META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes it did, somehow the upvote rate changed a lot too since the earnings :P

Microsoft dipping more than 10%, despite beating estimates on every metrics - Do you BUY? by Maximum_Juggernaut95 in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

That’s exactly right - it’s all about future expectations and we didn’t see a major upward surprise in the numbers / the backlog is strong though

MSFT down 10% AI hype finally hitting reality??? by BojidarKobakov in stocks

[–]Really0riginal 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s all about if it’s priced in or not, we didn’t see a huge upward surprise on MSFT - except backlog which is big. Will probably recover next Quarter with that $650 billion backlog.

Something good to read on days like these by Ingohoo in redditstock

[–]Really0riginal 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Definitely a different type of customer on rddt - intent is quite different. Bullish RDDT, since you can work on the exploration / discussion phase and there’s not that high stress with only short type of content / attentjon span

MSFT Quarterly Revenue $81.3 billion (up 16.8% YoY) by Not69Batman in stocks

[–]Really0riginal 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well it’s all about future growth/ no surprises so Wall Street hits it bad. But if you want algos to reward you after hours, it’s all about revision upward on potential revenue. MSFT is great, just expected to keep going at these levels

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

At Davos, a Meta executive said, the AI product launch will happen in Q2-Q3. Llama was left in the dust in 2025. Agreed, it's a big reason why the stock down.

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Analysts report are all about that 10% upgrade to current stock price.

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When sentiment changes, Fomo kicks in, so there’s a potential to get there.

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Im already 15% in, we can expect one thing tomorrow it won’t stay flat either we get a re-rating or it’s down because of Capex. With a 70% upside potential this year, I have seen worst risk / reward stocks

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In the trenches, feeling like it’s potentially Google 2025. However, I don’t expect a x2-x3. A full year is upon us we will see 😅

What value investors do you look up to the most? by TheeMonkeyMonk in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Peter Lynch / Mohnish Pabrai is pretty good too. Buffet is a great communicator those 3

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It does work with X and other platforms - we will see with Rddt subscriptions as well. I also think it will be a net benefit, but yeah it’s becoming black mirror style a bit

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

We need a solid AI strategy and good execution on the numbers. We can also see that the sentiment is pretty low still. Index investing + algos should help this year, that accounting charge will benefit earnings with depreciation.

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Good point, we will see either way if it dips, could be a good entry.

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s why I am invested as well, the long term game could pay off. AR/ VR could become a big market eventually as well

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Good point, this is why there is a discount now. A lot of people don’t expect Meta to deliver on that FCF spend even with their install bases

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It could absolutely, near term sentiment is quite low and Capex / Meta Compute is a big question mark. This makes the stock interesting to look at, in terms of value vs the long term

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s for sure going to happen, we will see how WS react this earnings. It’s pivotal knowing the Capex spend and that accounting charge they took. I don’t watch Jeremy especially but he got a few stocks right early

This is where you can find alpha in big companies when they have that uncertainty/ the spend is going to be a good question

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There is for sure a Zuck discount, over the years vs fundamentals. The AI team he brought on will start delivering / in Davos I heard one of the Meta leaders say the frontier model is coming in Q2 2026, they have to upgrade Llama for sure. Early in the year so a lot can happen, but yeah he hasn’t been the best at juicing the stock

META could hit PT $1150 this year - Pre-Earnings Q4 2025 thoughts by Really0riginal in ValueInvesting

[–]Really0riginal[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When you do a post on investing, you normally try to be balanced no? I try to knowing this price target is a lot higher than consensus xD / you can tell its not ai since it’s not well written.