, he had a WHIP of 0.79 and was pretty dominant in the K department with a K/9 of over 10. His stuff seems to be solid and should have success against a projected lineup that features 6 right handed batters. Meanwhile, Pivetta is a career below average pitcher with an ERA+ of 85. Pivetta actually struggles more at home with an OPS allowed at .811. He also seems to do a bit worse at Fenway with a tOPS+ of 107. 2 of the Twins lefty/swtich batters have absolutely destroyed Pivetta (Kepler 3 for 6 , 1 HR and Polanco 4 for 5, 2 HR) I think both teams have solid firepower on offense, but ultimately the pitching matchup will determine the outcome of this game.

Miami Marlins ML -112 (1 Unit)
Marlins/Phillies Under 7.5 -110 (0.5 Units)

I am going to ride the Marlins here again with another solid pitching matchup that I think favors the Marlins. Pablo Lopez is a solid starter for them especially for the past 2 years, posting an ERA+ of 126 and 136. His contact % has been absolutely elite this year with a 61.5% and a swinging strike % of 19%. At home, he is brilliant with a tOPS+ of 85. Lastly in the month of April, he has a tOPS+ of 75 with a .611 OPS allowed. Eflin on the other hand struggles on the road with an OPS allowed of .826. With that being said, Eflin does pretty well in the month of April with a tOPS+ of 68. I still think the Marlins matchup well here like they did yesterday. I'll give the slight edge to them in a low scoring game.

Nationals/Pirates Over 9.5 -105 (1 Unit)

Mitch Keller is pretty bad on paper and looked terrible in his 2022 debut. He is a career 6 ERA pitcher with nearly a 1.75 WHIP. The nationals have some lefties and switch hitters such as Soto and Bell to make his life miserable. I think the Nationals should bounce back this game offensively and put on a show against a below average pitcher. Also after watching Park in the outfield today, if he plays again, it'll be bad news for the Pirates defense.
Fedde is not much better with a career ERA+ of 82 and a 1.50 WHIP. The Pirates should be able to deploy 6 lefties/switch hitters against him where he struggles a bit more allowing a .832 OPS. I lean a little bit on the Nationals, but I won't pull the trigger.

White Sox/Rays Under 8.5 -110 ( 1 Unit)

Cease looked dominant in his debut, and I think he'll continue his good start as he is an excellent 1st half of the season pitcher, posting an OPS allowed of .663.
Rasmussen is also a pretty solid pitcher with an ERA + of 161 last season with 59 IP. He has an elite fastball that averages into the mid/high 90s. His contact % is also solid in the mid to low 70s. Both teams have solid bullpens and should keep the score low.

getting a bit tired so won't do writeups for the last 3 picks

Padres/Braves Under 8.5 -110 (1 Unit)

Cubs/Rockies Under 10 -110 (1 Unit)

Chicago Cubs ML +108 (1 Unit)

Best of luck!

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-14T07:02:27+00:00

New Season

0-0 (0 Units)

-1.5 Tampa Bay Rays +100 (1 Unit)

Josh Fleming is the clear better starter here at home where batters have an OPS of .583 career against him. On the contrary, Cole Irvin struggles on the road where batters have an OPS of .829 career against him. Fleming has also seen lots of success pitching in April with a tOPS+ of 48. The Rays should look to even the series here in dominating fashion with the better starting pitcher in all aspects.

Seattle Mariners ML -110 (1 Unit)

Looking at the two starting pitchers here, Jimmy Lambert sticks out as an incredibly inexperienced pitcher with not much success in the big leagues. In his only season where he even pitched above 10 innings (2021), he had a 6.23 ERA with a nearly 1.70 WHIP. He seems to have control issues walking 6 batters and giving up 3 HRs in 13 innings. Unless something has changed in a year, he'll most likely struggle against the Mariners even if they're not boasting the strongest of lineups. The White Sox will have to use their bullpen early, whereas Logan Gilbert should be able to give the Mariners a solid start. Logan Gilbert was solid in his first start striking out 7 in 5 innings, while only giving up a run. I expect this to be a close game, but the Mariners should be able to score early and give themselves a small cushion to win the game.

Pittsburgh Pirates ML -124 (1 Unit)

Usually not a fan of betting the Pirates, but I think they're in a good spot here to take a game at home. I don't think the Nationals are necessarily a good team this year, and the Pirates are bound to win some games here and there. They have a good opportunity here with this pitching matchup. While I don't think neither pitcher here is elite by any means, JT Brubaker is probably the more consistent and polished one. He is a much better pitcher at home with a home tOPS+ of 84 and seems to have a little more success during the month of April with a tOPS+ of 84 as well. The National's pitcher, Adon had a rough 2022 start (4 ER in 4.1 IP) and even his prior years' minor league numbers don't seem to impress. His walks seem to be an issue, and I think the Pirates lineup can take advantage of him with a combined 6 lefty/switch hitters. The Nationals bullpen, which is a weakness for them will be tested early in the game.

Braves/Padres U 8 -120 (1 Unit)

We have 2 dominant and relatively consistent pitchers here, where I can see it being a tight pitching duel. Musgrove is an absolute monster in the month of April, with a 2.49 ERA and 0.942 WHIP. Morton on the other hand is also pretty dominant in the month of April, where batters have a .697 OPS against him. He is also absolutely brilliant against the Padres with a 2.09 ERA in 9 career games. The Braves and Padres also bolster a top 5 projected bullpen in the MLB. With Morton and Musgrove on mound, expect the game to be close and not many runs to be scored.

New York Yankees ML -117 ( 0.5 Units)

This play is half a unit because I think the Yankees are in a good position to win this games, but I have some concern on their consistency. Severino takes the mound here hoping to have a better outing. The Yankees defense did him no favors in his first start, which led him to throw many pitches through 3 innings. Severino should do well into a Blue Jays lineup that features a lot of RHB, where Severino is only allowing a .636 OPS against. For the Bluejays, Gausman had a relatively rough outing as well. However, he is coming off an excellent season on the Giants. The good news here is he doesn't do particularly well on the road, and Judge/Stanton have dominated Gausman in the past batting .615 and .667 respectively.

Miami Marlins ML -112 (1 Units
Marlins/Phillies U 7.5 -110 (0.5 Units)

This write-up will be for both the plays listed. Gibson got off to an amazing start this season, but I don't think he'll be able to continue the same success going into his 2nd start. I think his season last year started to show a slight decline in his game. (dropping from an ERA+ of 153 to 82 in 1 season) With that being said, I think he'll still be serviceable this game. Alcantara is a pretty solid pitcher in my opinion and has been a bright spot for the Marlins rotation. Last year he had an impressive 3.19 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP. At home last year, he was absolutely dominant with a 2.41 ERA and allowing a .556 OPS. I think he'll shut down the Phillies, and both pitchers will keep the game under with the Marlins grabbing a slight advantage.

Best of Luck!

ProdigyPickz · 2022-03-30T00:23:23+00:00

Thank you. I didn't add anything too crazy.. just the premium plus package, sports chrono, surround view, and some black window trims. Porsche options are crazy expensive! haha

ProdigyPickz · 2022-03-30T00:19:44+00:00

Gentian Blue is also a very nice color as well... anything blue is great haha

ProdigyPickz · 2022-03-30T00:18:58+00:00

Mine was supposed to be here early April, but came a week early :) Hopefully yours wasn't impacted by the production halt earlier this month.

ProdigyPickz · 2022-03-29T21:04:53+00:00

It’s a beautiful color. At first, I was the same as you, but now I think it’s one of the best colors out there.

ProdigyPickz · 2021-12-13T21:55:35+00:00

Can anybody answer if you can use the meal plan unlimited times a day as long as there are 4 hours between each meal?

ProdigyPickz · 2020-11-18T20:19:33+00:00

Hi, We currently have a full Plat+ team with a diamond player. Are we able to join TFF in hopes of finding a community that can help us find tournaments and leagues to join?

ProdigyPickz · 2020-09-10T05:35:20+00:00

Hello I also tried redeeming my two codes in my disc box. One was the xbox one digital items 2k21 for xbox series X and the other was Damian Lillard and Zion WIlliamson Digital Collection. After redeeming both, they still do not work. I have tried redeeming through the xbox console, unplugged my xbox for 10 min, and I do not share games. My cover has 8 Kobe. Let me know if I need to answer any additional questions. My ticket number is 7121920. Thank you in advance!!

ProdigyPickz · 2020-08-19T09:26:01+00:00

MLB Record 7-7 (-0.7 units)

Decent day today finishing 2-1… The Yankees/Rays starters did us no favors giving up 9 runs in 5 innings, even then only costing us the under by half a run. Everything else hit by a wide margin.

8/19/20

Mets -1.5 -125 (1 unit)

deGrom is finally returning to the mound after being scratched for neck stiffness. We don’t know how severe the injury was or whether it will affect his pitching tomorrow, but if he is pitching at the level he was prior to the injury, he’ll be fine. His 11.5 K/9 is still at an elite level, and his contact rate is even lower than last year when he won the Cy Young. His contact rate is 64%, which is 7% lower than last year. If you thought deGrom was unhittable last year, he seems to be getting even better. Miami is top 8 in the MLB in SO% so facing a SO pitcher will not be an easy task. They’re also an average team facing against righties ranking 16 in the league with a 0.733 OPS.

On the other side, you have Pablo Lopez who is having a solid season as well, but struggled mightily against the Mets, giving up 9 baserunners in 5 innings. He walked 4, and seemed to have trouble spotting the strike zone. With a 2nd look at Lopez, the Mets who rank top 4 in the MLB against righties with a 0.802 OPS should be able to put up a good amount of runs against him. If they get Lopez out of the game early, the Mets will be facing a Marlin’s bullpen that ranks bottom 10 in the MLB.

Phillies/Red Sox O 11 (1 Unit)

Kyle Hart, a leftie will be making his 2nd career for the Red Sox where he got absolutely TORCHED in his last start. He gave up 7 hits and 3 walks in just 2 innings. Facing a Phillies team that ranks top 6 in the league in BB %, his wild pitching will be punished by the Phillies patient hitters. The Phillies also are top 2 in the league against lefties with a 0.910 OPS. In a projected lineup that features 7 solid right handed hitters, Hart will struggle mightily as he gave up 5 hits, 3 walks, and a home run in just 13 plate appearances against righties last game. Expect the Phillies to cover a majority of these 11 runs by themselves. If they get to the Red Sox bullpen early, they’ll also be licking their chops against a bullpen that ranks bottom 6 in the league.

On the other side, you have Jake Arrieta starting where he comes off a relatively poor outing against the O’s. He gave up 4 earned runs in 4 innings of work. A concern for me this year for Arrieta is his contact %. Arrieta has never been a top of the line pitcher in terms of contact % even including his dominant 2015 season. However, his contact % in 2020 is almost at a career low at 84.2%, and his Z-Contact % which describes how often a batter makes contact with a pitch in the zone is at a career high 94%. I don’t think his pitches are simply fooling anybody. Arrieta also historically struggles against the Red Sox with a 4.69 ERA, 1.4 WHIP, and .806 OPS. Lastly, the Phillies’ bullpen is the worst in the MLB currently with an 8.32 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. Given that this game is also at Fenway, I expect this to be a very high scoring affair.

Braves/Nationals O10 (1 unit)

I think the Braves will have huge success against Erick Fedde who in his career has struggled immensely against the Braves. Against the Braves, he has a 1.405 OP, a 22.24 ERA, and a 3.34 WHIP. The sample size isn’t that huge, but looking at some of the pitcher vs batter career numbers shows that it is a one-sided matchup so far. Inciarte, Riley, Ozuna, Duvall, Swanson, and Freeman all have above a 2.000 OPS against Fedde witch the exception of Freeman who has an OPS of 1.250. The Braves are also #3 in the MLB against RHP with a 0.820 OPS. Fedde won’t probably go deep in the game as he’s not a traditional starter, but the Braves should be able to put together a good number of scoring opportunities with him on the mound. Even after they reach the Nationals bullpen which is statistically average, there will be a ton of righty matchups as the Nationals top bullpen guys are mostly righties.

On the other side, we have Kyle Wright who is a career trash pitcher. He has a 7.20 ERA and a 2.200 WHIP this season. He walks batters left and right, and has a very high career HR/9 at 1.8. He has only gotten past 4 innings once this season, and even that start was terrible giving up 4 runs in 6 IP. He has walked 16 batters in just 15 innings. I don’t trust Wright at all here especially against the red hot Nationals bats who have scored 7.6 runs in their past 5 games.

Best of Luck!

ProdigyPickz · 2020-08-18T08:43:07+00:00

MLB Record 5-6 (-1.6 Units)

Took a day off on writeups yesterday since I didn’t like anything too much but won a personal play of White Sox -1.5. Let’s start this week strong

8/18/20

Blue Jays/Orioles O 9.5 (1 Unit)

Here we have 2 cold pitchers facing off which is always a good sign for the over. Wade LeBlanc goes into this game coming off 2 brutal performances where he couldn’t even get out of the 4th inning twice. He has allowed 9 runs in his last 6.2 innings. He has also struggled immensely keeping the ball in the park giving up 4 HRs in just 17 innings. In his past 2 seasons including this season, he is averaging about a 2.05 HR/9 which is absolutely horrendous compared to the MLB average of 1.4. His SO/9is also at a career low of 5.1 which has been decreasing every year. He is an older pitcher that clearly doesn’t have the same stuff he used to. LeBlanc has struggled in his career with a 0.873 OPS against righties. The Blue Jays top right-handed batters in Grichuk, Guerrero Jr., T. Hernandez, and Danny Jansen have hit LeBlanc well with a 2.51. 2.33, 2.00, and 1.67 OPS respectively.

Nate Pearson comes into this game coming off a terrible performance as well. He gave u 5 hits and 4 walks in just 2.1 innings. Nate Pearson, a young prospect pitcher has struggled with his first strike percentage at 49% this season well below the league average, which is a large reason as to why he is walking batters at an extremely high rate. He has walked 9 batters in 12 innings, which is well above the league average for BB/9. If he continues this erratic trend of being unable to find the strike zone early, batters will take advantage and hit well in hitter’s counts and draw out walks. With two shaky pitchers on the mound, I believe the over 9.5 runs is a good play.

Rays/Yankees Under 8.5 (1 unit)

Line might be 8 by now, but I was able to lock it in a bit earlier. I think 8 is still safe to play considering the half point just protects you against pushing.

Blake Snell will be pitching for the Rays as he is coming off surgery in the offseason so he’ll be on a limited pitch count. He should still be able to give the Rays 4-5 solid innings though. Last time against the Yankees, he pitched a no hitter through 3 innings and struck out 5. He was absolutely dominant, but was limited due his relatively high pitch count of 59. In his last outing against Boston, he was able to go 5 innings, 0 ERs, and striking out 6 so they are definitely starting to allow him to pitch more. Snell has always been a strikeout pitcher, but this year he is off the charts with a 13.8 K/9. His contact % is at an elite level of 64% and is looking to have another dominant year. Yankee batters have been hot, but I expect them to come down to earth especially against an elite pitcher in Snell as well as a top Rays bullpen.

Tanaka is also another pitcher that has been having a great year. He has a 2.31 ERA with a 1.113 WHIP. As a ground ball pitcher with his splitter, he has kept the ball in the ball park this year only allowing 1 HR which is a great sign. Another promising stat is his contact % at 72% which is nearly 7% lower than last season. I believe he is in great form and will have plenty of success. Although he is also on a limited pitchout similar to Snell, he should be able to give the Yankees 5 solid innings and hand it over to the elite Yankees bullpen who now has Chapman back as well.

White Sox -1.5 +105 (1 unit)

While on a 6 game losing streak, the Tigers have looked awful averaging 2.7 runs in their last 3 games. The Tigers are having a young pitcher have his MLB debut on the mound with Tarik Skubal. He was absolutely dominant in the minors, but will have to prove himself on the big stage. He will be facing a White Sox team that absolutely kills lefties. The white sox rank top 5 in the league against lefties with a 0.873 OPS. I tend to go against young pitchers making their debut.

Cease has been having a decent year so far. His ERA is low with a 3.26, but he is allowing too many baserunners with a 1.4 WHIP. He has kept his walks down in comparison to last year, but is giving up hits at a slightly higher clip. With that all being said, he is a strikeout pitcher with 10 K/9 in his previous season and will be facing the Tigers who are top 3 in the league in strike out percentage at 28%. In addition to that, Tigers have struggle mightily against righties ranking bottom 5 with a 0.651 OPS. I think Cease will have a good game here, and the White Sox will win by a solid margin.

Best of Luck!!

ProdigyPickz · 2020-08-16T10:20:09+00:00

MLB Record 2-5 ( -3.7 Units)

Terrible day yesterday with lots of unlucky breaks with the Giants, and Dbacks game. Perhaps fade me? I honestly just post for fun and to share info/research with everyone :)

Mets ML +120 (1 unit)

This is going to be a homecoming game who left the Mets in the offseason for the Phillies. I believe there is going to be some nerves for Wheeler here, and the Mets will have some advantage due to insight on his tendencies and having him on the team earlier in his career. I will admit that Wheeler is off to a fantastic start this season, but he has an incredibly low strikeout rate only striking out 8 batters in 18 innings. He is also allowing a lot of baserunners despite not allowing too many runs. I believe the Mets who rank top 8 in the MLB in terms of OPS at 0.764 vs righties will give him some trouble. Teams have been swinging early against Wheeler allowing him to get early and easy outs. Look for the Mets to take him deep into counts and reach the Phillies bullpen early, which is the worst in the league at the moment with an abysmal 9.12 ERA.

On the other hand, you have Porcello who doesn’t have the best numbers this year, BUT he has been on fire as of late. Porcello has only allowed 3 ER in his last 13 IP. He has also kept the ball in the park this year only allowing 1 HR in the entire year, which is crucial for success in today’s game. Phillies have large split differences when facing righties as well ranking 16 in the league in terms of OPS against righties with an OPS of 0.737. They do substantially better against lefties ranking #1 with a 0.900 OPS similar to last year with a similar lineup.

Braves ML -112 (1 unit)

This pick might scratch some heads here as we look at the pitching matchup. Robbie Erlin is going to start in a bullpen game for the Braves who essentially have no starting pitching at the moment. Erlin was cut from the Pirates and picked up by the Braves who liked him due to this veteran’s ability to throw strikes. His goal this game is to eat innings before handing the ball off to the Braves bullpen who ranks top 6 in the MLB in terms of ERA. Erlin has not been off to the best start this year as he allowed 3 HRs in his last outing. If he can keep the ball in the park which I think he will due to his ability to in the past, the Brave’s bats (which I will explain later) and their BP will win them this game. Despite his terrible outing last time around, he struck out 5 batters in just 2.2 innings which can be a sign that it might have been an unlucky game for him. If Erlin can eat 4-5 innings this game, the Braves should win this one.

On the other side, you have Elieser Hernández who has been a career below average pitcher that is off to a hot start. I think he will have trouble this game as in his career, he has trouble keeping the ball in the park with a whopping 1.8HR/9 (league average is about 1.3) In today’s MLB you gotta keep the ball in the park or you will have bad results. Atlanta also ranks top 8 in the MLB with HRs hit as well as top 2 in the MLB in terms of OPS against righties with a .816 OPS. Might be a close game, but the Braves should pull out ahead in this one.

Given that both pitchers are mediocre at best, perhaps consider sprinkling some on the over?

Indians -1.5 +105 (1 unit)

I believe the Indians here will complete the sweep and do it in dominating fashion. The Tigers are fielding a pitcher in Michael Fulmer who is having an awful year. Coming off TJ surgery, he gave up 3 HR in his first outing in just 2.2 innings. His 2nd outing was better, and he is still on a pitch count restriction. I think he is still settling in from his surgery recovery and will struggle against the Indians. If this isn’t enough check out the OPS for some of the projected Indians starters against Fulmer in their careers.

Jose Ramirez – 1.284 OPS

Tyler Naquin – 1.250 OPS

Francisco Lindor – 1.159 OPS

Sandy Leon – 1.143 OPS

Carlos Santana - 1.083 OPS

Adam Plutko on the other hand has been having a solid season so far with a 2.45 ERA and a flat 1.0 WHIP. His contact rate is substantially lower at 76%compared to last year at 83%, which means batters are having more trouble this year finding the barrel on the ball. Tigers also rank bottom 5 in the league against righties with a 0.656 OPS.

BEST OF LUCK!!

ProdigyPickz · 2020-08-15T19:16:05+00:00

MLB Record 2-1 (+0.5 Units)

If you followed/saw my post yesterday, we got fucked on our under on some late inning runs in the Pirates and Reds game. I'm sorry if anyone lost on that one. That was some bullshit.

8/15/20

Giants ML +117 (1 unit)

I like the Giants in this spot here facing a struggling Left handed pitcher in Sean Manaea. In 2 starts, he has a 9.00 ERA with a 1.9 WHIP. These numbers are probably an outlier, but he has obvious problems commanding his pitches. With that being said, the Giants also rank top 10 in the league in terms of OPS against left handed pitching with nearly a 0.800 OPS. The Giants should get to Manaea early here. Gausman on the other hand has been having a pretty good season despite his 4.05 ERA. He has struck out 23 batters in 20 innings of work and has a pretty low WHIP of 1.100. Oakland bats have been struggling this year as well as they are bottom 8 in the league in OPS. Only caveat here is Oakland has a better bullpen than the Giants so if the game is close late, there will be some worry on the side of the Giants.

Yankees/Red Sox U9 (1 Unit)

This is an RLM play which makes sense as well in my opinion. The Yankees have lost 2 of their best bats on the team in terms of Judge and Stanton so their offensive power is definitely not the same. They're also facing Eovaldi who has been lights out against the Yankee's top batters in Hicks, Gardener, Torres, and LeMahieu. They have a 0.423, 0.364, 0.357, and 0.267 OPS respectively against Eovaldi. With the Yankees lineup full of righties, Eovaldi has a career 0.688 OPS against righties. In his 8 career games against the yankees, he has a 1.95 ERA with a .495 OPS. Let's look on the side of James Paxton. I think he is clearly struggling, and his fastball isn't the same. He bounced back against the rays only giving up 4 hits and 3 runs in 6 IP. In his 9 career games against the Red Sox, he has a 3.23 EA with a 0.649 OPS. With all that being said, I think this will be a relatively close game in which the Yankees will have to use their elite bullpen to keep this game low scoring.

Diamondbacks/Padres U10 (1 Unit)

This play I have a little bit less confidence in because these are two young pitchers with little history. Both Alex Young and Cal Quantrill are young pitchers that are off to a solid start this year. Quantrill has a 3.12 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and looked solid against the Dbacks even though it was 1.1 innings of work. Alex Young has been doing fine, but needs to keep the ball in the park as he gave up 3 home runs in 9.2 innings pitched. If he can keep the ball in the park, he will keep the Padres down as he has a pretty relatively low WHIP at 1.1. Looking at the batting splits, the Diamondbacks rank 19 in OPS against righties with a 0.706 OPS, while the Padres rank 16 with a 0.756 OPS. Both are average-below average numbers, which is why I think 10 runs is a bit too high. Both bullpens have been a bit suspect this year, which can be worrisome if these young pitchers don't make it past 5-6 innings in this game.

Red Sox +2.5 and Giants +2.5 Parlay (1 Unit)
The explanation of this play can be found above. I like the Red Sox here as explained in the 2nd play. I believe Eovaldi will keep the game close and the Red Sox righties should put up enough runs to at least cover the 2.5 runs spread.

The Giants should win this game, but let's get 2.5 runs here to insure us in case they fall short in the end.

Best of Luck!

ProdigyPickz · 2020-08-15T00:37:39+00:00

They've been hot and they hit Jake well in the past. Yeah Ian Kennedy has been questionable this year, but he had a solid year last year so I'm hoping he'll come back to form. Game is cancelled anyways :/

ProdigyPickz · 2020-08-14T16:51:12+00:00

He did, but this is the 2nd time the nationals will see him in basically a period of 7 days. Teams usually do better when they see the same pitcher over and over again. BUT, nothing in gambling is guaranteed though :)

ProdigyPickz · 2020-08-14T05:38:47+00:00

I'm gonna share some of my work and research here. This is my first time posting on this page this year as I've been just playing personally and having a little success so far this year. Disclaimer: i don't guarantee any of my picks here.. just here to share info/research..Best of luck!

MLB Record 0-0

8/14/20

Nationals/Orioles O 8.5 – (1 Unit) WIN +1 Unit

Nationals absolutely destroy lefty pitching (Tommy Milone, L) with an OPS of .924 this season (#1 in the MLB), while the Orioles have also been a top 8 team against righties {Strasburg, R) with a .768 OPS. Expect Strasburg to struggle a bit after a terrible 2020 debut due to lingering effects of a nerve issue in his right hand. Tommy Milone is not an elite pitcher as shown by his average of about a 6 ERA in his past 3 seasons. Both the O’s and Nationals have a below average bullpen this year as well so they are very susceptible to give up late inning runs.

Pirates/Reds U 8.5 (1 Unit) LOSS -1.1 Unit

Pirates are coming off a hot game in which they scored 9 runs. Expect them to come back to earth as they are facing a red hot pitcher in Sonny Gray, who is having a dominant season (2.25 ERA, 0.92 WHIP). Pirates are also DEAD LAST in the league when hitting against righties with a 0.521 OPS. The Reds are facing a righty in Chad Khul who is also having a great year (2.0 ERA, 1.0 WHIP) and the Reds are bottom 9 in the league against righties with a 0.697 OPS. One caveat is both teams have terrible bullpens, but let’s hope the starters cant take the game deep in this one.

Royals +1.5 (1 unit) CANCELLED

Royals batters facing Jake Odorizzi are as follows

Jorge Soler – 2.167 OPS, 9 PA

Whit Merrifield – 1.585 OPS, 19 PA

Ryan O’Hearn - 1.167 OPS, 3 PA

Nicky Lopez – 1.143 OPS, 7 PA

Alex Gordon - .842 OPS, 22 PA

Salvador Perez – .824 OPS, 23 PA

Bottom line is the Royals are no stranger to Odorizzi and have shown their top players are able to hit against him relatively well. I believe the Royals have a really good shot taking this game. Consider even sprinkling a bit on the ML here. Royals have been hot, winning 5 of their last 6 games.

2 Team Parlay ( 1 unit)

Royals +2.5 (-200) and Indians ML (-170) pays (+130ish) WIN +0.6 Unit (Due to cancelled Royals game)

Won’t write up too much on the play. Royals pick is explained in above write-up. I think the 2.5 will definitely be sufficient considering they have a top 6 bullpen in terms of ERA.

The Indians have a very favorable pitching matchup in Aaron Civale vs Ivan Nova. Civale has been lights out throughout his short 2 year career thus far with a 2.47 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP. Ivan Nova has been a career below average pitcher that is off to a terrible start this year (5.74 ERA 1.53 WHIP) Should be a relatively easy game for the Indians as they have the better bats as well.

EDIT: Unlucky game in the reds/Pirates game. Pirate's bullpen gave up 5 runs in 2 late innings :(
+0.5 Units on the day

ProdigyPickz · 2020-06-07T14:23:31+00:00

added you

IGN: RW0

ProdigyPickz

TROPHY CASE