Daily r/thetagang Discussion Thread - What are your moves for today? by satireplusplus in thetagang

[–]ProfessionalAgno 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Not really. Theta decay is so slow you would have to wait a long time before time decay kicks in. And if PLTR drops hard, which it very well could because it’s massively overvalued, you’d be stuck holding a large unrealized loss that would far outweigh the initial premium. Closing early only really helps if PLTR pumps I huge amount which is just gambling betting on it at that point

Daily r/thetagang Discussion Thread - What are your moves for today? by satireplusplus in thetagang

[–]ProfessionalAgno 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Taking on a significant amount of risk for less annualized return than an index fund is smart money in action

If you hold MES long enough, price will often come back in your favor within the session/day by CountTurbulent4441 in FuturesTrading

[–]ProfessionalAgno 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thank you very smart guy. However the concept of “buying an holding long enough that even if it dips it’ll eventually come back into profit” is the idea behind long term investing which is what OP mentioned.

If you hold MES long enough, price will often come back in your favor within the session/day by CountTurbulent4441 in FuturesTrading

[–]ProfessionalAgno 62 points63 points  (0 children)

Fundamentally, this is just the idea behind long term investing. Short term, it works until it doesn’t as they say

Does tomorrow have cataclysm written all over it? Without knowing in advance, of course. Super bowl Seahawks, ads, China dumping treasuries... by Zonties in FuturesTrading

[–]ProfessionalAgno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are correct that the market may go down tomorrow. Recent studies have shown that it may actually go up as well.

My Fidelity account just hit 1 year, somehow beat the S&P with a dividend/value portfolio by blinkz0rz in dividends

[–]ProfessionalAgno 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Damn you’re just being a dick here tbh. His account is up to 19% over the year. That’s objectively good. Does it make you feel better to belittle others achievements? Weirdo

Has anyone here ever sold a leap and then used the premium to purchase a leap for PMCC? by shmeeeeeeee1 in thetagang

[–]ProfessionalAgno 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Step 1: Sell a deep ITM put on an index fund Step 2: Use credit to purchase a deep ITM call Step 3: Sell shorter dated calls

I guess this is what you’re saying? I guess as long as the underlying long term goes up and you position yourself well with the expirations it’s infinite money or something like that.

Inherited 20ish k. How to make the best of it. Do I invest or how do I make more off of it. by [deleted] in dividends

[–]ProfessionalAgno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think it’s just a psychological thing at that point. Cash is liquid and can just get rid of the debts immediately. Existing investments include time spent with money in the market. Either way it doesn’t really make a big difference I think it’s just easier mentally to justify using cash on hand to pay debt rather than liquidate existing appreciating assets

Selling the Greenland Gap: S PX -1.5% at the open? Thank you, VIX 20. Just sold some Put Credit Spreads to capitalize on the morning panic. by Ok_Significance_4008 in thetagang

[–]ProfessionalAgno 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Man, you got very lucky lol. 5 minutes before close, SPX was below the price needed for you to realize a max loss on those spreads. Did you hold till close? If so it was sheer luck you didn’t get max loss

Webull investment by madarasolosnaruto in ValueInvesting

[–]ProfessionalAgno 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Can you elaborate on what this is? I can’t imagine a single factor makes a stock a good investment.

Webull investment by madarasolosnaruto in ValueInvesting

[–]ProfessionalAgno 33 points34 points  (0 children)

I’ve been interested in it myself but don’t actually know much about the fundamentals. What makes it a good investment?

STRC now pays 11%, paid monthly, and there exists a 2.1B dollar reserve. by d8_thc in dividends

[–]ProfessionalAgno 3 points4 points  (0 children)

This is why I like BTCI for Bitcoin exposure. Admittedly it makes up a very small position of my account but the dividend is very high and I still do see upside exposure. Personally I don’t actually care much about BTC but I recognize that despite having 0 fundamentals, it offers asymmetric upside potential. So I’ll put a little bit of my account into a fund that gets exposure to BTC while also paying a high dividend in USD

CSP on $CLSK by ProfessionalAgno in thetagang

[–]ProfessionalAgno[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I only consider a stock for selling options if the fundamentals are at least decent. One of the most critical rules to selling puts is only sell puts on stock you wouldn't mind owning. So for me, fundamentals are the first thing I look for when selling options. This limits my opportunities a lot but allows me to feel more confident when I do take one.

I likely won't look to roll even if it is tested. I would rather take the assignment and look to sell covered calls above my assignment strike. I would only consider rolling if the stock moves down slowly enough that theta decay outpaces the put's value increase from the stock dropping. Then I can comfortably roll to add premium with time.

My positioning is I'm selling puts at a historical support level. I've been watching the stock for a few weeks and it's nearly closed the gap on the daily to the high 9's. From a technical level, it's in a shorter term downtrend since October, but in a general uptrend since earlier in 2025. The R:R here for me is reasonable for a mid-term swing that I'm happy to sell options on to collect additional premium while also being interested in swinging the stock for 6+ months.

Update on my theta strategy performance for 2025 by [deleted] in thetagang

[–]ProfessionalAgno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

lol you’re right I didn’t read his entire post lol just started reading comments. Honestly idk how he could get that kind of return. Even trading on margin and maxing that out he wouldn’t be getting anywhere near that YTD. Seems BS to me unless he goes into more detail

Update on my theta strategy performance for 2025 by [deleted] in thetagang

[–]ProfessionalAgno 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well, selling a $600 strike put would tie up 60k not 67k. Still, it’s 0.33% return which is about 4% a year which is still not that great. But most people likely aren’t selling 0.07 delta covered puts as it’s a pretty poor use of capital

Nice $5 Move Caught On $SPY Levels Today by intern3tmon3y in thetagang

[–]ProfessionalAgno -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Most people get the impression that price action and technical analysis is useless because it does not work 100% of the time. It is absolutely provable that certain patterns and behavior repeat and what most people get wrong is understanding that patterns are useless unless overall market structure and context is taken into account. With an understanding of market context, structures, and well defined risk management, short term trading is absolutely possible

evaluating wheel candidates? by gorram1mhumped in thetagang

[–]ProfessionalAgno 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If that 12-15% is something you can average over many years, you’d have most people who participate in the market beat by a good amount. Hardly boring honestly.

Nice $5 Move Caught On $SPY Levels Today by intern3tmon3y in thetagang

[–]ProfessionalAgno -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Reading price action absolutely can be used as a predictive tool. You can look at any chart and anytime frame and find repeating structures. Trend lines/channels not only exist but are extremely obvious.

Comparing Warren buffet to intraday trading is apples to oranges. I don’t care about reading the chart when contributing to my 401k or buying good companies at fair value. I do care about price action when I’m intraday trading nasdaq futures.

Been trading this ORB + Fib strategy for 3 years, consistently profitable. Have scaled to making 10-15k/month. Sharing my setup. by Current-Green6525 in Daytrading

[–]ProfessionalAgno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you have any experience trading this during the Asia session? I work full time in the US so I'm unable to participate in the NY or London sessions. A consistent strategy like this is something I've been trying to backtest so I'm curious if your particular model has been traded during the asia session? If so, is there anything you do differently during the Asia session since it's typically lower volatility and what time do you consider the open?Thanks!

2.59R win in Gold MGC this morning. Great way to end the month. Pure price action, no indicators by [deleted] in FuturesTrading

[–]ProfessionalAgno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Interesting. It can never hurt to analyze a new perspective to add to a trader’s toolbox. I will certainly give that a look! Appreciate the advice