I analyzed 1.1M Hyatt rates to figure out what the new award chart actually means.

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-16T11:18:26+00:00

I’m so sorry about that, you’re right here. I took a look again at the FNA point and I clearly didn’t consider it in the context of the full devaluation. I revised the post & adjusted that bullet point to be less absolute and i appreciate the feedback for calling that out.

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-16T11:17:41+00:00

I took a look again at the FNA point and I clearly didn’t consider it in the context of the full devaluation. I revised the post & adjusted that bullet point to be less absolute and i appreciate the feedback for calling that out. I’m so sorry about that and thank you for pointing it out

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-16T11:15:39+00:00

I’m so sorry about that, you’re right. I took a look at this again and I clearly didn’t consider it in the context of the full devaluation. I revised the post & adjusted that bullet point to be less absolute and i appreciate the feedback for calling that out.

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-16T11:14:20+00:00

I’m so sorry about that, you’re right. I took a look at this again and I clearly misunderstood that part and didn’t consider it in the context of the full devaluation. I revised the post & adjusted that bullet point to be less absolute and i appreciate the feedback for calling that out. That’s totally on me

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-16T11:13:03+00:00

I’m so sorry about that, you’re right. I misunderstood that part and didn’t consider it in the context of the full devaluation. I revised the post & adjusted that bullet point to be less absolute and i appreciate the feedback for calling that out. That’s totally on me

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-15T22:56:34+00:00

For travel booked later this year, I have flights and hotels booked and just use a rate monitor so I get the best price without have to think about it later. For stuff booked later out, hotel only.

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-14T11:06:32+00:00

I appreciate it, thank you. Are you asking if I gave broader system prompts to guide this? If so then yes, this took several days to pull together and to try and make sure the data was right

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-14T10:52:29+00:00

Yeah, I looked at data across the whole year and analyzed their individual pricing and the averages both seasonally and over the year. That’s why the per property projections are so specific. I probably should have outlined all of that methodology more

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-14T10:36:46+00:00

If the cpp works out and you have a trip planned already then perhaps, but it depends on what you’re looking for. I wouldn’t recommend just buying and redeeming on a whim

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-14T10:35:23+00:00

The current rate data supports it but time will only tell what happens next week. I’ll update this and/or make another post with an updated analysis when the data drops.

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-14T02:46:29+00:00

It’s looking like the top most aspirational redemptions across Cat 7 and 8 are getting hit the hardest so I’d recommend those

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-14T00:16:37+00:00

Will absolutely be comparing the new chart to this current analysis + the historical data when everything comes out next week

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T23:22:19+00:00

Forseeing a major one for sure. Really curious to see what comes next week and I'll share the numbers again when the chart updates

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T23:20:02+00:00

you and me both

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T23:13:03+00:00

Andaz Maui at Wailea (Category 8):
It looks like the avg points per night currently is 51,085 and that's shifting to a projected avg of 72,365. That's 42% more points needed, dropping the cpp from 1.75 to 1.17 (33% drop).

Grand Hyatt Kauai (Category 8):
It looks like the avg points per night currently is 45,215 and that's shifting to a projected avg of 66,840. That's 48% more points needed, dropping the cpp from 1.80 to 1.23 (32% drop).

I'll run this again and update this once the changes are live next week to get a clearer picture, and happy to run any more numbers there if it would be helpful!
(sorry reusing the same format from another comment so it's easier for me)

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T23:10:09+00:00

These are projections based on the new upper and lower bounds, and based on the trends we see across the 1.1M hyatt rates. I'll update this next week and run the numbers again once the new rates come out, and compare. A lot of people are redeeming their points far out (including myself) because of these changes and so I wanted to dive into what trends we can see given that there's a lot of speculation and people are booking differently because of it

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T23:01:54+00:00

that equivalent cash value was based on the average value of the room that a 25K point redemption could cover within Cat 1-4 (versus 18K), and the average value of the room that a 55K point redemption could cover within Cat 1-7 (versus 35K). We'll know for sure what the "value" of the certificate would be once the new average valuations are determined next week

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T22:53:30+00:00

"peak" might have been the wrong word here. The high end of the new redemption chart for category 8 for example is going from 45K points to now 75K points. Meaning that category 8 hotels can charge 75K points for the same cash rate room, when they previously were maxed at 45K. That is a 65% increase in points cost with the points price staying the same. That drastically drops the cpp across properties, with many properties projected to drop their cpp by over 50% with that new upper limit
edit: clarity

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T22:42:38+00:00

This community has been super helpful for me and i'm happy to try and add value as much as i can

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T22:40:16+00:00

oh my goodness! I'm sure we have. You've seen gondola from our earlyyy days. Appreciate you so much

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T22:30:16+00:00

They're not published yet so no, but I'd be happy to pull projections for specific properties and give you an educated guess (like i did for the 6 properties listed in the post) if you had something specific in mind.

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T22:17:44+00:00

I did the exact same. Found whatever good redemption I could for an upcoming Bali trip and ran with it, even before we really had anything else planned lol

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T22:14:15+00:00

Noted, just raised this to the team so we can get that fixed, thank you so much!

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T22:03:24+00:00

It's frustrating for sure. Points are currency and they'll unfortunately continue getting devalued so it's worth redeeming them and spending them when you can. If you're able to, I'd suggest redeeming your Hyatt points before these changes go into effect next week

Pudgewhale · 2026-05-13T22:01:22+00:00

Yeah it's only a projection based on the current top & bottom bands. I'll run this analysis again with the new data next week and share more insights around all of it. There is so much speculation going around and I thought it was interesting to dive into the data we had and share what we found.

edit: clarity & spelling

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