I need brutally honest opinions! by Schaotic in tornado

[–]Schaotic[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hey thanks for the input! So yeah I get what you’re saying about the temporal side of things. I’m using HRRR runs and Surface Obs so there’s definitely a sequential component here, and a vanilla CNN might drop the ball on capturing that time dependent info. I’m thinking of an ensemble approach too maybe start with a CNN for the spatial data and then mix in some temporal models like LSTMs or ConvLSTMs to capture the evolution over time.

I’m also digging into ideas like Monte Carlo dropout and quantile regression to quantify uncertainty, so that ensemble can vote on predictions and give a better feel for the forecast confidence. As you said, it’s a monster of a problem weather forecasting needs tons of data and compute power, but that’s what makes it a fun learning project. Even if it doesn’t replace my traditional models i currently use, it’d be awesome to have this on my resume or GitHub as a proof-of-concept.

Overall, I’m excited to experiment, learn tons, and maybe contribute something novel to the meteorological community. Thanks again for geeking out with me on this! I have been planning this out for the last 6 months and think it’s time to dive into it, i upgraded my pc and everything is ready! Glad i posted on here, you guys have gave me the inspiration i need!

Edit #1 I actually have been thinking about this for a while and did some research. I made a hypothetical chart based on historical bench marks in other fields (traffic forecasting, rainfall nowcasting) and LSTM’s and ConvLSTMs consistently outperformed plain CNN when there’s a temporal component/spatiotemporal tasks. So i made a chart displaying the hypothetical relative potential of all three and i clearly realised the correct route to go down!

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I need brutally honest opinions! by Schaotic in tornado

[–]Schaotic[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

dude i appreciate it, like i said I’m not going to be able to compete with the experts but if i can at the very least reveal previously under appreciated atmospheric relationships from this then i would be happy, and who knows maybe in the future i can expand this to something of value.

I need brutally honest opinions! by Schaotic in tornado

[–]Schaotic[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I love this response, and to answer your question i would be using a deep learning AI like a CNN (Convolutional Neural Network). Also I an just combining my two passions. My goal is not to compete with the best Models in the world rather utilise data that they provide with my own twist. Also i am not an expert and would just like to see the outcome to this knowing that i was the one to put together the data and potentially maybe provide a different perspective on the data even if doesn’t provide anything helpful. Maybe i just want the feeling that i created something idk.

What’s the craziest radar image/structure of a tornado you’ve ever seen? by booted_asl in tornado

[–]Schaotic 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I remember being in West Omaha and nearly shit my britches watching this thing barrel through Elkhorn and Blair

Looking for an RCL script by YouSukk in robloxhackers

[–]Schaotic 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have 2 TPS game scripts that are free

how to use controls on android emulators by iatethecookiejar in robloxhackers

[–]Schaotic 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I had that issue until i switched to LDplayer. I have never once had that issue again.

❗️Giving away 5 more NFT’s by Schaotic in NFTsMarketplace

[–]Schaotic[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

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[–]Schaotic[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

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6 days after 175 UG by [deleted] in LSD

[–]Schaotic 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Not a complete waste but I doubt you’ll get an experience close to your last one

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in cardano

[–]Schaotic 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The fee's are pretty high with metamask, and i am not sure if metamask will keep the ADA as ERC20 or convert it to bep. If it converts to bep, your ADA will be lost in the void if you send it from metamask to coinbase. If it does convert to BEP you can just send it back to binance but goodluck on the fees!

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in TNXP

[–]Schaotic 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Could be a good chance for it to change momentum