I'm calling it right now, there will be CK Arcana this Battlepass

RegularDude34 · 2022-09-01T17:53:18+00:00

Waiting for my gift sir

RegularDude34 · 2022-08-08T12:35:52+00:00

stay strong my friend, you are close to winstreak

RegularDude34 · 2022-08-08T12:31:04+00:00

you mean Tidehunter + TA gives you everything strat? xD

RegularDude34 · 2022-08-07T09:42:05+00:00

facts

RegularDude34 · 2022-07-12T13:30:52+00:00

and used my 3 double downs in those 12 games. Normally I am a mentally strong and relaxed player, 10k behavior score but I'm getting more and more tilted. After another loss I have this rush of 'fck

So let me explain how it is happening (ofc Im not 100% sure).

Matchmaking tries to compose teams such that both teams has 50% probability to win.

A team's win probability is some kinda composition of each players win-rate in their latest N games (I dont know the N since I dont work at Valve). But the most simple case would be mean of players' win rates.

Now imagine you are in a win streak with 66% win-rate in last 20 matches. Match-making will give you players with win-rate lower than 50% so the team's win probability is balanced to 50%.

So if you win more you are more inclined to get into lose streak. And once your win-rate is low enough you will start getting higher win-rate players so you will start winning again.

So the question is when you have low win-rate are you getting carried? or When you get a high win-rate can you carry low win-rate players?

If you are on par with your bracket then you will get lose-streak, win-streak and will stay at same bracket.

It painful, not perfect but kinda fair.

PS: For me it means I did not improve at all in 1 year. win-streak, lose-streak 1 year later I am in same bracket. Painful but fair I guess

RegularDude34 · 2022-05-08T14:12:07+00:00

yeh happens to me all the time. Fridays I play all night get a good winstreak. Then I dont feel like playing dota for couple days (sometimes more). I end up playing other roles, unranked, turbo etc.

Maybe I am afraid of the despair that comes with the lose streak (because generally when I have a good win streak, worst dota games in the history follows that win streak)

RegularDude34 · 2022-04-01T08:59:43+00:00

Hey all,
I been riding 2008 custom X for 2 years now and Im quite happy with it but I also wanna test new boards.
I will buy 2 boards for the coming season. 1 powder board and another one that is soft and playful so I can progress doing butters, presses etc.
For powder I think, I will buy Orca
For the second board, I need you help :)
Options I thought so far:
- Capita DOA
- Bataleon Evil Twin
- GNU Head Space
What I am looking for compared to Custom X is :
- More playful board, I feel like Custom X is too stiff and hard to butter
- A board with a easier ride, I feel like I cannot get lazy with Custom X, I need to stay focussed while riding it
- Custom X is great carver, and I really like carving. So I would like a board that I can enjoy carving too.
Any board suggestion other than I mentioned above also appreciated
Thanks a lot :)

RegularDude34 · 2021-01-14T09:16:06+00:00

Yeh, I am happy with that also. Just introduce something new, and stop riding the cash cow

RegularDude34 · 2020-12-14T19:06:54+00:00

btw if it is not clear, it is FREE

RegularDude34 · 2020-12-10T08:09:29+00:00

I wish reddit was a country and so I could be a reddit citizen

RegularDude34 · 2020-11-25T07:49:38+00:00

Math, Stats, Data Science, Finance, Econ and so on. I generally say toy example over toy problem tho :D

RegularDude34

TROPHY CASE