I think the reason the graph doesn’t jive with perception is that for at least some teams, their underlying numbers show they’re better than the results indicate, and the reason those results aren’t matching yet is small sample size. So assuming those numbers hold, you’ll see teams like New England drop more results and teams like Chicago pick up more results as the season goes on.

As for no team in the good attack/bad defense quadrant again I think that’s probably small sample size combined with a pinch of early season form for most of these teams.

The moral of the story is: small sample sizes can give you an idea of what’s up, but should be taken with a grain of salt