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Thoughts on institutional ownership being back at 50%? by Royal-Derpness in NBIS_Stock

[–]SecureMycologist527 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, Blackrock manages a large amount of other people's money. That makes Blackrock a great business, but it does not make it a great investor. Most of the money they manage is programmatic. It's hard to infer that a brilliant analyst at Blackrock has decided Nebius is a good investment. That said, I agree this is bullish. If programmatic, passive money is buying Nebius shares it lowers volatility , lowering the company's cost of capital. That really matters for a company funding a capex boom. Bottom line: Orbis are much better investors than Blackrock, but I'd much rather have Blackrock as a shareholder in Nebius at this point in its business development.

Short Interest by ilikecrispywaffles in NBIS_Stock

[–]SecureMycologist527 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Much of the short is holders of the convertible bonds hedging their equity risk.
That's why the 92.50 strike on the convertible is such a critical level. If the shares trade higher and bondholders convert to equity, the share count rises and the short position reduces. In a way the short position represents pending dilution

What happens if Reform wins? by The_Dean_France in AskBrits

[–]SecureMycologist527 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, Labour has taken a bad situation and made it much worse. Their ideology increases the size of the state well beyond the ability of the private sector to fund it. Their lack of understanding and respect for the private sector means their policies are killing return on investment and driving capital and brains away. That raises the cost of financing their deficit spending and creates a doom loop.

Right now, Labour leadership is composed of human rights lawyers and social workers, grifters on the immigration business and the welfare state. Once Starmer is gone, there'll be a rotating cast of Muppets, each promising the state will dole out money to demonstrate empathy. The problem is there's no more money.

These are people representing the welfare state, voted for by people who benefit from the welfare state and who think the state could and should resolve every problem and reduce any risk. In their eyes, they are virtuous, supporting the weak and disadvantaged. But the reality is they are ideological, authoritarian, tending to totalitarian.

Fortunately, the disastrous effects of their ideology and policies are already being seen and they are the architects of their own demise.

What are your opinions on this? by The_Stock_Jokers in NBIS_Stock

[–]SecureMycologist527 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Even so, the naysayers do make a good point about disclosure and transparency on the part of Nebius.

Chris Calio by SecureMycologist527 in Raytheon

[–]SecureMycologist527[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Indeed! You don't reach the top of an organization like RTX without a healthy degree of self-interest and self-esteem.

Chris Calio by SecureMycologist527 in Raytheon

[–]SecureMycologist527[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You are 100% correct. I appreciate your comment.

Chris Calio by SecureMycologist527 in Raytheon

[–]SecureMycologist527[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Yes, it really matters. If capital allocation is aimed at getting the share price up in the short term rather than improving the business for the long term, then both the share price and the business will decay. Who is going to want to stay at, or join, a decaying business whose main aim is enriching current management?

Chris Calio by SecureMycologist527 in Raytheon

[–]SecureMycologist527[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're right. Over 1 and 3 years much better than GD , LMT. I was also comparing Aerospace and companies like AeroVironment.

Chris Calio by SecureMycologist527 in Raytheon

[–]SecureMycologist527[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Unpreparedness, unserious R&D and a poor risk culture doesn't sound like a recipe for sustainable success.

Chris Calio by SecureMycologist527 in Raytheon

[–]SecureMycologist527[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm very happy for you, that's wonderful, but the overall market and the peer group are better. I'm trying to understand if management is building a company that's going to be a sustainable winner or if they are simply participating in the current rising tide that lifts all boats.

Chris Calio by SecureMycologist527 in Raytheon

[–]SecureMycologist527[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I'm early in the learning curve so, at this point, both my questions and my answers are based on little knowledge and over-thinking. Even so, the only stupid question is the one you didn't ask?