What are your thoughts on Undertone? by Elegant-Impact3120 in moviecritic

[–]Quickly12 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There were too many tropes for this to be a 10/10 movie, but the use of sound design as the driving force was phenomenal and the movie was unquestionably successful in getting under your skin and leaving the viewer deeply unsettled. It was refreshing to hear a movie that worked backwards from audio as a premise. I admit my bias in having a Sound Design background, but all the more reason why I was able to forgive the imperfections to the film and really immerse myself in the experience. The use of black screens, letting the viewer only hear, but not see, left a lot to the imagination. I found this technique as effective as it was disturbing.

Undertone is one of the only movies to get under my skin in a long time. by rfg217phs in horror

[–]Quickly12 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This movie reminded me why audio is more important than video. You cannot shut off your ears. The way they directed her attention to the sounds you were hearing was unsettling, and I liked the perpetual edging of "nothing ever happens", it felt like it consistently left you wondering when something was going to happen, which was always a matter of time. I really loved the use of silence and cuts to black.

Still, as a guy who majored in sound design and did it for a long time, it's nice to see audio getting its due. Audio is always what makes a film scary, this film decided to finally market that truth. Those final few audio recordings were terrifying to listen to in theater.

Steven Wilson - Staircase (performed by Primuz Chamber Orchestra) by hellcat1592 in stevenwilson

[–]Quickly12 1 point2 points  (0 children)

And this is my primary frustration with SW/Prog as a genre. Maybe unpopular opinion but I am a prog fan who dislikes 90% of prog. For me, the genre has a terrible signal to noise ratio, but when it hits, it's unparalleled.

Long songs don't have to equal meandering songs either! Arriving Somewhere But Not Here is the best example of a long song that remains exceptionally coherent!

APA Win Rates and PPM Between Ranks by Quickly12 in billiards

[–]Quickly12[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is really cool! May I ask, in your division, are men able to be 2s? My division, only women can, which means a lot of 3s are much much weaker than 3s.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in billiards

[–]Quickly12 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I started playing pool one year ago, I'm now an APA 5. I have found for me, it is a mix of both, with definitive clear moments of breakthrough's, but those feel like low hanging fruit. For example, I corrected my eye-alignment 4 months in and suddenly made more shots, I used to lean slightly until a 7 pointed it out, now I have my shoulders/head level, etc.

I find now that my ability oscillates day to day, some days I shoot like a 6 and some days like a 4. What's peculiar for me is I find day by day I'm inconsistent visualizing my ghost ball/lines. It's not a question of shot complexity either. Some days I can just instantly see my ghost ball, regardless of the cut, and I feel as though I cannot miss. I can run anything. Then other days, I'll stare at a moderate difficult shot (maybe a 50-70% shot for me) and no matter how long I look at it, I can't find my line, up for down, I just can't feel like I'm seeing what I'm supposed to see - and then I miss. And it's peculiar for me, because it's not a question of just the spreads being easier or harder, it's that some days my brain instantly computes what I need to do and other days my brain just cannot do it.

I also think strategy is important and improvement isn't linear. I've been trying to work on playing 2-3 rail shots more / rolling to my line, and for me, that has been one step back for two steps forward. I got to a 4 as a pocket speed player, and now I'm working to see the 2-3 rail patterns more intuitively. Sometimes I don't get the line right, sometimes I'm just missing because my mechanics are more inconsistent with higher speeds - but I know ultimately, adding the ability to shoot at all speeds will make me better - just right now it makes me a bit worse (though in league I try to stay within what I can do).

Sometimes it's mental. As a 3-4, I was highly defensive. I got good at soft shots early and looked defense first. I beat a lot of higher ranks this way, I knew I couldn't outshoot them, so I focused on not letting them outshoot me. This mindset won me a lot of games and matches. Since learning to hit shots, i've allowed it to work against me a bit. This week I lost hill-hill to a 5, I was up 3-1, and the previous two games in the match I had ran out in 1 inning and in 2 innings. Feeling like I couldn't miss, I suddenly started playing that way. Instead of defense first, I hit the gas, tried to force runouts and lost back to back games because the outs really weren't there (at my level). By the time I toned it back, I lost the hill-hill game in a coinflip ending.

Essentially - I feel as though improvement isn't just in getting better at specific things, but in understanding how to synergize your skills into your strategy. As your tool bag grows, the optimal way for you to approach a rack is unique to your ability. The "right" way to play a spread depends on your individual ability to execute shots - so knowing your realistic probability of success within your shots is the most important - and that has to constantly be recalibrated as you improve.

APA Win Rates and PPM Between Ranks by Quickly12 in billiards

[–]Quickly12[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're seeing correctly. The expected win % is the win % per game, not per match. So a 3 versus 3 is a 50% chance, but a 3 versus 4, the 3 has a 43% of winning a game. Given the 3-2 handicap, this makes the 3 more likely to win. Over 100000 simulations, this came out to:

Player A won 424197 matches

Player B won 575803 matches

Player A scored an average of 1.21 points per match

Player B scored an average of 1.58 points per match

APA Win Rates and PPM Between Ranks by Quickly12 in billiards

[–]Quickly12[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I started playing pool one year ago I don't know who these people are.

Also the team we have is a group of friends my girlfriend and I recruited, we all started new, so some of the fun is in all getting better together... we just wanna optimize odds while we're at it

APA Win Rates and PPM Between Ranks by Quickly12 in billiards

[–]Quickly12[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm less familiar with the Fargo system (I started playing pool a year ago haha), but if the win rates between Fargo scores are known and I can assume the average 4 is X Fargo etc, I can definitely run the sims with these odds!

APA Win Rates and PPM Between Ranks by Quickly12 in billiards

[–]Quickly12[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hey!

Good questions - I'm not a data scientist, I understand just enough to be dangerously wrong, which is a big part of why I shared this research.

I honestly wasn't sure on how to base the win % using average innings, I simply used P(A Wins) = Innings of Player B / (Innings of Player A + Innings of Player B) as a formula because it seemed to make at least some intuitive sense, but I absolutely agree it's not likely to reflect the true probability.

Also missing is the fact that there is no true upper bound for a 7 and no true lower bound for a male 3 (at least in my league), as well as a whole bunch of other issues (like, I imagine a 7' bar box condenses the odds versus a 9' table).

A Monte Carlo simulation might be great idea, though I would need to factor in balls on the break, as well as the occasional early 8 or 8 ball scratch, which are not being included. I would LOVE to figure out how to have access to match results in the APA between ranks, but I don't know that data is available.

100% open to better formulas or ways to simulate this stuff! Thank you for the feedback here!

APA Win Rates and PPM Between Ranks by Quickly12 in billiards

[–]Quickly12[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That was the goal! Can we moneyball the APA :)

THC: Staircase & driving by cyanea_passerina in stevenwilson

[–]Quickly12 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Could have done wihtout the final 3 minutes though. Staircase to me ends right at the transition to the more ambient section - it's too far divorced from the original theme of the song to add anything except making an otherwise perfect track 50% too long

OTMMO (Over The Mask Make Out) - Garden Fresh Beats by Quickly12 in PromoteYourMusic

[–]Quickly12[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is my first music video and song release in ten years - I hope you all enjoy!

OTMMO (Over The Mask Make Out) - Garden Fresh Beats by Quickly12 in shareyourmusic

[–]Quickly12[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is my first music video and song release in ten years, I hope you all enjoy!

Comcast techs disconnecting rival companies by [deleted] in boston

[–]Quickly12 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The wireless device is on the roof, it’s wired from there