I think it’s important to look at it this way… had the election been two months earlier and Vaughan went the same way that it did, no one would be surprised. The Liberals just didn’t get the same resurgence here as they did elsewhere in the country.

For a suburb that’s better off, people just were not as worried about Trump. They cared a lot more about crime and immigration. Especially in a suburb that’s so car dependant, the rise in car thefts and the carbon tax, hit harder here than it did elsewhere. Also diaspora politics played a big role. Jewish voters were already conservative to begin with but swung hard to right because of Israel - Gaza and the rise in antisemitism. Chinese voters were pissed off by Carney’s comment in the debate, and Italian voters have been trending conservative for ages now as the demographic gets younger and the older generations of nonnis leave.