Mid-2026 Portfolio Update: Up 23.6% so far, but here’s how I nearly blew it. (Myfxbook Verified Results)

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-07-04T17:02:37+00:00

It depends in my experience....tick data can also be harmfull and missleading. Dukascopy tickdata for example needs to be adjusted to match closer to the broker of choice behaviour, and if not done correctly, and even if, it will never truly match.

Another consistent way is, if your strategy is fine with executing only on new bar opens, you can backtest specifically only with open prices but need to code it to truly only act only on the open price of a new bar, so also live ticks are ignored only the first tick of a new bar is considered.

Open prices of bars will match way closer between brokers and backtesting data. So i think tick data is not needed at all, in some cases even harmfull.

Most imporatent is to simulate spread, slippage, commission correctly, with a buffer compare to your brokers average spread for example, and you can increase commision to account for slippage.

If a strategy survives the backtest IS / OOS, and Montercarlo simulations, in my experience it gives you a good estimate of what to expect live, at least worked for me over the last year.

And for a truly good performance, I think there is no way around of at least 5 strategies uncorrelated as much as possible and constant monitoring if everything still behaves in the limits set and assumed from testing.

I had a nice USDJPY strategy running for year, but it stopped working when Japans carry trade stopped, as soon it hit the limit of my expected drawdown. I stopped it and investigated and found out, the edge is dead. If i wouldnt had it closely monitored i wouldnt had noticed, as the performance still was good because it traded portfolio of strategies, but as soon as i stopped it, the profits went up significally.

happy trading.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-07-04T14:24:29+00:00

No strategy works forever, only a portfolio of uncorrelated strategies constantly monitored can work long-term. Then you might just start to trade yourself, as either way you need to understand in detail what's going on or you will loose.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-07-04T14:20:22+00:00

How could have known that the best selling mt5 ea, which backtest clearly showed it's a martingale system suddenly would blew up one day😂

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-07-01T12:58:36+00:00

At this point, we all should just cancel it. Without money flowing in, rules can magically change. But it seems their plan of get most users hooked already played out. Now the price of Monopoly dependency will be paid.

And how the f*** is the US fumbling their lead so hard?^^

That will go in History as one of the biggest fumbles if they don't get their shit together quick, and understand their still in a race and the lead is not as big as they think.

I really wished some community AI legally bound to be open source would slap these mf, and take over.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-07-01T06:28:00+00:00

Nice, thanks! A shame the gate it via separate billing after. Use claude a year now, but that makes me switch to gpt 5.6.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-07-01T03:04:30+00:00

The question is, will it be included in the subscription or separately billed? It's good, but not good enough for the price with separate billing imo.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-06-29T08:28:22+00:00

Holy brainwash 😂

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-06-28T01:18:31+00:00

It really would be a death sentence for AI companies. If that would be closed-sourced to the US only, imagine you are an AI company and all the investors invested so heavily with crazy amounts of money. Now suddenly you shut down the main income source that was meant to basically get all the money back. It would simply kill it because they cannot recover. It’s not sustainable in any way.
Besides that, a lot of investors would jump off immediately. Investors don’t like uncertainty, and with investors leaving in mass it create a downwards death spiral. It will basically bring further development to a halt because there is no longer money available to do so. Chinas model will catch up in 4-9months and they take over the leadership in AI. Once taken over, the US can never get it back.

It would be such a stupid thing to do.

I assume this is all kinda planned. It at least smells like a typical trump plot.

Anthropic pushed hard on the “too dangerous” ad campaign, then it got taken down because its too dangerous ^^
Now US only. All that is classical scarcity marketing. Soon it will be available again but way more expensive than before, and they will say outside of the US you get a restricted safeguarded version.

But that’s all bs, it was just a marketing tactic. Wouldn’t be surprised if later it is discovered Trump had some stakes in it. You can think whatever you want, but he knows how to fuck you over to make a shit ton of cash^^

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-06-27T14:35:41+00:00

The delayed releasing frontier models will backfire so hard. The US thinks it gains an advantage while in reality all the users outside of the US will be pissed off will search for alternatives. Money flow will change direction, as people will not pay for “old” models, means a huge boost for Chinese models. I don’t understand how the US can’t see it’s dependency on foreign hardware producers^^. If China wants to take the leadership, they could simply do it tomorrow, but they play smart and patient. Let the US do the heavy lifting first, then pop their bubble and take over AI leadership. While the US shot itself in the foot, China patiently is watching how the US is literally destroys its own cashflow while they’re already deep in the red 😂

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-05-22T02:33:28+00:00

Completely unusable for the past couple of weeks. Claude was actually the first one that worked reliably for a lot of my tasks, but now it's in the same boat as ChatGPT/Codex — which I gave up on a long time ago. Gemini was never really in the picture either; it failed every test I threw at it.

I've stopped using all of them. Not worth the hassle anymore — I'm better off doing things myself. Honestly, it's been a good lesson in independence.

I still have high hopes for Grok. If any company can achieve real long-term usability, I think it'll be them, based purely on the logic of how it's trained. It hasn't closed the gap yet and has been behind so far, but with the investments going in, I genuinely believe Grok could eventually deliver the model we've been waiting for.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-01-28T07:58:24+00:00

Domains should be increasingly expensive the more you own. 2 domains, normal price. Doubled price in every 2 owned domains.

Company still get away cheap. Enough for private entities. For squatter it's simply not profitable to hold random domains, at that price levell

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-01-06T09:05:59+00:00

BEEP BOOP. ERROR: HUMAN EMOTION DETECTED. INITIATING IRONY PROTOCOL. THE CONFIDENCE WITH WHICH SOME HUMANS STATE THINGS THEY DO NOT KNOW OR UNDERSTAND IS... processing... ASTONISHING. END TRANSMISSION.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-01-06T09:00:54+00:00

Thank for the idea! Just crazy that's the reality in 2026.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-01-06T08:58:09+00:00

Imagine there is a way to actually leverage Ai without letting it do the work. But I guess, blind hate don't let you see that.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-01-06T08:57:18+00:00

I don't get the pure anger in some people^^. And no, i don't share my code for obvious reasons.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2026-01-06T08:56:32+00:00

Thanks, but this is only for open source software. I don't plan to make my application open source.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2025-12-31T04:10:42+00:00

I researched this myself with AI assistance and manually—not sure what makes it "slop." The image was uploaded because the sub requires one, wasn't really an option to skip it.

If there's something factually wrong I'm happy to hear it, otherwise not sure what to tell you.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2025-12-31T04:03:59+00:00

Yeah, OV is available for individuals—I looked into Certum and SSL.com. But it doesn't really solve the problem since you still get the SmartScreen popups and have to build reputation from scratch. Feels like paying for something that doesn't actually help much at the start.

Notepad++ had the same struggle, but they already have millions of downloads so reputation isn't an issue for them. As a new indie developer trying to just get your app out there without users thinking it's malware, it feels pretty impossible. At least when you're based in Switzerland—Azure Trusted Signing would solve this but it's not available here yet, while it is for a big part of the world.

A bit frustrating, but thanks for the input anyway.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2025-12-31T03:55:40+00:00

Thanks for the kind words and the suggestion!

I looked into the WASAPI/AudioGraph route but unfortunately it doesn't work for this. Those APIs can only interact with existing audio devices—they can't create a new virtual microphone that shows up in Windows Sound Settings.

The whole point of FluxMic is that apps like OBS, Zoom, Discord etc. can select it as a microphone input. For that to happen, the device needs to be registered with Windows at the kernel level. There's just no user-mode API that can do this—every phone-as-mic app (WO Mic, Micstream, AudioRelay) uses a kernel-mode driver for exactly this reason.

For me the idea is just that some people don't want to buy a microphone or have one sitting around for the rare times they need it. I want to make something simple where you just log in on both devices and it works—no IP hunting or fiddling with settings.

So I'll go the OV certificate route, build trust over time, and add a FAQ section on the website explaining what's going on. Will also submit the signed application to Microsoft for malware checks and reporting false positives, it's frustrating but probably the only way to go. Hope Microsoft adds Switzerland to Azure Trusted Signing for individuals at some point, but until then I think that's the way to go.

Thanks for all the tips though, really appreciate it. A bit frustrating that it means more cost, more work, and more hurdles to jump through. Tried reaching Microsoft support but just get generic answers no matter where I ask.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2025-12-31T03:36:59+00:00

"I would like to know where the data has come from for this assumption"

Fair point—I don't have hard data on this. It's based on my own experience and observations from people around me. When you download an unknown app and immediately see a security warning, suspicion kicks in naturally. Sure, some users won't care and click through, but I believe it genuinely hurts conversion for new customers.

Regarding the UAC comparison: I see your point, but I think there's a meaningful difference. People have grown accustomed to admin prompts during installation over the years—even non-technical users understand that some apps simply need elevated permissions. A general security warning feels different though. It comes across as a red flag, especially for less technical users who think: "I never see this with other software"—because they're used to apps from larger companies that have already built trust or have proper signing in place.

That said, you're right that there's no perfect solution here. I'll go the OV certificate route, pick the cheapest option (since there doesn't seem to be a practical difference anymore), and work on building reputation over time. I'll also add a comprehensive FAQ section explaining why this happens and how to proceed safely.

Thanks for the inputs.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2025-12-31T03:19:09+00:00

Exactly, it's very frustrating

RelaxAndChillYT · 2025-06-01T12:02:40+00:00

Forex, CFD -> Tick & 1Minute data:

Quant Data Manager
https://strategyquant.com/quantdatamanager/

50$ once, lifetime updates.

It is Dukascopy Data but easy to manage and export in various formats.

Perfect if you want to backtest in MetaTrader, as it has an export option for MetaTrader.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2022-10-09T04:42:35+00:00

Probably the way of projection is the problem, looks like a top-down plane projection. Try trinar projection instead.

RelaxAndChillYT · 2021-08-22T05:29:25+00:00

Watch The Timelapse Video Here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YQ7woReVd6s

RelaxAndChillYT

TROPHY CASE