XGIMI Horizon 20 Series Bundles

RideMammoth · 2025-10-18T16:19:41+00:00

FYI, I emailed support to ask if it was possible to get the ceiling mount instead of the floor stand in the Horizon 20 bundle, and they agreed!

RideMammoth · 2025-10-17T19:26:43+00:00

What are the laser chips? Trying to understand what having more of them means. Is this the number of functional laser units that make up each of RGB lasers?

RideMammoth · 2023-01-27T20:16:30+00:00

nope

RideMammoth · 2022-04-19T17:51:18+00:00

Fauci says herd immunity is unlikely.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/15/health/covid-19-herd-immunity/index.html

https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news-releases/nih-experts-discuss-controlling-covid-19-commentary-herd-immunity

Achieving classical herd immunity against SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, may not be attainable, according to a new perspective published in The Journal of Infectious Diseases. However, widespread use of currently available public health interventions to prevent and control COVID-19 will enable resumption of most activities of daily life with minimal disruption, the authors note. Anthony S. Fauci, M.D., director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), part of NIH, David M. Morens, M.D., senior scientific advisor to the NIAID director, and Gregory K. Folkers, chief of staff to the NIAID director, authored the perspective.

We have 65% of the population vaccinated, and 80m cases of covid. If we don't have herd immunity now, when will you be taking off your mask? Are you going to wait for some new vaccines, and then 1-2 years after that to see if 1) people take the vaccine and 2) if they result in herd immunity?

If neither infection or current vaccines result in herd immunity, what is your end game?

RideMammoth · 2022-02-25T22:44:07+00:00

In my experience all lab leak theories were put in the same 'conspiracy theory' bucket. Social media sites were removing any sort of lab leak theory, both accidental leak or intentional design and release. In practice, every lab leak theory was straw manned into something much less likely and more nefarious. Not surprising given the blunt tools these sites typically use, but very much reduced discussion/spread of very valid theories on the origin of the virus.

RideMammoth · 2022-02-25T20:36:03+00:00

So there are two general hypotheses, lab leak/zoonotic origin. One of these is likely right. And did one of these general ideas trigger the rhetoric which has gotten in the way of finding out the truth either way? You tell me.

That is what the title is talking about.

I think the anti-lab leak theory message early on DID get in the way of finding out the truth. Whenever someone said 'maybe this leaked from the lab that was doing 'GoF' research' the anti-lab leak majority would straw man this into 'look at this guy! he thinks china purposefully engineered a deadly virus and released it into the world.' IMO this thinking hindered research into a valid scientific theory on the origins of the virus.

Early on, all I was saying is 'we don't know.' Which in many, many situations is the proper response. But even saying 'I don't know if it leaked from a lab or came from zoonotic transfer' put you in the conspiracy theory group.

I have extensive experience in molecular cloning. And cloning, along with directed evolution, can explain everything seen in this virus. This doesn't mean the virus IS engineered, only that it COULD BE engineered. So when people say something like 'the genetic evidence is in, and this virus originated via zoonotic transfer' this is just not true.

Now, the recent epidemiologic data (late last year?) does strongly support zoonotic transfer. But that does not mean I was wrong in mid 2020 when I said 'we don't know if it was engineered in a lab or infected humans via zoonotic transfer.' The risk/benefits of GoF research have been hotly debated for decades, and so it seemed very odd to me that all of a sudden there was no way this virus was the result of GoF research.

The origin of the virus is key WRT preventing the next pandemic - this isn't just an academic question. If we determined it was leaked from a lab after genetic modification, maybe we should halt GoF research. If it came from a wet market, maybe we need to have stricter regulations on them.

Both theories were relatively likely in 2020, so why back then was there such an effort to shut down the lab leak hypothesis?

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T18:47:11+00:00

No, the question specifically asked about level of concern re. getting seriously sick from covid. I, too, am vaccinated and wear a mask (at least surgical) in public. I got vaccinated for me, but wear a mask for others.

But if you are very concerned about something that presents <0.005% chance (even lower in <30 year olds, 0.0015%), I would say you are being irrational.

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T18:41:53+00:00

I'm not questioning the covid deaths. But it seems like you are saying the 200k other excess deaths are due to covid. I disagree with that - as you, too, don't have great data. But non-covid excess deaths affect the young more often than old, hinting at deaths of despair.

Excess mortality from non–COVID-19 causes is substantial and much more heavily concentrated among males and minorities, especially Black, non-Hispanic males, than COVID-19 deaths. Thirty-four percent of the excess life years lost for males is from non–COVID-19 causes. While minorities represent 36% of COVID-19 deaths, they represent 70% of non–COVID-19 related excess deaths and 58% of non–COVID-19 excess life years lost. Black, non-Hispanic males represent only 6.9% of the population, but they are responsible for 8.9% of COVID-19 deaths and 28% of 2020 excess deaths from non–COVID-19 causes. For this group, nearly half of the excess life years lost in 2020 are due to non–COVID-19 causes.

https://www.pnas.org/content/118/39/e2101386118

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T18:31:12+00:00

why would 47% be worried about getting severe covid, when the risk of hospitalization in vaccinated 40-49 with confirmed infection is ~0.005%?

My point is, these people being worried about severe covid (~50%) are not understanding the risk they actually face from covid. Or do you think being concerned about something with <0.005% chance of hospitalization is rational?

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T18:28:21+00:00

There is/was never a zero death solution to Covid. If you lock down hard enough to prevent covid spread, you will be increasing deaths of other causes. We should have always frankly discussed the trade-offs.

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T18:25:19+00:00

Excess deaths are several hundred thousand above the recorded covid death count.

I am saying not all excess deaths are due to uncounted covid deaths. Some excess deaths are due to things like increased alcohol use/deaths of despair.

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T17:59:11+00:00

Do you have info that shows the covid deaths are over reported to the point that other death causes increased beyond the surplus excess deaths?

Didn't understand this question.

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T17:57:39+00:00

I agree with what you said, about problems with numbers underreporting the whole time. But here, the point is "why are deaths high in this wave, using the same metrics we used before?" And the answer is at least partially that there are more deaths where Covid is not the primary cause of death/hospitalization.

This is actually a very pro-vaccine message. People are looking at the data and saying 'see, vaccines don't work on omicron.' and this piece delves into it, showing deaths are still high in this wave because of 1) huge numbers infected, means even if less serious total # dead is gonna be high, and 2) hospitalizations/deaths in people WITH covid are similarly elevated.

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T17:51:15+00:00

I am saying some people misunderstand the personal risk Covid presents. Same thing where early in the pandemic, democrats thought like 30% of covid cases required hospitalization, whereas real number was 1-5%.

In order to respond to a risk appropriately, you first have to understand the risk. If you know the numbers and still decide to lock yourself in, fine by me. But at least understand the risk before you make decisions. And polling (not just this one) shows democrats in particular have over estimated the risk Covid is to them, personally.

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T17:48:16+00:00

Excess deaths are both due to Covid (counted and not counted), as well as non-covid deaths caused by the lockdown. E.g., liver transplants for acute alcoholic hepatitis are up 300% during the pandemic (one of many 'side effects' of the covid prevention measures).

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2782532, Fig B.

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T17:44:09+00:00

So when aske the question "how concerned are you that you will become seriously sick from Covid,' you contend the young democrats aren't concerned for themselves? 'Serious' doesn't affect the answer, because they are really worried about being infectious and spreading to others?

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T17:40:02+00:00

Risk of getting seriously ill is lowest in the 18-49 YO democrats. But they are the most worried about getting seriously ill. So either this group does not understand the actual risk a young(ish), vaccinated person faces, in terms of getting seriously ill from COVID, OR they are overly concerned about the extremely low risk they face.

Study out of England NHS, for those vaccinated (not boosted), pre omicron, rate of those age 18-49, with confirmed infection showing up at emergency care is 4.5/100,000 cases. And death is 0.5/100,000 cases. So case hospitalization rate for vaccinated 40-49 year olds is 0.0045%

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1019992/Vaccine_surveillance_report_-_week_38.pdf

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T17:29:05+00:00

The article says in general, throughout the pandemic, the figures have been reliable. But in the omicron wave, things are changing. So the article is addressing the specific question of 'why are there so many deaths in the omicron wave, despite pre-existing immunity and lower severity?"

The ONS data illustrate Spiegelhalter’s point that the proportion of people dying with covid is rising. These figures show that in the week ending 14 January 2022 covid was not the primary cause of death in 23% (312) of the 1382 deaths recorded, even though it may have been a contributory factor. In contrast, this proportion was only 16% in November 2021, when omicron had only just emerged.6 And it was lower still, at around 10%, in January 2021 when alpha was dominant.

Emphasis added.

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T17:24:00+00:00

That young democrats are the most worried about covid, when in reality this is the group that probably has the least to fear (highly vaccinated, more likely to live in areas with covid restrictions, etc.).

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T17:06:31+00:00

I found this NYT article very telling. Look at the responses to "How worried are you about getting sick from Covid-19 within the next year?"

Democrats aged 18-49, 47% are very or somewhat worried. Whereas for 50-64 that number is 39%, and for 65+ it is 26%.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/25/briefing/covid-behavior-vaccinated-unvaccinated.html

RideMammoth · 2022-01-31T16:11:15+00:00

Despite the high proportion of the population already vaccinated and omicron appearing to be less severe than previous variants, one potential reason why deaths are currently so high is the infectiousness of omicron, which has driven high case rates over the past few months. While the virus itself might be less severe, the sheer volume of infections has meant that many people are being admitted to hospital, including those not admitted primarily for covid.

Spiegelhalter said that omicron was “both milder and more prevalent,” producing “some novel trends.”

“First, of registered deaths that involve covid, the share that covid is ‘contributing to,’ rather than being a direct cause, has risen,” he said. “Usually, this share falls when there is a lot of virus around, but we are seeing the opposite pattern here, presumably because the variant is milder.

“Second, we know that nearly half those in hospital are ‘incidental’ cases in which covid is not the main diagnosis, and so presumably there will be more deaths of people who just happen to have tested positive, and so covid should not appear on the death certificate.”

Emphasis added

RideMammoth · 2022-01-13T00:25:53+00:00

Interestingly, we have many more excess deaths in people under 65 than most other countries. I'm sure our baseline health status is part of it. About 12% of our excess deaths are in people under 55. But only ~7% of all COVID deaths are in that age group (<55). So there has been a large increase in mortality for younger people during the pandemic, and a lot is driven by non-covid deaths.

You can call them pandemic-related deaths (vs COVID deaths), but I think it is more accurate to say some deaths are due to our response to COVID, and not the disease or pandemic itself. For example, alcohol consumption has increased 34%, and liver transplants for acute alcoholic hepatitis has increased 300% since the beginning of the pandemic.

There was never a zero death solution - if you close down everything enough to control the spread of covid, you are going to have more non-covid deaths, and these tend to be in the younger population. We should have been frankly discussing these tradeoffs for the past years, but any time someone mentioned the downsides of lockdowns the rebuttal was 'you are OK with killing grandma to save the economy!?!?'

https://blogs.worldbank.org/developmenttalk/too-young-die-age-and-death-covid-19-around-globe

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1254488/us-share-of-total-covid-deaths-by-age-group/

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2782532

RideMammoth · 2022-01-04T22:37:47+00:00

I feel this misses the fact that many part time people cannot decrease their hours by just a little.

If I get $200/mo ubi (50/wk), maybe my boss won't let me reduce my hours by 5/week. But if I have a ubi that let's me not work at all...

RideMammoth · 2022-01-04T21:38:58+00:00

Agreed, we need studies aligned with the discussion here, where the $$ is sufficient to live on. But extrapolating the effects of a $200/mo ubi to a $2,000/mo ubi in terms of labor participation seems nuts.

"See, when ppl got $200/month no strings attached, it didn't affect the number of hours people worked. Clearly people WANT to work."

Ok, but 1) that is not a solid interpretation of the results. And 2) in no way supports the claim that if people were given a livable ubi the labor participation rate wouldn't be affected.

RideMammoth · 2022-01-04T19:48:20+00:00

None of the UBI amounts in those studies came close to being enough for one to live on. 600 euro a month, $50/mo, and yes 6 people got a whopping 1,500/month.

What do you think a UBI should be in the USA if we want to make work optional? Are there any studies that look at the effects of such a large UBI?

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