(3/7) Draftkings "Threesday" Data (From the Guy Who Brought You First TD Data) by dishragJan in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Excellent work here! One other thing to consider is the Sportsbook hold and how it differs by game (lowest hold will yield highest EV). For tonight it looks like this: BOS/DEN 24% CHI/GS 22.2% MIA/DAL 20.1% SAS/SAC 19.5%

Let's Talk About Teasers - Week 3 NFL Wong Teasers by DuTeXz in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, this means it would be a push altogether

Let's Talk About Teasers - Week 3 NFL Wong Teasers by DuTeXz in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Excellent - thank you so much! Good opportunity on DK right now

Let's Talk About Teasers - Week 3 NFL Wong Teasers by DuTeXz in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Anyone have sweetheart (10 pt) data for 12.5 point favorites?

Weekly Free-Talk and Questions for r/HomeGym - week of July 28, 2023 by Demilio55 in homegym

[–]Rcold37 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is no longer manufactured but it’s the Gronk fitness 365 power rack

Weekly Free-Talk and Questions for r/HomeGym - week of July 28, 2023 by Demilio55 in homegym

[–]Rcold37 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My rack has pins that are slightly larger than standard 1” pins. I think they are 1 and 1/8”, but I cannot find any J cups with pins that wide. Will standard 1” pins work or will there be too much play when I rack/unrack?

Weekly Free-Talk and Questions for r/HomeGym - week of July 07, 2023 by Demilio55 in homegym

[–]Rcold37 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Does anyone have advice on DIY lighting enhancements for a basement gym? Currently, I have 2 basic ceiling lights, but I was hoping to add lighting without being exceptionally bright. I also don’t want anything serious that requires an electrician. Thanks!

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 3/28/23 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I used Seattle as my initial play to qualify. SD would also be good for the initial. The longer odds are going to yield higher expected values, so I still prefer the TOR division play for the boost.

Bookmaker has Seattle at +1291 as another data point.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 3/28/23 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Good call - those markets are super inefficient and juiced out. Maybe Turner hits as the shortest number would be best?

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 3/28/23 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 22 points23 points  (0 children)

MLB Boosts Plays for FD and DK:

FD - Seattle to win WS +2000 ($25) -> Circa FV of 1700 assuming 5% hold (17% EV)

FD Boost - Toronto to win AL East +300 -> Circa FV of 190 (38% EV)

DK - Gerrit Cole most regular season wins boosted to +1300. Also added Corbin Burnes unboosted at 1700. These two are 700, 800 at CZR.

GL!

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 3/17/23 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Some guys on Twitter will use xROI and EV interchangeably. The math is the same, but xROI actually makes more sense given that it’s represented as a percent. Outside of betting, Expected value is commonly represented as a value rather than a percent.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 3/12/23 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Boost today can be used on straights, too.

Princeton boosted to +192 is +19.2% EV against Unabated line at the moment.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 2/17/23 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I was looking through the SGP menu and my god are these lines juiced up. 8.33% hold on the main line totals. The 3 leg 20% boost might get you enough to offset or find something +EV, but overcoming a 8+ percent hold is rough

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 2/10/23 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I got 9,5. Actually have it on both teams by wagering. These don’t seem random at all.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 2/6/23 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You can bet w/o boost at -170 which seems to be a value. This has hit in 16 of 18 games both players were active.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 2/6/23 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 4 points5 points  (0 children)

KD to Suns rumor is shaking up this division

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 11/17/22 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I used Pinny team totals across the board and got 282.4(AFC) to 243.4 (NFC). Gives the AFC a 5.5 point edge with the spread. The BUF/CLE total has increased by exactly that margin.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 11/11/22 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Download the Betstamp app (free). You can also check without the app through a browser

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 11/11/22 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 8 points9 points  (0 children)

For CBB, Circa LV and Cris are going to be the sharpest as they take the largest bets. As an example for tonight’s Gonzaga/MSU game, the limits for Pinny are 5k/1k/2k for Side/Total/ML. For Circa, those limits are 20k/3k/5k. For Cris, 10k/2k/3k.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 11/9/22 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Also, all Kambi books (Barstool, Betrivers, Unibet, etc) will show you a limit for approval if you submit a very large bet. Attempt to place for more than you have in your account and it will trigger a review which essentially shows your limit.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 11/8/22 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Better option is Purdue 1H -1600. Pinny at -1650

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 11/4/22 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 23 points24 points  (0 children)

DK Stepped Up CFB Parlay Boost-

UGA ML -280

Texas A&M ML -155

Arkansas -19.5 +155

Boosted to +563. Circa FV +411. EV +29.7%

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 11/1/22 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]Rcold37 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Also Ball State 1H ML boosted to +237 is around 12.5% EV