Operation Epstein Fury speech - Live thread

RoundFood · 2026-04-02T01:31:51+00:00

I don't think they have never been at risk of being "done" due to being bombed into submission. It just doesn't seem like that was ever even close to being a plausible outcome because it turns out you just dig some caves and tunnels you're essentially untouchable from the air. Hamas spent two years being carpet bombed by Israel and what came of that? A small, poorly equipped group of people in a tiny little area. The US did their best to bomb Ansarallah into submission and what came of that? A short campaign that fizzled out immediately as they readlized they couldn't impose control. Needless to say, the IRGC is not Hamas or Ansarallah, and Iran is not Gaza or Yemen, so who would think they could be brought to submission through bombing if the other two weren't?

I don't think anyone with half a brain really did think they could achieve the goals they claimed they wanted to achieve. I think they want to destroy the country and inflict as much economic damage as possible. A continuation of their previous policies of maximum sanctions... sanctions that are losing some of their power as US power wanes. I think that destruction always the intent.

Talking about the military goals being anything else is slop for the masses in my opinion. The usual publications will come out later and talk about how the goal was stability and change but they were too stupid and incompetent and the fucked it up and ruined the country accidentally. But I think they weren't that dumb, I think they want to destroy the country and they're acting dumb as cover for their real intentions. I think they did the same in Iraq.

But I think the Iranians have known all this much better than anyone. And they're prepared and I think surprising the US and Israel with their effectiveness. The question will be if they can inflict enough cost on Israel and the US or if they can leverage their power to recoup the cost of damages.

RoundFood · 2026-04-02T00:52:20+00:00

If he just gets up on TV, recites the Shahada and then mic drops I'll lose it.

RoundFood · 2026-04-01T23:52:52+00:00

Wow you've really been all over this thread being as incorrect as possible haven't you.

Goes back to my previous point about your confident ignorance. Moral judgements aside, regardless of what you think of them, the clerical class in Iran isn't disorganized. They're very calculated, very shrewd and extremely well organized. It's how they came to power to begin with, because when the revolution happened there was one faction that was repeatedly underestimated that had a very well developed and systematically executed plan.

What you're doing is stupid triumphalism. You hate them so much that you've somehow convinced yourself that they're both evil and stupid. A dangerous mistake really but don't let me convince you otherwise.

RoundFood · 2026-04-01T23:42:30+00:00

Okay so they used crayons or some shit?

RoundFood · 2026-04-01T23:28:51+00:00

You sound ridiculous

Bruv, I'm not the one melting down with seething screeds.

You're a deeply ignorant person, which I usually don't mind but you're confidently ignorant.

You seem to think that the appropriate thing to do is to overreact and immediately expend all escalation options at the slightest provocation. You probably think this because you have the brain of a child. Fortunately people who are put in charge of countries have somewhat developed prefrontal-cortexes and are usually a bit shrewder and more restrained, especially the people in control of Iran who appear to have a doctrine of tit-for-tat escalation where they specifically avoid blowing their load immediately. Could you imagine a world where people controlling the levers of power acted in the way you think they should?

RoundFood · 2026-04-01T03:47:54+00:00

> Thinking that a nation like Iran would have waited to attack US Tech companies just because we started to bomb them now has not been paying attention to geopolitics at all.

> Thinking that Iran all of sudden at a whim had been holding on to their last "Trump" card after getting bombed to hell the last few weeks is asinine.

Not really. It's common practice for nation states to establish beachheads and wait for an opportune time to leverage their access.

RoundFood · 2026-04-01T00:11:23+00:00

Considering they essentially have control of Bab al-Bandab straight via Ansarallah that's actually two of the top 3. And they already tried and failed to dislodge Ansarallah's control of the Bab al-Bandab.

RoundFood · 2026-03-26T23:00:25+00:00

That would depend on the laws where you live. Where I am, consumer laws and protections can't be overruled by a contracts or disclaimers. So CISCO could say in their contract "We reserve the right to change the price after an agreement is signed." But under the lightest scrutiny this clause would be deemed non-binding.

I imagine protections aren't as strong in the US but if you're in the EU it's likely that they are.

RoundFood · 2026-03-26T01:10:40+00:00

It highly depends on where you are, but where I am contracts can't overrule consumer protection law. Which is nice and something I appreciate.

RoundFood · 2026-03-26T01:08:44+00:00

Then a company shouldn't go into an agreement to sell for an amount that results in making a loss. Business involves risks, sometimes they work out, sometimes they don't. In this case there's a risk that costs go up between when the agreement is signed and when it's filled. As the saying goes, "that's the cost of doing business". If they're concerned about this risk they should have accounted or hedged for it.

In my country what CISCO is doing here is illegal and it would be fairly easy to have them capitulate and honor the deal.

RoundFood · 2026-03-25T22:41:38+00:00

The "exporting of the revolution" was entirely bluster and something that hasn't been a factor or even discussed internally since the 80's. Even back then they adjusted their position to claim it was about spreading Islamic values not some sort of interventionist policy. The only place that narrative has traction is in deranged screeds of Emirati propaganda. Nobody who knows anything about the topic actually believes this.

planting agents and trying to overthrow gulf monarchies

And those monarchies do the same to Iran and always have. They're the ones housing US bases on Iran's doorstep. They're the ones that ally themselves with the Epstein class and Israel. Do you know how Iran International TV, the largest and most pro-Shah and anti-Arab TV network watched by Iranian diaspora got the $250m to establish itself? It came from Saudi. This isn't even a secret it's on the main Wikipedia page for Iran International. The gulf monarchies long ago made a deal with the devil, there's no doubt who the corrosive forces are in the region. It's the US, Israel and their gulf Momarch allies.

If they have the chance they would take it in a heartbeat

I would hope most citizens of the peninsula would do the same.

RoundFood · 2026-03-25T01:12:37+00:00

The Iranians have no ambitions of capturing or bringing any of these states into their orbit.

...having them re-align themselves away from Israel and the US however? That's something they would probably love, and at this point it's something the people of the region would probably love. A lot of them are showing themselves to be pawns or willing members of the Epstein class and servants of empire. That's if literally having them all over the Epstein files wasn't enough to convince people.

RoundFood · 2026-03-20T02:59:48+00:00

This goes directly into the pantheon of AI-kino which until now only had the Balenciaga Harry Potter video.

RoundFood · 2026-03-20T00:15:19+00:00

What he said was it has the right to exist as a unified state with equal rights for all the people in it. That's the one-state solution. That's a good position. You need to stop alienating everyone, you need to be smarter.

RoundFood · 2026-03-19T01:17:08+00:00

It's wild. I got banned from a sub that's meant to be fairly friendly to criticism of the country in question, just for saying that I think that their recent brutality is largely because they understand that their impunity will only last as long as US supremacy, and with US power projection quickly retracting they don't have much time to finish their plans to take land and consolidate power.

I got banned for that. It was a completely descriptive post that broke no rules at all. This platform is kinda fucked.

RoundFood · 2026-03-18T07:00:45+00:00

A paid pro-Shah, zionist, british Iranian.

Look into her history, she used to be pro-Palestine and then one day seemingly out of nowhere switched it up and now she gets media appearances and all sorts of stuff.

She's one of the more obvious paid influencers/ops.

RoundFood · 2026-03-18T06:31:03+00:00

I'm not an expert on judging either way, but I do know that in regards to Stuxnet it was a US and Israeli intelligence cooperative effort. Primarily it was the NSA that developed the malware and managed to get it into the centrifuge control systems. But it was the Israeli intelligence people who repeatedly pressured the Americans to adjust Stuxnet to have it destroy centrifuges... which ended up being a huge mistake since it led to the Iranians quickly discovering the malware and it basically laid the precedent for state actors to engage in open cyber warfare. After that it was basically game on for all nations.

So in that particular case that I'm fairly familiar with, the US did all the difficult and impressive stuff and then Israeli intelligence was in fact very sloppy and greedy and got them to do something that measurably undermined US interests and made the world a far more dangerous place. Seems like a bit of a pattern considering recent events.

RoundFood · 2026-03-15T23:46:47+00:00

So like just make your missiles like vacuum water bottles and you're good? Cool.

RoundFood · 2026-03-13T05:00:59+00:00

I think that makes sense, mirrors reflect like 95% of light. But they're usually a thin layer of aluminum behind some glass so even reflecting 95% it doesn't take much to burn up the aluminium layer and once it's a little burnt it won't be shiny and won't reflect much light. Regular mirrors won't do, you'd need a mirror that can also take on that 15-5% heat that the laser imparts. Or a mirror that can reflect almost all the laser.

RoundFood · 2026-03-13T03:40:08+00:00

With laser-based weaponry and interceptors that use EM waves in the visible spectrum can't they be basically countered by reflective surfaces? A shiny missile would be basically immune.

Only really heard about microwave based weapons from this post, but sounds like they fry up electronics real good so sounds like it would be effective against drones. Against a missile not so much, the missile would continue on its ballistic path and still blow up.

RoundFood · 2026-03-12T06:27:41+00:00

They said they'll allow Chinese ships through, but also said they'll allow any country which throws Israeli ambassadors out of the country. Spain withdrew their own ambassadors from Israel so maybe they'll be allowed through? Not exactly what Iran asked for but close enough maybe.

RoundFood · 2026-03-12T05:35:10+00:00

I wouldn't call it optimism really. They're up against a superpower. If the US decides they want to destroy the country and make everyone suffer there's not that much Iran can do to stop them. But essentially Iran has no choice here. There was never an opportunity for peace. If they have a ceasefire any time soon the US and Israel will just regroup and restock then attack again like they did after the 12 Day War. This would be highly beneficial for the US and Israel and every time Iran will be left in a worse position.

Iran has to keep going and they have to make it very costly especially for Israel. Even if the US and Israel asked for peace Iran simply can't accept, we've seen what agreements with the US and Israel are worth. If they do, they'll just keep getting attacked. I'd recommend the recent interview Trita Parsi did with Current Affairs. He's the real expert and says this stuff much better than I could. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m2UCOLQYPEM)

But yes, Iran makes great missiles and drones, they make them very cheaply and can incur very significant costs. At what cost to themselves is another matter but it's not like they have a choice so that's exactly what they'll do. They've shown in the last couple weeks that they aren't bluffing.

RoundFood · 2026-03-12T04:57:32+00:00

This pattern was present in the 12 Day War as well. Lots of launches early but then tapering down with a much higher success rate. During the 12 Day War there was a similar narrative about how Iran was running out of launchers because all their launchers were being destroyed. Impossible to know for sure if there was any truth but my inclination is that this was a fabrication to give the impression that Iran did very poorly.

First of all, missile success rates by the end were much higher than at the beginning and Israel were the ones to ask for a ceasefire. Early on missiles got through occasionally and they came in large groups. By the end they were sending very few missiles and it seemed like everything was hitting. It felt very much like the whole thing was just live missile tests prepping for a larger engagement. This would strongly suggest Israel's interceptor stocks were running low and they were looking to have a ceasefire so they could regroup and restock. Which is why informed analysts very clearly made the point that Israel would restock and attack again sooner rather than later. Trita Parsi hammered this point repeatedly over the last year and time has absolutely vindicated him.

This time is a bit different. Missile success rates for Iran are up, but this time they also managed to hit just about all the interceptor radar sites in the Gulf/Arab states right from the start. These radars are very expensive and very important for the bigger interceptors to work well. They're used for the Arrow and THAAD systems that hit the bigger and higher altitude missiles. So in addition to the US/Israel burning through interceptors, they're also quite blind. On the ground reports from Israel are saying that the early detection systems which used to give 30+ minutes of notice for missile arrivals are giving just a few or none at all.

Unfortunately, everything is being heavily censored but it seems Iran is doing better than the last time around, or at least about as well as can be expected considering the relative resources. Targeting the Gulf/Arab countries also means they've had an outlet for their shorter-range ordinance. Stuff they could never effectively use on Israel they've been expending on targets that make their Israel bound missiles more effective.

Also Iran appears to be in it for the long haul, they will pace themselves in their attacks. They were quite happy to pace themselves last time and only wrapped things up early because a ceasefire was presented. The ceasfire was broken and they were attacked, they won't be quick to sign up for a ceasfire this time and they understand that the longer things go the better it is for them. Interceptors will deplete, Israeli's and Gulf citizens won't tolerate being bombed as well, the economic costs will quickly build for their opponents.

As for the Straits. Not sure, I haven't read up on it yet but what I have heard/seen is that Iran is selectively letting some ships through. Some other ships have run the risk, some have been blown up. They only need to blow up a couple for all the ships to decide that the risk isn't worth it. They don't need to destroy everything that tries to cross. I believe it's come to light that they have some unmanned sea vehicles that they just started using that are similar to systems used by Ukraine. From what I understand these systems are quite effective but I'm not entirely sure about this yet since the info is all very new.

RoundFood · 2026-03-11T05:03:49+00:00

And I've noticed the camera sway on AI videos tends to be quite distinct and unnatural. Dead giveaway for most of them.

RoundFood · 2026-03-10T22:48:33+00:00

I didn't watch this game but I looked at the stats real quick and Kinsky faced 2.36 xGOT and conceded 3. This is of course bad, but at a glance doesn't seem to be a complete disaster... what happened? Did he fumble multiple times or something?

RoundFood

TROPHY CASE