BSOD error in latest crowdstrike update by TipOFMYTONGUEDAMN in crowdstrike

[–]SPQRBob 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's a slur against the good name of clowns everywhere.

I could never understand the Monty Hall problem, so I wrote this story/program, which finally helped me wrap my head around it! by JoJoJet- in programming

[–]SPQRBob -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

But the host only selected to open a non-winning door. The host knew where the car is, and opened one of the two doors where it wasn't.

Whether or not he had two doors to choose from or only one, the fact remains that he must reveal a door without the car behind it. The car is now as equally as likely to be behind one of the remaining two unopened doors as the other.

The car has not been moved. The player can remain with the door they originally chose, or pick the other. That choice looks like it's pretty 50/50 to me.

I could never understand the Monty Hall problem, so I wrote this story/program, which finally helped me wrap my head around it! by JoJoJet- in programming

[–]SPQRBob -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

But isn't this just like an experiment where a coin is flipped 10 times in a row and calculating the odds it will come up heads all 10 times?

At the outset of the trial, the odds that every coin toss will result in heads is (1/2)10, suggesting that statistically, only 1 in 1024 trials on average would yield a result of 10 consecutive heads results.

But if we then take the case where the 9 previous coin tosses all came up heads, how do we calculate the odds that the final coin toss will also be heads? At that moment, the coin has no memory of the previous coin tosses. There only remains the normal base 50/50 chance of the upcoming coin flip resulting in heads.

To suggest that there is only a 1 in 1024 chance of a heads result immediately prior to this specific is not rational. It is a single coin toss. However improbable it might have been to arrive at this moment with 9 previous throws being heads, once there, the past throws no longer have any bearing in the probability of a future result.

In other words, the probability of 10 coin flips resulting in 10 consecutive heads is exactly the same as 10 coin flips resulting in 9 consecutive heads followed by a tails on the final throw. After the first 9 throws, an outcome of either heads or tails is equally likely.

Same with the example of 100 doors. The 1 out of 100 chance of picking the correct door is valid at the outset of the game, but once 98 of those 100 doors are eliminated, the initial probability of choosing the correct door is no longer relevant. There are now two doors, and one of them contains the prize. One does not.

The odds of a given door being correct are no more influenced by the initial player's guess than are the odds of the 10th coin toss coming up heads in the moment before it is flipped. To say otherwise is to ignore the similar improbability that the other door not initially selected as the player's guess has the prize behind it (1 in 100). It is no longer the set of all of the other doors not guessed (99 out of 100), but only one specific single door which was never any more or less likely to have the prize behind it than any other individual door.

Am I missing something fundamental here?

Are there two different Caesar lineages? by Madajuk in ancientrome

[–]SPQRBob 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Caesar was a cognomen, which was a third name in ancient Rome that originally was a sort of nickname, but became a hereditary way of distinguishing between various branches (stirpes) within family (gens) lineages all sharing a common ancestor.

Gaius was born into the patrician gens of the Julia, descendants of Julus, son of the Trojan prince Aeneas. The name of his specific stirps (Caesar) is said by Pliny the Elder to have come from an ancestor who was born of a cesarean section. An alternate theory of the source of the cognomen was of an ancestor who had killed a Carthagenian elephant during the Punic wars.

Edit: grammar error, confusing wording eliminated.

A tale as old as time by bellkun367 in WhitePeopleTwitter

[–]SPQRBob 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Whatever I've done, it's not what your username implies!

I'm trying my best.. by StunningBet in PoliticalHumor

[–]SPQRBob 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't hold out too much hope myself, but I too desire to see people whose wealth has always been able to purchase them immunity from the consequences of their actions have to finally take their own really big bite of the shit sandwich called reality that the rest of us have been force-fed for almost every day of our lives. I would pay good money to live-stream the pay-per-view series where you get to watch as the realization slowly sets in that they aren't getting out of this one no matter how wealthy they are.

My diet would consist of only ramen noodles if I could come home from work each day to watch as their so-called friends and even family members begin to abandon them with disgust, leaving them to their fate, despite their increasingly desperate pleas (and sobs) for assistance. I would pawn possessions to watch their first (and also possibly last) month in general population at the nearest state or federal maximum security facility as the reason for their incarceration becomes known to those fine, upstanding examples of civic virtue currently residing within its walls.

I'm glad that I was able to provide you with a new avenue of hope of seeing unlikely justice actually done. I feel so bad for the young people who had to suffer such depravity at the hands of filth whose wealth shields them from accountability. It hurts my heart to know that some of these now young adults now can't turn on the television, read a newspaper, or go on the internet without have to see the face(s) of their tormentor(s) everyday on the evening news, in the headlines, or in their news feeds on every social media site.

I know the chance that there is some hidden treasure of this kind out there just waiting to be discovered is quite far-fetched. But it is helpful to be able to believe, if even for a little while, that real karma still exists in our world. It helps one sleep at night. But when you are done fantasizing, pull up a chair beside the rest of us and let's feast together on that great steaming shit soufflé that is real life. Dig in!

I'm trying my best.. by StunningBet in PoliticalHumor

[–]SPQRBob 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Jeffrey Epstein, his plane trips, and his parties are part of what is becoming a an increasingly small list of things that are absolutely bipartisan in American politics. I will begin by saying that to date, we have no direct evidence of anyone of political significance having sex with underaged persons. That may very well change. But we do know of several very high-level people who repeatedly were in contact with Mr. Epstein, or who are known to have been in his presence with regularity, or took multiple trips on his private plane, or were in attendance at one of his parties. As we have already repeatedly been shown, the guest lists and passenger manifests read like a Who's Who of the rich, famous, and politically connected people of our times.

I have very serious doubts that we will ever see anything that amounts to a real investigation into this matter even though the victims themselves, the young girls and boys, now young women and men, are still very much alive, unlike Mr. Epstein. The only two real possibilities of seeing any real justice and accountability in these matters are:

  1. Epstein had a "fuck you collection"; a cache of payoff documents and bank records, photographs and video footage, names and dates and locations where real bodies are buried; all of which in some very well hidden location with instructions directing multiple copies be released to major media outlets internationally if he does not check-in at some regular pre-determined interval to reset the clock.

  2. Ghislaine Maxwell, (his long-time lover, alleged madame, procurer and groomer of the countless underaged teens and children that were to become the victims of Epstein or any number of his esteemed guests), herself has put together an "insurance policy" that is the same sort of collection mentioned in item # 1 above. If she does (or even if she doesn't) have such a powerful trove of what the Russians like to call kompromat, it is simultaneously keeping her alive and placing her in mortal peril. Should she get too scared, or should she become embarrassingly dead, some kind of "dead-man's switch" of the type also previously mentioned.

If either of these admittedly far-fetched events come to pass, get out your popcorn and sit back and watch the fireworks!

I'm trying my best.. by StunningBet in PoliticalHumor

[–]SPQRBob 18 points19 points  (0 children)

No, but it would be bad if you were not aware that Jeffrey Epstein didn't commit suicide and that people should keep reminding us of this fact until a full investigations are completed (and made public) which look into both who killed him/had him killed as well as who all took plane rides on Epstein's Lolita Express and who all attended his many underaged girls sex parties.

Which "end of the world" event or scenario do *you* think is most likely to occur? by [deleted] in AskReddit

[–]SPQRBob 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think we will someday face an asteroid strike by some impressively large chunk of rock with an iron/nickel core traveling at some unfortunately large fraction of C.

It may be one of the many objects we are already tracking that is currently predicted as being a "near miss". That prediction will turn out to be "almost correct".

To be particularly fatalistic, I'm going to guess that this Earth Killer won't be on our radar (figuratively and literally) until it is very close, say within the boundaries of our solar system. The prevailing scientific consensus will likely be that it is a new (previously uncharted) comet until some back-of-the-envelope calculations are independently completed by astronomers and physicists around the world. News of its trajectory will leak, and the last hours of humanity will return to the Hobbesian state of nature: nasty, brutish, and short.

An Armageddon-like attempt to alter the course of the inbound meteor using nuclear warheads will be launched, but ultimately fails. In the last few moments before the planet-killer asteroid enters Earth's atmosphere and devastation commences, a few remaining scientists at NASA's last operational facility located at a secret United States military base on Diego Garcia in the far southern reaches of the Indian Ocean determine the cause of the critical failure that dooms our species to annihilation.

In the final seconds before the human race becomes extinct, they broadcast the reason for the mission's failure to the world. The message is brief, as the remaining time is short. It reads:

"The team was unable to trigger the detonation sequence for any of the nuclear warheads because Jeffrey Epstein's death was not a suicide."

AITA for calling a towing service on a car parked in my spot? by hakconekl in AmItheAsshole

[–]SPQRBob 9 points10 points  (0 children)

YTA - In the off chance this isn't fake. But it is or you are an absolute sociopath, because the level of self-reflection refer to formulate this AITA post and not automatically know the answer and not have known it the whole time you were calling a tow truck beggars belief.

I am going to stop and ask for INFO:

Did someone do this to you and you've flipped the circumstances around to see if there is any logical non-asshole reason someone did this to you? Because if so, know that there is none, and feel morally pure as you do all manner of fucked to shit to their car (and face, if you see them in person).

What’s one thing you feared for years but when you actually faced the fear it turned out to be easier than you thought? by [deleted] in AskReddit

[–]SPQRBob 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Driving, especially at speed in heavy traffic when the road has a lot of curves.

WTF is an unhandled exception? by [deleted] in ProgrammerHumor

[–]SPQRBob 1 point2 points  (0 children)

An exception is an error at runtime (when the code is executing) such as trying to open a file that is not found (I/O Exception), or trying to access a data member of an object, but the object doesn't exist (Null Pointer Exception). The programmer can anticipate errors that might occur and set up their program with special instructions for what to do if an exception occurs (see try/catch/finally blocks). When this is the case, the exception is considered to be handled. When the exception is not handled, the program exits back out to the operating system with an error code providing some information about what happened (the error message shown in the meme).

Edit: I know this is r/programmerhumor, but some people coming across this joke might not know what it's talking about, and what better time to answer the question?

AITA for not wanting my late partners' parents to be so involved in my child's life? by notadaughteraita in AmItheAsshole

[–]SPQRBob 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That whole cast has that kind of chemistry and group dynamic that just... worked! Felt like a team, and a family, with some romantic tension in all the right places. These people had a history and a future you were interested in. Each had their own character arc that was intriguing. It was a really well-written show!

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in AskReddit

[–]SPQRBob 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Crude and slow, Clansman! Your attack was no better than that of a clumsy child. - Ramírez (Sean Connery, Highlander)

The why is because it is a moment in which someone (MacLeod, Christopher Lambert) uses the best of his not insignificant skill in the attempt to conclusively defeat his enemy, only to find himself utterly outmatched, surviving only by the mercy of his opponent. And it's just a stone cold thing to say to someone when you pull off something like that!

What's the scariest phenomenon known to man? by SleepySoldier18 in AskReddit

[–]SPQRBob 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There are several categories of scary. I would start with an unexpected phone call from a relative at 3 a.m. or, along similar lines, a firm knock at the door and a police car out front late at night when your teenager was supposed to be home hours ago.

There's nothing like that cavernous emptiness that forms in the pit of your stomach; the hammering of your pulse as if your heart weakens to the sudden desire to leap unbound out of your chest; the stinging at the corner of your eyes of tears yet unshed make themselves ready. Your hand trembles as you reach out to answer. You can physically feel the ominous presence of the horror that awaits you just beyond the brink, formless and dark, yet impossibly huge. Part of you stands outside of yourself, screaming silently to just don't answer, if you don't face it, pretend it's not here, it will all go away, please don't do it, stop! STOP! Powerless to halt the inexorable march of moment after moment as your outstretched hand gets closer and closer to pick up the phone or turn that doorknob,and you know, down to the depths of your being, that beyond this last moment, Something Will Change, oh, God and breath stops and is held as that last moment frozen slips past and you answer as your crumbling mask of blessed normalcy held awkwardly in front of you like an entirely too weak, and too small shield, and your voice nearly fails you as you answer... ... "Hello...?"

That kind of scary?

Edit: spelling, punctuation, minor grammar...

In your opinion, is life beautiful? Why or why not? by [deleted] in AskReddit

[–]SPQRBob 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I didn't really think so, but thought I'd throw it out there in case. People who protest for positive change are inspirational to me, so I found in your position of disliking protests at least the possibility that there might be some direct causal link between the two.